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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pacers63%9187
26Heat37%8765
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.1
40.9
31.4
22
68%
7
4
1
2
2
1
1
6
3-5
60%
5-10
4-9
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.2
36.1
38.0
22
53%
11
2
1
1
2
2
1
10
8-11
73%
7-16
8-18
44%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
30.5
29.2
10
51%
3
3
1
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
2-7
29%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
21.9
21.4
2
33%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 38.4
19.2
29.6
7
51%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
31.0
27.9
13
54%
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
5-11
4-10
45%
46%
1-1
100%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 24.8
24.4
18.4
6
39%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
40%
0-2
0%
Jamison Brewer
G · 6'4" 195 · 23.1
17.5
12.3
3
150%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-1
100%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
16.6
14.2
0
0%
7
0
0
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 23.3
2.0
1.2
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.3
14.9
1
1-3
46%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 28.9
6.4
0
1-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
40.6
32.1
11
31%
18
3
0
1
3
2
3
15
5-8
63%
3-13
5-10
23%
45%
0-1
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.2
38.2
34.8
12
45%
2
5
1
1
0
4
1
1
1-1
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
35.3
30.5
4
20%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
38%
0-4
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.8
32.2
27.8
10
54%
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
2-3
67%
4-7
3-8
57%
39%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.8
30.9
26.9
14
50%
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
18.4
19.4
7
72%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
39%
1-1
100%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.9
15.1
22.0
1
13%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.5
14.7
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-4
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.7
12.7
4.9
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
37%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.5
2.0
5.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.5
5.5
0
0-1
42%
Jerome Beasley
F · 6'9" 237 · 23.6
0.3
0
0-0
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.