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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Suns42%9482
28Bulls58%9787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
46.5
37.7
18
48%
8
5
2
1
0
3
0
8
6-6
100%
6-15
5-12
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 25.7
43.0
42.5
13
33%
7
5
2
2
1
3
3
4
1-1
100%
6-15
7-14
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.1
38.6
8.2
27
68%
3
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
9-12
1-2
75%
41%
2-6
33%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.2
36.1
26.0
10
56%
7
3
4
1
1
3
5
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
52%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.4
16.1
16.7
5
64%
6
2
0
1
2
1
0
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.8
27.5
15.4
5
29%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-5
0%
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.0
20.4
4.1
0
0%
5
2
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-6
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 27.9
11.9
17.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.2
22.6
1
1-3
42%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
22.0
1
3-7
43%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.1
8.2
0
1-1
42%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 18.9
7.7
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.0
44.1
38.3
19
46%
4
3
2
1
1
2
2
2
1-4
25%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
4-11
36%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 30.7
29.1
25.5
13
78%
15
3
2
1
0
1
4
11
3-3
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 35.2
27.0
29.2
4
25%
7
2
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
42%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
26.1
40.2
5
23%
3
6
1
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
6-12
33%
46%
1-8
13%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 35.6
24.1
28.2
8
37%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-9
4-10
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 27.7
20.8
15.7
12
61%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
0-0
-
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.6
20.4
7.0
5
43%
2
5
2
0
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 21.1
18.9
18.7
11
64%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
5-6
83%
3-6
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35.0
18.9
16.4
6
50%
7
2
1
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 25.4
8.5
12.7
2
20%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.6
2.0
2.3
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
3.6
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.