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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs57%9498
16Nuggets43%9274
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
32.0
38.5
30
71%
12
7
2
1
3
3
1
11
10-14
71%
10-15
9-17
67%
51%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
29.8
25.2
9
54%
7
0
1
1
2
1
2
5
1-3
33%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.6
29.1
34.7
4
40%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.6
28.7
37.8
14
70%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
7-10
5-11
70%
47%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.8
25.9
28.0
3
17%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-4
25%
1-6
3-7
17%
41%
0-1
0%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
22.1
15.2
13
60%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
6-9
2-6
67%
41%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
18.9
1.2
6
60%
5
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
42%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.1
18.8
13.6
6
51%
5
3
0
0
0
4
3
2
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.4
12.3
16.1
9
77%
7
4
0
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
2-3
67%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.7
12.3
8.8
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Alex Garcia
G-F · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
7.0
10.0
0
0%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
38%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.3
3.1
1.2
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
39.3
36.2
11
40%
1
2
4
1
0
2
0
1
3-6
50%
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
30.4
24.1
13
61%
13
4
2
1
3
3
2
11
5-6
83%
4-8
3-7
50%
42%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.6
27.4
33.3
12
51%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
41%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.6
24.3
32.1
9
41%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-9
5-12
22%
40%
1-1
100%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.3
20.7
29.2
4
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.6
28.1
22.1
8
36%
4
4
1
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
42%
0-2
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 27.9
17.6
17.4
3
31%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Trepagnier
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
16.0
8.4
2
13%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
36%
0-1
0%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.7
12.6
3.2
5
36%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
0-1
33%
35%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
9.6
15.3
3
52%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
9.1
11.9
4
106%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
43%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 28.1
4.9
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.