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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 5, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks61%10494
20Jazz39%101108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
38.0
40.3
24
66%
9
1
1
1
4
0
2
7
6-7
86%
6-12
6-12
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.8
35.0
39.9
9
35%
4
4
1
1
2
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-10
33%
45%
1-6
17%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.9
29.2
36.3
8
44%
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.4
28.1
37.3
11
46%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
45%
3-6
50%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.9
21.4
3.0
8
56%
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0
4-5
80%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
26.3
4.1
10
50%
3
4
4
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
1-2
56%
44%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
26.2
29.5
9
35%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-12
5-11
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.5
12.4
7.1
6
77%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
41%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.8
11.9
6.0
6
109%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.8
11.6
1.8
3
40%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-2
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
31.4
1
4-9
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
41.0
33.4
21
57%
12
3
3
2
3
4
5
7
9-12
75%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.8
38.3
26.8
10
40%
8
4
0
0
3
2
5
3
2-6
33%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.8
30.9
24.3
17
52%
11
1
0
1
1
1
2
9
1-1
100%
8-14
4-9
57%
45%
0-2
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.4
24.0
29.0
11
49%
2
6
2
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
4-10
5-10
40%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.1
16.6
22.2
7
60%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.1
31.2
18.6
8
82%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
29.5
22.9
25
67%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
4-11
3-6
36%
43%
4-5
80%
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
24.0
17.9
7
47%
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
Paul Grant
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.0
2.9
12.7
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.0
1.7
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.6
23.5
1
4-8
50%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.