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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 24, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat32%9285
18Knicks68%9777
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
44.4
41.1
8
45%
2
7
2
2
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
39%
2-5
40%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
42.1
38.9
19
74%
9
5
2
1
0
3
0
9
3-4
75%
5-7
6-13
71%
45%
2-4
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 32.3
41.0
37.1
26
69%
5
6
0
1
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
4-10
3-8
40%
44%
5-7
71%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 23.9
40.7
34.0
17
58%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-6
83%
6-9
4-10
67%
40%
0-3
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 31.9
23.7
22.4
7
52%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.6
20.2
23.2
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.6
15.9
17.8
8
68%
3
1
0
0
4
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
41%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 26.5
8.4
6.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
John Wallace
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
3.6
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
5.9
0
1-1
40%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.6
4.6
0
0-1
42%
Bimbo Coles
G · 6'2" 182 · 35.8
3.5
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.9
41.0
38.0
4
18%
2
8
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
32.9
27.4
10
57%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 28.3
26.9
28.5
7
29%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-10
4-8
30%
48%
0-1
0%
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 32.8
21.5
36.4
11
56%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
5-11
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 37.6
16.1
23.1
6
75%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.5
32.5
26.6
16
47%
6
3
1
1
1
4
4
2
0-0
-
8-14
3-7
57%
44%
0-3
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.6
31.9
16.2
18
65%
8
2
3
0
1
2
2
6
4-4
100%
7-12
2-5
58%
44%
0-0
-
Frank Williams
G · 6'3" 212 · 23.9
22.0
7.8
4
40%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
15.1
19.6
1
57%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
7.5
0
1-2
40%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
5.5
0
1-1
49%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.0
1.9
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.