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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 5, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Lakers40%9473
1676ers60%9796
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 29.5
41.8
32.4
9
32%
5
5
3
1
1
1
0
5
2-5
40%
2-9
3-7
22%
42%
1-3
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 31.9
31.1
30.4
17
41%
8
1
0
0
1
0
4
4
3-15
20%
7-14
6-11
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
25.5
23.0
0
0%
3
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-6
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.8
23.2
21.4
12
34%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
5-17
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.5
8.8
36.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
5-11
0%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Carter
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
28.3
7.3
9
45%
1
1
0
0
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
40%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
24.0
11.3
6
80%
6
5
0
0
1
2
0
6
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.4
20.7
20.8
13
59%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
3-7
43%
Horace Grant
C · 6'10" 245 · 38.6
19.2
27.7
2
25%
4
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.1
17.4
9.4
5
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
38%
1-4
25%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.3
25.9
1
3-7
45%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 20.7
4.5
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.7
41.5
38.6
39
57%
3
6
2
2
0
2
0
3
8-12
67%
14-25
8-18
56%
43%
1-4
25%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 26.5
36.8
36.9
4
40%
12
1
1
1
0
2
2
10
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.8
33.4
30.3
10
63%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-8
57%
44%
0-0
-
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 31.1
32.8
34.1
26
69%
5
3
1
1
1
2
3
2
8-9
89%
9-14
6-13
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.7
27.2
36.2
3
39%
10
0
2
1
2
0
0
10
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
18.6
4.1
3
39%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 31.3
15.5
20.6
5
125%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 24.2
10.8
8.2
6
150%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
2-2
100%
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 30.3
10.8
8.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 28.8
5.7
5.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.5
4.0
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 22.9
3.0
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
37%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.