Final Win Prob. pScore
256%87
85
744%85
82
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
102.48380.5
HOU logo Rockets
96.58587.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU85
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound85
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
93.9%
82
6.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 285
94.9%
82
5.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUSUB: Padgett FOR Weatherspoon85
82
Q4 - 0:15.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUSUB: Yao FOR Griffin84
82
Q4 - 0:15.0HOUFrancis P.FOUL (P3.PN)84
82
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
82
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Weatherspoon Free Throw 1 of 184
91.6%
82
8.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUSUB: Griffin FOR Yao84
82
Q4 - 0:27.0SASHorry S.FOUL (P3.T3)84
82
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)84
92.5%
82
7.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUWeatherspoon Tip Shot (2 PTS)84
92.5%
82
7.5%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Jackson 8' Running Hook Shot84
98.0%
80
2.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 1)84
80
Q4 - 0:33.0SASGinobili Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)84
96.2%
80
3.8%
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUYao 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)82
88.2%
80
11.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)82
78
Q4 - 0:58.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (10 PTS)82
92.6%
78
7.4%
Q4 - 1:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
85.2%
78
14.8%
Q4 - 1:21HOUMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot80
82.5%
78
17.5%
Q4 - 1:37SASDuncan Layup (28 PTS)80
73.6%
78
26.4%
Q4 - 1:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
63.7%
78
36.3%
Q4 - 1:39SASYao BLOCK (1 BLK)78
53.8%
78
46.2%
Q4 - 2:00HOUYao Dunk (23 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)78
62.8%
78
37.2%
Q4 - 2:02HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
71.3%
76
28.7%
Q4 - 2:04HOUMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot78
79.8%
76
20.2%
Q4 - 2:29HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)78
76
Q4 - 2:29SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)78
71.0%
76
29.0%
Q4 - 2:48SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
83.4%
76
16.6%
Q4 - 2:50HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
80.2%
76
19.8%
Q4 - 3:05SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)78
71.0%
76
29.0%
Q4 - 3:05SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)77
68.3%
76
31.7%
Q4 - 3:05HOUMobley S.FOUL (P2.PN)76
76
Q4 - 3:24HOUFrancis 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)76
64.5%
76
35.5%
Q4 - 3:43HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
69.8%
74
30.2%
Q4 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
77.7%
74
22.3%
Q4 - 3:45SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot76
72.4%
74
27.6%
Q4 - 3:46SASMISS Parker 7' Running Jump Shot76
72.4%
74
27.6%
Q4 - 4:01SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
78.0%
74
22.0%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot76
72.6%
74
27.4%
Q4 - 4:29HOUMobley Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)76
78.2%
74
21.8%
Q4 - 4:36HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
83.7%
72
16.3%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup76
85.4%
72
14.6%
Q4 - 5:01HOUJackson 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mobley 4 AST)76
85.6%
72
14.4%
Q4 - 5:13HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q4 - 5:15HOUMISS Yao 5' Turnaround Jump Shot76
91.3%
70
8.7%
Q4 - 5:20SASSUB: Bowen FOR Turkoglu76
70
Q4 - 5:2076
70
Q4 - 5:20HOUROCKETS Rebound76
89.3%
70
10.7%
Q4 - 5:21HOUMISS Jackson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot76
91.4%
70
8.6%
Q4 - 5:39SASHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)76
89.3%
70
10.7%
Q4 - 6:00HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)73
81.3%
70
18.7%
Q4 - 6:21HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
83.8%
68
16.2%
Q4 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 273
84.4%
68
15.6%
Q4 - 6:21HOUSUB: Yao FOR Taylor73
68
Q4 - 6:21SASSpurs Rebound73
68
Q4 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 273
86.6%
68
13.4%
Q4 - 6:21HOUTaylor S.FOUL (P3.T4)73
68
Q4 - 6:35SASSpurs Rebound73
87.7%
68
12.3%
Q4 - 6:36HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
86.6%
68
13.4%
Q4 - 6:52SASGinobili Driving Layup (8 PTS)73
83.9%
68
16.1%
Q4 - 7:07HOUMobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)71
78.4%
68
21.6%
Q4 - 7:24HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
65
Q4 - 7:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 171
86.6%
65
13.4%
Q4 - 7:24HOUMobley S.FOUL (P1.T3)71
65
Q4 - 7:24SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (24 PTS)71
86.2%
65
13.8%
Q4 - 7:44HOUJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)69
82.8%
65
17.2%
Q4 - 7:44SASDuncan S.FOUL (P4.T2)69
64
Q4 - 7:44HOUJackson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Weatherspoon 1 AST)69
86.5%
64
13.5%
Q4 - 8:03SASHorry 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)69
88.2%
62
11.8%
Q4 - 8:22HOUTaylor 5' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)67
85.1%
62
14.9%
Q4 - 8:28HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
88.2%
60
11.8%
Q4 - 8:30SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Hook Shot67
89.0%
60
11.0%
Q4 - 8:43SASSUB: Parker FOR Ward67
60
Q4 - 8:43SASSUB: Duncan FOR Nesterovic67
60
Q4 - 8:43SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)67
60
Q4 - 8:46HOUFrancis Layup (16 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)67
90.6%
60
9.4%
Q4 - 8:50SASMobley STEAL (1 STL)67
92.7%
58
7.3%
Q4 - 9:05HOUFrancis 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)67
93.1%
58
6.9%
Q4 - 9:15HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q4 - 9:17SASMISS Horry 19' Jump Shot67
94.9%
56
5.1%
Q4 - 9:25HOUSUB: Weatherspoon FOR Yao67
56
Q4 - 9:25SASSUB: Horry FOR Duncan67
56
Q4 - 9:25HOUFrancis P.FOUL (P2.T2)67
56
Q4 - 9:36HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)67
95.7%
56
4.3%
Q4 - 9:55HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q4 - 9:57SASMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q4 - 10:18HOUYao 5' Hook Shot (19 PTS)67
94.9%
56
5.1%
Q4 - 10:37SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (22 PTS)67
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q4 - 10:59HOUJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
95.0%
54
5.0%
Q4 - 10:59HOUJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q4 - 10:59SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P4.T1)65
52
Q4 - 11:04SASFrancis STEAL (2 STL)65
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q4 - 11:08HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)65
96.1%
52
3.9%
Q4 - 11:09SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Bowen65
52
Q4 - 11:09HOUROCKETS Rebound65
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q4 - 11:09HOUMISS Jackson Driving Layup65
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q4 - 11:24SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
95.3%
52
4.7%
Q4 - 11:24SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
94.9%
52
5.1%
Q4 - 11:24HOUJackson S.FOUL (P3.T1)63
52
Q4 - 11:28HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)63
94.2%
52
5.8%
Q4 - 11:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
93.0%
52
7.0%
Q4 - 11:44SASMISS Ward 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
93.4%
52
6.6%
Q4 - 12:0063
52
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU63
94.2%
52
5.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound63
93.0%
52
7.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Taylor 18' Jump Shot63
93.9%
52
6.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUROCKETS Rebound63
92.2%
52
7.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup63
93.0%
52
7.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)63
92.2%
52
7.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Horry: Tip to Ginobili60
52
Q3 - 0:29.0SASSUB: Ward FOR Parker60
52
Q3 - 0:29.0SASSpurs Rebound60
88.5%
52
11.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Duncan 7' Running Hook Shot60
87.2%
52
12.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
88.6%
52
11.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Taylor 18' Jump Shot60
88.0%
52
12.0%
Q3 - 1:05SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)60
85.7%
52
14.3%
Q3 - 1:12SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
52
Q3 - 1:15HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)58
82.9%
52
17.1%
Q3 - 1:15HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
83.4%
51
16.6%
Q3 - 1:15SASHorry S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
50
Q3 - 1:34SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
85.7%
50
14.3%
Q3 - 1:34SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)57
85.0%
50
15.0%
Q3 - 1:34HOUTaylor S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
50
Q3 - 1:48HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 1:48HOUTaylor Layup (8 PTS)56
82.9%
50
17.1%
Q3 - 1:49HOUMISS Taylor Layup56
87.2%
48
12.8%
Q3 - 1:55SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
85.8%
48
14.2%
Q3 - 1:55SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 1:55HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T2)54
48
Q3 - 1:56SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
82.9%
48
17.1%
Q3 - 1:57SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup54
81.1%
48
18.9%
Q3 - 2:12HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
82.1%
48
17.9%
Q3 - 2:12HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
82.8%
47
17.2%
Q3 - 2:12SASHorry P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
46
Q3 - 2:23HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
84.8%
46
15.2%
Q3 - 2:24SASMISS Horry Layup54
85.5%
46
14.5%
Q3 - 2:45HOUYao 10' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)54
87.0%
46
13.0%
Q3 - 2:57HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)54
44
Q3 - 3:09SASBowen Driving Layup (2 PTS)54
88.4%
44
11.6%
Q3 - 3:24HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)52
86.6%
44
13.4%
Q3 - 3:46SASHorry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)52
84.2%
44
15.8%
Q3 - 3:56HOUSUB: Yao FOR Cato49
44
Q3 - 3:56SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Turkoglu49
44
Q3 - 3:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
79.0%
44
21.0%
Q3 - 3:59SASMISS Duncan 5' Running Hook Shot49
76.7%
44
23.3%
Q3 - 4:18HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q3 - 4:18HOUMobley Tip Shot (7 PTS)49
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q3 - 4:19HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup49
83.0%
42
17.0%
Q3 - 4:31HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
80.9%
42
19.1%
Q3 - 4:32SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
81.8%
42
18.2%
Q3 - 4:41SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
83.9%
42
16.1%
Q3 - 4:43HOUMISS Taylor 10' Fadeaway Jumper49
83.0%
42
17.0%
Q3 - 5:08SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)49
80.0%
42
20.0%
Q3 - 5:21SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
77.6%
42
22.4%
Q3 - 5:23HOUMISS Taylor 28' 3PT Jump Shot47
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q3 - 5:49SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)47
74.2%
42
25.8%
Q3 - 5:58SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic44
42
Q3 - 5:58HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)44
42
Q3 - 5:58HOUFrancis Violation:Kicked Ball44
42
Q3 - 6:13HOUJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)44
67.5%
42
32.5%
Q3 - 6:13HOUJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)44
68.1%
41
31.9%
Q3 - 6:13SASTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
40
Q3 - 6:28SASDuncan P.FOUL (P3.T3)44
40
Q3 - 6:29SASTaylor STEAL (1 STL)44
70.7%
40
29.3%
Q3 - 6:45HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)44
74.1%
40
25.9%
Q3 - 6:50SASFrancis STEAL (1 STL)44
70.7%
40
29.3%
Q3 - 7:10SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
73.2%
40
26.8%
Q3 - 7:12HOUMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot44
72.3%
40
27.7%
Q3 - 7:25SASTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
70.0%
40
30.0%
Q3 - 7:25SASTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
69.2%
40
30.8%
Q3 - 7:25HOUSUB: Taylor FOR Yao42
40
Q3 - 7:25HOUCato S.FOUL (P3.T1)42
40
Q3 - 7:30HOUCato Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)42
66.8%
40
33.2%
Q3 - 7:35HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)42
63.2%
40
36.8%
Q3 - 7:37HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
65.7%
40
34.3%
Q3 - 7:53SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS)42
63.2%
40
36.8%
Q3 - 8:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
59.6%
40
40.4%
Q3 - 8:09HOUMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
58.4%
40
41.6%
Q3 - 8:29SASNesterovic 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)40
55.6%
40
44.4%
Q3 - 8:51HOUCato 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)38
52.1%
40
47.9%
Q3 - 9:06SASDuncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q3 - 9:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
59.6%
38
40.4%
Q3 - 9:23HOUMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
58.5%
38
41.5%
Q3 - 9:31HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q3 - 9:33HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Shot38
58.5%
38
41.5%
Q3 - 9:48HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
55.9%
38
44.1%
Q3 - 9:50HOUMISS Yao 9' Jump Shot38
58.5%
38
41.5%
Q3 - 10:08SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)38
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q3 - 10:22HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)38
59.6%
38
40.4%
Q3 - 10:22HOUROCKETS Rebound38
37
Q3 - 10:22HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 1 of 238
60.2%
37
39.8%
Q3 - 10:22SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T2)38
37
Q3 - 10:37HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
59.5%
37
40.5%
Q3 - 10:39SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot38
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q3 - 10:42SASSpurs Rebound38
37
Q3 - 10:42HOUJump Ball Francis vs. Turkoglu: Tip to Bowen38
63.0%
37
37.0%
Q3 - 10:44HOUMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot38
61.9%
37
38.1%
Q3 - 10:53SASDuncan P.FOUL (P2.T1)38
37
Q3 - 11:00HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)38
59.5%
37
40.5%
Q3 - 11:02SASMISS Turkoglu 17' Turnaround Jump Shot38
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q3 - 11:20HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)38
63.2%
37
36.8%
Q3 - 11:23HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
59.7%
37
40.3%
Q3 - 11:25SASCato BLOCK (1 BLK)38
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q3 - 11:41HOUYao 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)38
63.2%
37
36.8%
Q3 - 12:0038
35
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU38
66.2%
35
33.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound38
66.2%
35
33.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Francis 27' 3PT Jump Shot38
68.4%
35
31.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
66.6%
35
33.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot38
67.3%
35
32.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUFrancis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)38
68.9%
35
31.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)38
72.3%
33
27.7%
Q2 - 1:07HOUFrancis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)36
68.7%
33
31.3%
Q2 - 1:32HOUWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
74.7%
30
25.3%
Q2 - 1:34SASMISS Duncan Layup36
75.3%
30
24.7%
Q2 - 1:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 1:53HOUMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
76.0%
30
24.0%
Q2 - 2:03SASWeatherspoon STEAL (1 STL)36
74.0%
30
26.0%
Q2 - 2:20HOUJackson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)36
76.5%
30
23.5%
Q2 - 2:36HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
78.7%
28
21.3%
Q2 - 2:38SASMISS Ginobili 16' Fadeaway Jumper36
79.3%
28
20.7%
Q2 - 2:54SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Turkoglu36
28
Q2 - 2:54HOUYao 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)36
80.8%
28
19.2%
Q2 - 3:05HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
78.3%
28
21.7%
Q2 - 3:07SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot36
79.0%
28
21.0%
Q2 - 3:18SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
80.7%
28
19.3%
Q2 - 3:20HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot36
80.0%
28
20.0%
Q2 - 3:43HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
78.3%
28
21.7%
Q2 - 3:45SASMISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot36
79.1%
28
20.9%
Q2 - 4:01SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
80.2%
28
19.8%
Q2 - 4:02HOUMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
79.5%
28
20.5%
Q2 - 4:08HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)36
78.0%
28
22.0%
Q2 - 4:10SASMISS Nesterovic 10' Hook Shot36
78.7%
28
21.3%
Q2 - 4:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
80.2%
28
19.8%
Q2 - 4:28HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 236
79.9%
28
20.1%
Q2 - 4:28HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
78.6%
28
21.4%
Q2 - 4:28SASTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
27
Q2 - 4:43SASTurkoglu Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)36
80.1%
27
19.9%
Q2 - 4:58SASSUB: Duncan FOR Horry34
27
Q2 - 4:58HOUSUB: Weatherspoon FOR Jackson34
27
Q2 - 4:58HOUSUB: Jackson FOR Taylor34
27
Q2 - 4:58SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
27
Q2 - 4:59HOUMobley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)34
78.2%
27
21.8%
Q2 - 5:05HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 5:07SASMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup34
82.3%
24
17.7%
Q2 - 5:25HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)34
83.4%
24
16.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)34
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 5:54HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)32
79.9%
24
20.1%
Q2 - 5:56HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
77.9%
24
22.1%
Q2 - 5:57SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot32
78.5%
24
21.5%
Q2 - 6:17SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
79.5%
24
20.5%
Q2 - 6:19HOUMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
78.8%
24
21.2%
Q2 - 6:32HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
77.2%
24
22.8%
Q2 - 6:34SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot32
77.9%
24
22.1%
Q2 - 7:03HOUYao 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)32
79.2%
24
20.8%
Q2 - 7:21SASSUB: Parker FOR Ward32
22
Q2 - 7:21SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili32
22
Q2 - 7:21SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T2)32
22
Q2 - 7:22HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
80.9%
22
19.1%
Q2 - 7:24SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot32
81.5%
22
18.5%
Q2 - 7:31HOUFrancis P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
22
Q2 - 7:50HOUTaylor 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)32
82.7%
22
17.3%
Q2 - 8:15SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan32
20
Q2 - 8:15HOUSUB: Mobley FOR Jackson32
20
Q2 - 8:15HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
20
Q2 - 8:16SASTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)32
83.7%
20
16.3%
Q2 - 8:27HOUJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)29
80.4%
20
19.6%
Q2 - 8:44SASGinobili Driving Layup (6 PTS)29
78.7%
20
21.3%
Q2 - 9:03HOUJackson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
76.3%
20
23.7%
Q2 - 9:17SASWard 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)27
78.2%
18
21.8%
Q2 - 9:31HOUYao Dunk (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)24
74.3%
18
25.7%
Q2 - 9:48SASHorry 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ward 1 AST)24
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q2 - 10:06HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)22
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q2 - 10:06HOUROCKETS Rebound22
71.8%
16
28.2%
Q2 - 10:06HOUMISS Francis 21' Fadeaway Jumper22
73.3%
16
26.7%
Q2 - 10:10HOUROCKETS Rebound22
71.8%
16
28.2%
Q2 - 10:10HOUMISS Jackson Driving Layup22
73.3%
16
26.7%
Q2 - 10:30SASJackson STEAL (2 STL)22
71.9%
16
28.1%
Q2 - 10:36HOUJackson P.FOUL (P2.T1)22
16
Q2 - 10:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
74.0%
16
26.0%
Q2 - 10:41HOUMISS Francis Reverse Layup22
73.4%
16
26.6%
Q2 - 10:54SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
16
Q2 - 10:55HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
71.9%
16
28.1%
Q2 - 10:56SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Hook Shot22
72.5%
16
27.5%
Q2 - 11:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
73.5%
16
26.5%
Q2 - 11:06HOUMISS Taylor 12' Fadeaway Jumper22
72.9%
16
27.1%
Q2 - 11:21SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)22
71.4%
16
28.6%
Q2 - 11:36SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
73.5%
16
26.5%
Q2 - 11:38HOUMISS Yao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot22
72.9%
16
27.1%
Q2 - 12:0022
16
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
71.5%
16
28.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound22
73.6%
16
26.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ward 3PT Jump Shot22
72.1%
16
27.9%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASSUB: Turkoglu FOR Bowen22
16
Q1 - 0:12.0HOUTaylor P.FOUL (P1.T4)22
16
Q1 - 0:30.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
72.7%
16
27.3%
Q1 - 0:31.0HOUMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot22
72.2%
16
27.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
71.2%
16
28.8%
Q1 - 1:03HOUSUB: Yao FOR Cato20
16
Q1 - 1:03SASSUB: Ward FOR Parker20
16
Q1 - 1:03SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
16
Q1 - 1:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 1:14HOUMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot20
67.9%
16
32.1%
Q1 - 1:38SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)20
66.9%
16
33.1%
Q1 - 1:45HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)18
64.1%
16
35.9%
Q1 - 1:47HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
62.6%
16
37.4%
Q1 - 1:48HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
63.7%
16
36.3%
Q1 - 2:06SASGinobili Layup (4 PTS)18
62.4%
16
37.6%
Q1 - 2:10HOUTaylor Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)16
59.8%
16
40.2%
Q1 - 2:14HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
58.0%
16
42.0%
Q1 - 2:16HOUMISS Taylor 13' Turnaround Jump Shot16
59.3%
16
40.7%
Q1 - 2:28HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
58.0%
16
42.0%
Q1 - 2:30SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 2:51SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
59.8%
16
40.2%
Q1 - 2:52HOUMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
59.3%
16
40.7%
Q1 - 3:06SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)16
58.1%
16
41.9%
Q1 - 3:16HOUJackson P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
16
Q1 - 3:28HOUTaylor 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)14
55.8%
16
44.2%
Q1 - 3:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
58.1%
14
41.9%
Q1 - 3:44HOUSUB: Taylor FOR Yao13
14
Q1 - 3:44SASSUB: Horry FOR Nesterovic13
14
Q1 - 3:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 3:44HOUCato S.FOUL (P2.T2)12
14
Q1 - 3:51HOUFrancis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)12
55.8%
14
44.2%
Q1 - 4:05HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
53.7%
14
46.3%
Q1 - 4:09HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 2 of 212
55.6%
14
44.4%
Q1 - 4:09HOUROCKETS Rebound12
14
Q1 - 4:09HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 212
54.5%
14
45.5%
Q1 - 4:09SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T4)12
14
Q1 - 4:29SASNesterovic 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
53.8%
14
46.2%
Q1 - 4:31SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)10
51.8%
14
48.2%
Q1 - 4:33SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Jump Shot10
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 4:56HOUYao Layup (8 PTS) (Cato 2 AST)10
51.9%
14
48.1%
Q1 - 5:18SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)10
53.6%
12
46.4%
Q1 - 5:32HOUYao 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS)8
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 5:48HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 5:50SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot8
54.3%
10
45.7%
Q1 - 6:09HOUMobley 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)8
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 6:20SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 6:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
59.3%
8
40.7%
Q1 - 6:31HOUMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
58.8%
8
41.2%
Q1 - 6:44HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
8
Q1 - 6:52HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
57.5%
8
42.5%
Q1 - 6:54SASMISS Bowen 9' Running Jump Shot8
58.0%
8
42.0%
Q1 - 7:08HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
59.3%
8
40.7%
Q1 - 7:08HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
59.6%
7
40.4%
Q1 - 7:08SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T3)8
6
Q1 - 7:21SASGinobili Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 7:35HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)6
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 7:35HOUROCKETS Rebound6
57.4%
6
42.6%
Q1 - 7:35HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
58.6%
6
41.4%
Q1 - 7:43SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Turkoglu6
6
Q1 - 8:00SASNesterovic Layup (2 PTS)6
57.4%
6
42.6%
Q1 - 8:01SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
56.0%
6
44.0%
Q1 - 8:03SASMISS Nesterovic 6' Hook Shot4
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 8:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.0%
6
44.0%
Q1 - 8:14HOUMISS Mobley Reverse Layup4
55.5%
6
44.5%
Q1 - 8:21SASJackson STEAL (1 STL)4
54.5%
6
45.5%
Q1 - 8:39HOUCato P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 8:42HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
56.0%
6
44.0%
Q1 - 8:48HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
54.6%
6
45.4%
Q1 - 8:50SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot4
55.0%
6
45.0%
Q1 - 9:00HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
56.0%
6
44.0%
Q1 - 9:00HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
56.2%
5
43.8%
Q1 - 9:00SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:12SASNesterovic P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:22HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
57.5%
4
42.5%
Q1 - 9:24SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot4
57.8%
4
42.2%
Q1 - 9:40HOUFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Cato 1 AST)4
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 10:01SASDuncan Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
58.9%
2
41.1%
Q1 - 10:17HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 10:41SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
58.2%
0
41.8%
Q1 - 10:54HOUMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 11:01HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 11:03SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot0
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 11:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 11:10SASMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot0
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 11:19SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.9%
0
43.1%
Q1 - 11:21HOUMISS Cato 13' Turnaround Jump Shot0
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 11:39HOUJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot0
56.3%
0
43.7%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Cato vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
56.0%
0
44.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 51.8%
HOU
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
23
65%
HOU
11
20
55%
Midrange
SAS
12
36
33%
HOU
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
HOU
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
Free Throws
SAS
13
17
76%
HOU
15
20
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2848%14.0 / 29
M. Ginobili1365%6.5 / 10
R. Horry1372%6.5 / 9
R. Nesterovic1045%5.0 / 11
T. Parker750%3.5 / 7
H. Turkoglu750%3.5 / 7
B. Bowen440%2.0 / 5
C. Ward350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2569%12.5 / 18
S. Francis1843%9.0 / 21
C. Mobley1250%6.0 / 12
J. Jackson1137%5.5 / 15
M. Taylor1042%5.0 / 12
K. Cato233%1.0 / 3
C. Weatherspoon250%1.0 / 2
M. Jackson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
71
+10
-12
81
HOU
69
+20
-16
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 51.8%
HOU
0.91 45.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
14
100.0
24
98.5
SAS 102.4 +5.9
HOU 96.5
Pace
20
91.3
25
90.1
SAS 80.5
HOU 87.7 +7.3
Avg. Poss. Time
8
16.0
5
16.7
SAS 17.9
HOU 16.4 −1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
14
47.3%
6
48.4%
SAS 50.0% +4.7%
HOU 45.3%
TO %
17
15.4%
28
17.3%
SAS 13.1% −4.8%
HOU 17.9%
ORB %
11
29.5%
25
26.4%
SAS 20.0%
HOU 32.4% +12.4%
FTrt
9
32.2
21
28.6
SAS 23.6
HOU 27.0 +3.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
20
59.0%
25
57.7%
SAS 54.5%
HOU 65.6% +11.1%
STL %
11
8.8%
26
7.5%
SAS 18.1% +9.9%
HOU 8.2%
BLK %
4
9.9%
7
8.6%
SAS 10.9% +7.5%
HOU 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
18
48.6%
7
50.0%
SAS 51.8% +6.2%
HOU 45.6%
Rim FG%
7
57.6%
12
57.1%
SAS 65.2% +10.2%
HOU 55.0%
Mid FG%
24
37.0%
7
39.5%
SAS 33.3%
HOU 51.4% +18.1%
3P %
6
35.8%
3
36.6%
SAS 46.2% +30.4%
HOU 15.8%
FT %
29
68.1%
8
77.3%
SAS 76.5% +1.5%
HOU 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
11
35.9%
25
30.5%
SAS 31.9% +4.9%
HOU 27.0%
Mid Att. %
14
46.4%
17
46.8%
SAS 50.0%
HOU 47.3% −2.7%
3P Att. %
17
17.7%
4
22.7%
SAS 18.1%
HOU 25.7% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions8385
Possession Minutes24.823.3
Points8582
Rebounds3143
Assists1821
Steals157
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)11 (9)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)32 (0)
Field Goals33-7232-74
At-the-Rim FG15-2311-20
Midrange FG12-3618-35
2-Point FG27-5929-55
3-Point FG6-133-19
Free Throws13-1715-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
44.0
28
48%
10
3
2
4
4
4
3
7
8-11
73%
10-23
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
38.5
7
50%
3
9
4
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
37.3
4
40%
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'10" 220 · 25
27.5
7
50%
4
0
3
0
2
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
25.8
10
45%
4
0
1
1
0
4
3
1
0-0
-
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
31.2
13
65%
1
3
3
0
3
2
0
1
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
26.1
13
72%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
3-3
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
9.5
3
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
52%
31
18
15
6
12
0
8
23
13-17
76%
27-59
46%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.