FinalWin Prob.pScore
2125%94
104
1175%102
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.010097.0
MIL logo MIL
108.0100103.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA104
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)104
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILMISS Van Horn Free Throw 2 of 2104
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)104
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)104
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)101
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)101
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 2101
1.1%
106
98.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)101
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAOdom 5' Jump Shot (22 PTS)101
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MILMason Driving Layup (21 PTS)99
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 1:08MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)99
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 1:09MILMISS Van Horn Layup99
5.3%
103
94.7%
Q4 - 1:10MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)99
3.4%
103
96.6%
Q4 - 1:12MILMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot99
5.5%
103
94.5%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)99
4.6%
103
95.4%
Q4 - 1:37MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)98
4.2%
103
95.8%
Q4 - 1:42MILRedd Free Throw 3 of 3 (26 PTS)97
3.2%
103
96.8%
Q4 - 1:42MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 3 (25 PTS)97
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 1:42MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 3 (24 PTS)97
3.6%
101
96.4%
Q4 - 2:02MIAOdom 23' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)97
7.7%
100
92.3%
Q4 - 2:08MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
5.9%
100
94.1%
Q4 - 2:10MILMISS Van Horn 19' Jump Shot95
4.9%
100
95.1%
Q4 - 2:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)95
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 2:32MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 2:32MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 2:46MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
3.1%
98
96.9%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot93
3.8%
98
96.2%
Q4 - 2:53MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 2:55MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot93
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 3:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
3.9%
98
96.1%
Q4 - 3:10MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
3.6%
98
96.4%
Q4 - 3:10MILJones Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T17)91
3.0%
98
97.0%
Q4 - 3:19MILBUCKS Rebound91
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Alston 28' 3PT Jump Shot91
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 3:31MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
4.2%
98
95.8%
Q4 - 3:31MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)91
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS)91
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 4:05MILVan Horn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)89
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 4:24MIAJones Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)89
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 4:39MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)87
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 4:39MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 287
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 4:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 4:48MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 4:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 4:49MIAGadzuric BLOCK (3 BLK)85
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Jones 9' Jump Shot85
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 5:12MILMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 5:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)85
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 5:28MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)84
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 5:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)82
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot82
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 5:46MILGadzuric Foul Turnover (P1.T15)82
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 5:59MIAAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)82
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 6:14MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 6:14MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 6:14MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:15MILMISS Mason 4' Jump Shot79
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 6:39MIAButler Layup (13 PTS)79
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 6:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:48MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:50MILMISS Strickland 12' Jump Shot77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56MILStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:58MIAMISS Odom 3PT Jump Shot77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 7:01MIAHeat Rebound77
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:01MIAVan Horn BLOCK (1 BLK)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Odom 10' Jump Shot77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:19MILStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)77
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:33MILBUCKS Rebound77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:35MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 7:57MILStrickland 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 8:21MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)77
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 8:40MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 8:42MILMISS Mason Layup75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAOdom Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 9:09MIAJones Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 9:12MIAAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 9:15MILMISS Van Horn 10' Jump Shot72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:25MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)72
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 9:27MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:45MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 9:45MILKukoc 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)72
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 9:59MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)72
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 10:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 10:15MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 10:33MIAJones 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS)69
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 10:51MILKukoc 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q4 - 11:13MIAVan Horn STEAL (1 STL)67
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 11:28MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)67
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q4 - 11:38MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAGadzuric BLOCK (2 BLK)67
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL67
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot67
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAOdom Layup (16 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)67
0.7%
86
99.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)65
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)65
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Alston Layup65
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0MILKukoc Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)65
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)65
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 1:07MILKukoc Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 1:07MILKukoc Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:12MIAKukoc STEAL (2 STL)62
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 1:37MILKukoc Layup (7 PTS)62
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 1:50MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 1:51MIAMISS Odom 6' Hook Shot62
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 2:06MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 2:09MILMISS Gadzuric 11' Jump Bank Shot62
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 2:25MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 2:27MIAMISS Odom 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
1.9%
78
98.1%
Q3 - 2:36MILMISS Mason 14' Jump Shot62
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 2:46MILBUCKS Rebound62
1.6%
78
98.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 3:07MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)62
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 3:13MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot62
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 3:38MILMason 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
3.6%
75
96.4%
Q3 - 3:50MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
4.2%
73
95.8%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot62
4.5%
73
95.5%
Q3 - 4:03MILRedd Foul Turnover (P1.T12)62
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 4:11MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)62
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 4:18MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)60
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 4:39MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 4:40MIAMISS Odom Free Throw 2 of 260
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 4:40MIAOdom Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 4:55MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)59
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 4:55MILMason Layup (12 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)59
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 5:10MIAOdom 2' Hook Shot (13 PTS)59
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 5:27MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)57
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 5:36MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)57
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 5:50MILSkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
6.5%
67
93.5%
Q3 - 5:50MILSkinner Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 6:06MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)57
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 6:25MILMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot55
6.5%
65
93.5%
Q3 - 6:45MIAJones 13' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)55
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q3 - 6:50MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q3 - 6:52MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot53
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 7:02MILJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 7:04MIASkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)53
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 7:28MILMason Reverse Dunk (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)53
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q3 - 7:43MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)53
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q3 - 8:08MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)51
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 8:13MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Odom Layup51
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 8:30MILSkinner Foul Turnover (P4.T10)51
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 8:43MIAOdom 3' Layup (11 PTS)51
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 9:05MILJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)49
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 9:13MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Grant Layup49
7.5%
58
92.5%
Q3 - 9:35MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)49
8.3%
58
91.7%
Q3 - 9:41MILMISS Redd Free Throw Technical49
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 9:54MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)49
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 9:56MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
11.2%
55
88.8%
Q3 - 10:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q3 - 10:07MILMISS Van Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
11.8%
55
88.2%
Q3 - 10:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 10:20MIAButler Tip Shot (7 PTS)49
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 10:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot47
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Butler Layup47
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 10:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 10:28MIAMISS Odom 12' Jump Shot47
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 10:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 10:51MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 11:09MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
8.4%
55
91.6%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot47
8.7%
55
91.3%
Q3 - 11:26MILMason Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
9.5%
55
90.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)47
8.3%
55
91.7%
Q3 - 11:50MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)45
7.4%
55
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound45
7.4%
55
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 43' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.7%
55
93.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILGadzuric Dunk (7 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)45
7.6%
55
92.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Odom Layup45
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q2 - 0:43.0MILGadzuric Dunk (5 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)45
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)45
11.2%
51
88.8%
Q2 - 1:20MILGadzuric 7' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)45
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q2 - 1:27MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
14.6%
49
85.4%
Q2 - 1:29MIAGadzuric BLOCK (1 BLK)45
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 1:43MILHaislip Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
15.4%
49
84.6%
Q2 - 1:43MILHaislip Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 1:43MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)45
18.1%
47
81.9%
Q2 - 1:45MILMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 1:51MIAKukoc STEAL (1 STL)45
18.1%
47
81.9%
Q2 - 2:07MILRedd 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)45
19.5%
47
80.5%
Q2 - 2:13MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Butler Dunk45
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 2:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 2:27MILMISS Haislip Layup45
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 2:35MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
21.7%
45
78.3%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 2:48MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)45
23.7%
45
76.3%
Q2 - 2:48MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 245
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 3:07MIAOdom 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)45
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 3:10MIAHeat Rebound42
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Odom Layup42
18.0%
44
82.0%
Q2 - 3:35MILVan Horn Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
19.5%
44
80.5%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
20.7%
42
79.3%
Q2 - 4:02MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 4:04MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot40
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)40
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 4:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
17.1%
42
82.9%
Q2 - 4:25MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)38
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 4:31MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
14.3%
42
85.7%
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade Layup38
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 4:51MILStrickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)38
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 5:08MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
18.9%
39
81.1%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot38
19.4%
39
80.6%
Q2 - 5:27MILStrickland Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)38
20.8%
39
79.2%
Q2 - 5:39MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)38
18.9%
39
81.1%
Q2 - 6:01MILRedd 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)36
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 6:17MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)36
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 6:24MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 6:26MILMISS Kukoc 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 6:36MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
14.2%
37
85.8%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 6:46MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
15.3%
37
84.7%
Q2 - 7:01MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
14.5%
37
85.5%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot33
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 7:22MILStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)33
15.9%
37
84.1%
Q2 - 7:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 7:27MILMISS Redd 15' Jump Shot33
20.1%
34
79.9%
Q2 - 7:43MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)33
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 7:56MILStrickland Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)33
20.7%
34
79.3%
Q2 - 8:09MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)33
18.7%
34
81.3%
Q2 - 8:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 8:18MILMISS Haislip 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 8:25MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
15.8%
34
84.2%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot31
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 8:48MILKukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)31
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 8:57MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Odom 16' Jump Shot31
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q2 - 9:14MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q2 - 9:14MILMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 9:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)31
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 9:50MILStrickland 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)28
20.4%
29
79.6%
Q2 - 10:01MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Odom Layup28
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q2 - 10:25MILHaislip 10' Jump Shot (3 PTS)28
25.7%
26
74.3%
Q2 - 10:41MIAOdom 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)28
27.4%
24
72.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q2 - 10:51MILMISS Gadzuric Layup26
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q2 - 10:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot26
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q2 - 11:12MILHaislip Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)26
25.0%
24
75.0%
Q2 - 11:12MILMISS Haislip Free Throw 1 of 226
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q2 - 11:12MILHaislip REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q2 - 11:12MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q2 - 11:12MILMISS Gadzuric Layup26
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 11:15MILMISS Kukoc 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 11:18MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
25.0%
23
75.0%
Q2 - 11:21MILMISS Mason Layup26
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 11:34MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)26
25.1%
23
74.9%
Q2 - 11:47MILMISS Kukoc Free Throw 1 of 124
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q2 - 11:47MILKukoc Layup (2 PTS)24
23.3%
23
76.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILKukoc Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
27.0%
21
73.0%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAButler Layup (5 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)24
25.0%
21
75.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MILMISS Van Horn 10' Jump Shot22
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)22
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound20
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 1:30MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 1:30MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIARedd STEAL (1 STL)20
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 1:45MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 1:45MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 1:45MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 1:46MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot20
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 1:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 1:48MILMISS Van Horn Layup20
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 2:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 2:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 2:16MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot18
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 2:26MIAWade Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)18
21.4%
17
78.6%
Q1 - 2:42MILMason 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)18
22.9%
17
77.1%
Q1 - 2:58MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 3:07MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 3:09MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot18
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 3:20MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot18
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 3:40MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)18
26.1%
15
73.9%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)18
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 4:07MIAHeat Rebound16
25.6%
13
74.4%
Q1 - 4:09MILMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot16
25.0%
13
75.0%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
23.6%
13
76.4%
Q1 - 4:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
23.3%
13
76.7%
Q1 - 4:36MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
22.4%
13
77.6%
Q1 - 4:37MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 4:37MILMISS Van Horn Tip Shot14
21.8%
13
78.2%
Q1 - 4:39MILMISS Skinner 5' Jump Shot14
21.8%
13
78.2%
Q1 - 4:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20.6%
13
79.4%
Q1 - 4:48MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot14
21.1%
13
78.9%
Q1 - 5:06MILSkinner Layup (4 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)14
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 5:23MIAOdom 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
23.1%
11
76.9%
Q1 - 5:32MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 5:33MILMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot12
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 5:40MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
20.2%
11
79.8%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot12
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 5:58MILVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
21.8%
11
78.2%
Q1 - 5:58MILVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 6:17MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
22.8%
9
77.2%
Q1 - 6:31MILMason Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)10
21.4%
9
78.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)10
20.0%
9
80.0%
Q1 - 7:01MILSkinner Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)8
18.6%
9
81.4%
Q1 - 7:25MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
17.4%
9
82.6%
Q1 - 7:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 7:35MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)6
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 8:01MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Skinner 1 AST)6
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 8:04MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 8:05MILMISS Mason Layup6
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 8:21MILBUCKS Rebound6
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 8:22MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot6
18.7%
6
81.3%
Q1 - 8:43MILSkinner Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 8:49MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot6
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 8:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:01MILMISS Skinner 15' Jump Shot6
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 9:12MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:18MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot6
21.6%
4
78.4%
Q1 - 9:29MILVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
20.5%
4
79.5%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 26
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 9:30MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 9:46MILSkinner Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
20.8%
4
79.2%
Q1 - 9:51MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Odom Layup5
19.7%
4
80.3%
Q1 - 10:11MILMason Layup (2 PTS)5
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 10:26MIAOdom Layup (2 PTS)5
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:31MIAOdom REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
20.6%
2
79.4%
Q1 - 10:33MILMISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot3
20.2%
2
79.8%
Q1 - 10:42MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot3
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:02MILVan Horn 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)3
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 11:23MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
21.6%
0
78.4%
Q1 - 11:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.2%
0
80.8%
Q1 - 11:31MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot0
18.9%
0
81.1%
Q1 - 11:44MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.1%
0
81.9%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Wade Layup0
18.5%
0
81.5%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Skinner vs. Grant: Tip to Odom0
19.2%
0
80.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
MIL
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
28
46%
MIL
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
15
40
38%
MIL
10
30
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
MIL
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
24
26
92%
MIL
33
41
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2566%12.5 / 19
L. Odom2246%11.0 / 24
U. Haslem1777%8.5 / 11
C. Butler1354%6.5 / 12
R. Butler950%4.5 / 9
D. Wade630%3.0 / 10
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
R. Alston638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2768%13.5 / 20
D. Mason2150%10.5 / 21
T. Kukoc1765%8.5 / 13
K. Van Horn1139%5.5 / 14
E. Strickland1179%5.5 / 7
D. Gadzuric750%3.5 / 7
B. Skinner650%3.0 / 6
M. Haislip550%2.5 / 5
D. Jones338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+13
-11
102
MIL
83
+13
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
MIL
1.10 55.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.3
103.6
MIA 104.0
MIL 108.0 +4.0
Pace
90.6
94.2
MIA 97.0
MIL 103.2 +6.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.0
MIA 14.8
MIL 14.0 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.7%
MIA 46.0%
MIL 49.3% +3.3%
TO %
14.4%
13.7%
MIA 10.1% +5.2%
MIL 15.3%
ORB %
27.5%
27.6%
MIA 18.2%
MIL 27.3% +9.1%
FTrt
29.8
33.0
MIA 29.9
MIL 53.9 +24.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.3%
63.0%
MIA 63.9%
MIL 69.7% +5.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.1%
MIA 8.0% +3.0%
MIL 5.0%
BLK %
6.3%
7.1%
MIA 5.4%
MIL 7.4% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
50.3%
MIA 50.5%
MIL 55.1% +4.6%
Rim FG%
53.9%
55.7%
MIA 46.4%
MIL 53.8% +7.4%
Mid FG%
36.9%
39.4%
MIA 37.5% +4.2%
MIL 33.3%
3P %
35.7%
35.0%
MIA 42.1%
MIL 45.0% +2.9%
FT %
76.2%
77.5%
MIA 92.3% +11.8%
MIL 80.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
36.8%
MIA 32.2%
MIL 34.2% +2.0%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
46.0%
MIA 46.0%
MIL 39.5% +6.5%
3P Att. %
21.1%
17.2%
MIA 21.8%
MIL 26.3% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions100100
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points104108
Rebounds4048
Assists2323
Steals85
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)36 (4)
Field Goals36-8733-76
At-the-Rim FG13-2814-26
Midrange FG15-4010-30
2-Point FG28-6824-56
3-Point FG8-199-20
Free Throws24-2633-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 230 · 24
45.7
22
46%
7
2
0
1
1
4
0
7
3-4
75%
8-18
44%
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 200 · 32
40.0
25
66%
5
1
2
0
1
5
1
4
3-3
100%
8-15
53%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 228 · 24
31.6
13
54%
6
3
5
0
1
2
3
3
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 22
25.9
6
30%
5
5
0
0
5
0
0
5
6-6
100%
0-6
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 32
24.6
6
43%
5
2
0
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
27.4
6
38%
5
7
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 235 · 24
25.5
17
77%
5
2
1
0
0
4
3
2
9-9
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 25
19.3
9
50%
2
1
0
2
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
3-4
75%
C · 7'2" 260 · 26
F · 6'10" 255 · 26
F · 6'9" 260 · 28
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
40
23
8
3
11
0
8
32
24-26
92%
28-68
41%
8-19
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.