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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 29, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pistons59%98100
22Clippers41%9588
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 29.5
41.4
24.9
15
40%
10
5
1
1
2
1
1
9
4-4
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.0
40.3
33.4
21
58%
5
4
2
1
2
2
3
2
5-5
100%
8-14
6-13
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.4
38.8
34.6
28
82%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
12-14
86%
5-8
3-8
63%
42%
2-3
67%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.5
37.7
33.8
13
64%
13
2
1
2
1
2
2
11
3-7
43%
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.0
35.1
31.6
9
60%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-2
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.2
25.4
21.0
10
52%
3
2
1
0
1
4
0
3
4-6
67%
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.7
15.3
20.5
3
50%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
3.6
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.2
0.8
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.7
0.8
7.5
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.9
0.8
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.6
6.7
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
42.2
35.0
26
51%
10
4
1
1
3
1
5
5
2-6
33%
12-23
7-13
52%
50%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 23.9
39.2
35.1
22
54%
10
4
0
1
0
0
5
5
2-3
67%
10-15
4-10
67%
42%
0-4
0%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
36.6
33.4
19
66%
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
10-10
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 25.2
30.2
27.4
2
14%
1
8
2
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-3
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
29.3
12.7
7
51%
7
4
0
0
0
3
1
6
1-2
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
23.5
22.5
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
20.4
26.3
8
57%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.8
18.6
11.0
4
41%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
39%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.0
0.1
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.8
17.8
1
2-5
42%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
8.4
0
1-2
45%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.3
6.4
0
1-2
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.