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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 7, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Celtics21%9380
2Timberwolves79%10377
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.4
43.4
38.0
13
28%
10
6
1
2
0
2
1
9
5-5
100%
4-18
6-13
22%
43%
0-3
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 29.6
36.2
28.1
12
41%
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
40%
1-6
17%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.3
33.4
34.7
0
0%
11
0
1
1
2
1
1
10
0-0
-
0-5
5-11
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 24.1
28.6
20.9
18
70%
7
0
2
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
42%
2-5
40%
Brandon Hunter
F · 6'7" 266 · 23.3
12.4
21.4
2
14%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.6
28.6
13.1
11
59%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
3-3
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.5
24.8
30.7
9
58%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
4-10
50%
43%
0-0
-
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
20.9
22.3
9
56%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
3-8
38%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.3
11.8
18.3
6
43%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.1
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.9
2.0
0
0-0
42%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.3
1.7
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.0
45.8
26.6
8
40%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
40.9
38.0
20
50%
14
6
2
1
2
0
4
10
2-2
100%
9-19
9-18
47%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
33.5
21.8
10
36%
14
2
2
0
5
2
1
13
0-0
-
5-14
3-7
36%
44%
0-0
-
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
31.3
35.2
4
20%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-6
5-10
17%
44%
0-3
0%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.3
29.2
31.4
13
46%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-12
6-11
42%
51%
1-2
50%
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.0
21.5
22.4
8
34%
3
5
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
1-4
25%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.0
17.1
19.0
6
34%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.5
11.6
9.9
2
33%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.1
9.2
18.4
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
7.5
0
0-1
48%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.2
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Oliver Miller
C · 6'9" 315 · 33.9
3.5
0
0-1
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.