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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 7, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Pacers62%95103
17Nuggets38%9194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.4
39.8
36.0
31
55%
10
3
0
1
2
5
1
9
7-10
70%
12-21
8-17
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.3
39.8
33.9
8
24%
6
7
3
2
0
2
3
3
4-4
100%
2-12
5-11
17%
46%
0-3
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
33.9
15.8
21
94%
4
7
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
6-7
1-3
86%
45%
2-2
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.1
31.8
25.7
11
89%
10
1
1
1
0
0
4
6
3-5
60%
4-4
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 38.5
29.3
28.2
9
58%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.1
17.1
27.0
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
46%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 33.4
16.8
4.3
9
90%
0
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
43%
1-1
100%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.0
15.9
15.5
5
75%
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-3
67%
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
9.1
8.3
5
83%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 23.1
6.5
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.0
28.5
1
2-4
47%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.1
7.6
0
1-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 19.8
43.6
30.8
29
52%
8
1
1
1
0
3
2
6
3-4
75%
13-22
6-14
59%
44%
0-4
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
35.2
27.6
12
45%
1
3
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 21.5
35.1
32.1
8
61%
4
4
0
1
1
2
1
3
6-8
75%
1-3
4-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
29.2
21.0
8
44%
10
1
1
1
3
1
3
7
0-0
-
4-9
2-5
44%
43%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.8
26.3
27.9
12
51%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
5-9
3-8
56%
42%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.0
23.5
15.6
4
40%
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 27.8
22.8
21.6
10
81%
4
5
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-5
60%
2-3
3-7
67%
43%
1-1
100%
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
17.4
17.3
9
56%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.7
6.7
9.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 34.6
14.7
1
1-2
44%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
13.2
0
1-3
42%
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 20.9
8.0
0
1-2
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.