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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 18, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Timberwolves39%9086
7Spurs61%94106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
39.3
37.3
28
71%
12
3
0
1
0
4
1
11
10-11
91%
9-15
8-17
60%
48%
0-0
-
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
33.9
33.3
5
31%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
41%
1-4
25%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.3
33.3
31.2
21
63%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
9-13
5-12
69%
47%
0-2
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.0
31.3
29.3
6
51%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
16.2
21.7
2
20%
7
1
0
0
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
41%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.0
25.8
17.0
14
57%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-5
80%
5-10
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.0
17.7
18.3
5
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
17.4
12.8
1
10%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.1
9.3
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.2
9.3
4.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Oliver Miller
C · 6'9" 315 · 33.9
3.4
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.5
3.3
7.9
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.8
38.0
36.6
16
56%
6
7
2
1
0
2
2
4
2-3
67%
7-11
5-11
64%
48%
0-2
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
36.8
32.6
13
66%
3
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
42%
3-4
75%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
32.2
33.6
12
60%
5
0
0
1
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.8
29.9
24.2
8
68%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.3
12.4
26.9
6
77%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
4-9
67%
45%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
28.0
25.5
15
47%
8
2
0
2
0
0
2
6
5-7
71%
5-11
3-6
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
26.8
7.9
22
51%
10
1
0
0
1
1
1
9
10-15
67%
6-15
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
14.6
19.3
6
61%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
13.9
15.9
3
39%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.5
2.5
9.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
2.5
4.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.9
2.5
3.0
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.