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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 23, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs46%9181
7Timberwolves54%9286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.8
41.3
30.4
4
50%
5
4
0
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.9
39.7
35.5
11
33%
5
12
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-14
5-10
36%
48%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.9
37.2
23.5
26
51%
8
5
1
0
3
4
3
5
2-6
33%
12-22
6-12
55%
50%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.0
36.3
30.3
19
71%
9
3
3
1
0
2
1
8
1-1
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
41%
2-4
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
21.4
30.4
2
14%
4
1
0
1
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.3
28.9
23.2
15
57%
8
0
0
1
0
2
4
4
5-5
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
44%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.7
20.8
24.9
4
18%
6
3
1
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
0-4
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.6
8.3
12.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.2
6.2
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
40%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.5
5.4
0
1-2
44%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.4
3.9
0
0-1
41%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.9
3.6
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.8
39.5
34.4
27
56%
10
4
1
1
3
3
2
8
7-9
78%
10-20
8-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.1
39.0
28.1
7
51%
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
38.0
32.0
20
45%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
10-19
4-9
53%
42%
0-3
0%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 34.3
37.3
30.0
14
44%
10
11
1
1
0
2
0
10
10-11
91%
2-11
5-11
18%
48%
0-0
-
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.3
29.2
11.0
8
84%
8
0
2
0
3
0
1
7
2-4
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.1
21.5
23.6
8
68%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
13.2
21.7
0
0%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
11.6
18.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-6
0%
42%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.2
10.7
18.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.0
8.8
0
1-2
42%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.5
6.1
0
1-2
48%
Oliver Miller
C · 6'9" 315 · 34.0
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.