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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 23, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors28%9086
8Grizzlies72%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.2
43.2
38.0
30
46%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
9-10
90%
6-20
7-16
30%
44%
3-8
38%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.8
38.9
34.9
13
42%
17
0
0
1
1
3
6
11
1-3
33%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
0-4
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 20.0
32.5
30.7
10
42%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
32.4
29.3
12
60%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
4-9
44%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
28.6
37.7
10
40%
6
5
2
1
0
3
2
4
6-8
75%
2-8
5-11
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 35.2
24.6
18.9
5
46%
7
2
2
1
1
0
4
3
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
21.8
13.2
6
39%
2
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
4-6
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.6
14.8
11.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 25.4
3.1
5.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.6
16.4
1
2-4
43%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.8
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.9
2.2
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 27.2
38.9
29.7
10
44%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 28.3
34.4
27.9
5
30%
4
8
2
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.7
31.2
32.5
29
67%
9
1
0
1
2
2
6
3
9-13
69%
10-16
7-13
63%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.1
21.9
24.8
10
63%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 24.8
12.1
12.9
4
69%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 24.3
32.1
20.7
21
61%
13
0
1
1
1
1
6
7
5-7
71%
8-14
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.5
26.1
14.6
8
47%
6
0
2
1
1
1
1
5
6-8
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
20.6
25.9
3
19%
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
1-4
25%
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 24.8
13.6
18.7
2
20%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
9.1
14.2
3
150%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
1-1
100%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.5
25.6
1
2-5
51%
Troy Bell
G · 6'1" 180 · 23.4
3.2
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.