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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pacers69%92107
2376ers31%8693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.5
35.6
32.0
28
79%
7
3
3
1
0
1
1
6
2-4
50%
13-16
7-15
81%
46%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.4
35.4
33.0
10
43%
4
5
1
2
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
1-7
6-12
14%
46%
2-3
67%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
31.4
27.8
6
75%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.1
29.0
24.3
18
71%
4
3
2
1
0
5
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
2-4
50%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 38.6
20.7
25.0
5
50%
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.1
25.3
18.9
8
82%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 24.2
23.5
28.3
14
63%
7
3
2
1
0
1
2
5
4-5
80%
5-8
5-10
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 33.5
19.0
11.1
9
83%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
0-0
-
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 23.2
12.6
6.8
9
67%
2
0
0
0
0
6
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
7.5
13.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
17.6
1
1-3
45%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.2
6.1
0
1-1
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 26.7
44.4
37.1
26
63%
11
2
1
1
0
4
3
8
4-4
100%
11-19
6-13
58%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.0
38.7
36.4
16
67%
1
8
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
42%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 31.5
32.4
30.0
13
62%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
1-2
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
31.8
24.9
0
0%
5
6
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 23.9
20.4
35.2
6
43%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 29.0
22.9
13.5
21
93%
2
0
0
0
0
5
2
0
3-3
100%
9-10
1-3
90%
44%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
21.6
23.2
6
27%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-10
4-10
30%
40%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
12.8
16.4
5
50%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 23.1
10.1
13.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
35%
0-2
0%
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 30.5
5.0
3.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.8
11.4
1
2-5
41%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 29.2
6.1
0
1-2
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.