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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 12, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards16%8779
8Pistons84%99101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 24.1
38.1
16.8
14
62%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
38%
3-8
38%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.4
33.5
30.3
7
41%
10
3
1
1
0
4
3
7
1-1
100%
3-8
2-6
38%
39%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.2
30.5
27.1
19
48%
4
5
3
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
7-14
4-9
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.7
30.4
25.6
9
35%
1
0
2
1
0
4
0
1
1-2
50%
4-10
3-7
40%
40%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.4
20.5
21.9
4
50%
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.0
27.5
24.2
4
40%
5
0
2
0
3
5
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
26.6
31.5
20
71%
1
1
3
1
2
2
0
1
5-7
71%
3-6
3-8
50%
41%
3-5
60%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 25.2
14.5
9.7
2
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.5
9.9
17.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.3
8.6
11.3
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 29.4
16.0
0
2-5
40%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 22.1
14.8
0
2-4
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.2
41.0
31.5
24
66%
5
12
1
1
0
6
3
2
5-5
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.1
34.8
30.3
7
37%
5
4
2
1
3
1
2
3
1-1
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
27.1
28.9
4
29%
12
1
1
1
0
3
2
10
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.4
17.2
22.3
5
50%
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35.7
15.8
9.2
7
45%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-6
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.8
33.0
24.6
21
88%
6
6
1
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
5-7
71%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 30.4
23.6
21.3
14
79%
2
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.9
22.2
20.9
11
61%
1
0
1
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
17.9
9.3
4
100%
2
1
2
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 18.8
7.3
7.4
4
69%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 29.6
23.6
1
4-7
51%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.5
12.4
0
1-3
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.