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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 13, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
32Wizards41%10274
29Cavaliers59%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
38.5
37.0
14
39%
9
1
1
1
1
2
3
6
2-2
100%
6-17
8-15
35%
50%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
33.6
36.1
25
56%
1
2
2
2
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
6-15
3-8
40%
43%
3-5
60%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.0
28.6
16.9
10
51%
4
1
1
0
7
2
2
2
2-4
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
26.1
28.0
7
29%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-11
5-11
18%
43%
1-1
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 27.8
19.8
24.7
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
38%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
23.4
34.2
2
14%
6
4
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-7
4-10
14%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.0
20.4
15.0
2
20%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
41%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.1
19.9
19.8
5
39%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-6
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.0
14.7
9.5
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.7
6.1
11.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.3
4.5
6.1
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 19.5
4.5
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
37.4
42.4
24
54%
9
4
3
2
2
4
1
8
4-5
80%
10-17
8-17
59%
45%
0-3
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.4
36.0
33.0
21
61%
8
3
1
1
0
0
2
6
5-5
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.1
33.7
26.3
14
54%
15
0
4
1
2
2
5
10
2-2
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
32.0
37.6
13
54%
3
11
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
1-3
33%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
20.4
19.8
2
17%
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
28.7
25.4
4
67%
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.9
15.8
17.2
11
71%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
1-1
100%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.8
9.8
19.5
5
64%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.0
9.8
4.9
8
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.8
6.3
12.5
0
0%
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.6
5.7
5.5
3
104%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.1
4.5
3.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.