Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 13, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 30% | 90 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 66% | 99 | 94 |
| 33 | Nets | 34% | 94 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 54% | 97 | 103 | |
 | 35 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 98 | 103 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 26% | 93 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 34 | Bulls | 52% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 37% | 100 | 91 | |
 | 23 | Bucks | 63% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Lakers | 33% | 93 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Pistons | 41% | 90 | 93 |
| 6 | Jazz | 59% | 93 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, November 12, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 30% | 96 | 87 |
| 9 | SuperSonics | 70% | 102 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Heat | 22% | 92 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 78% | 102 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 18% | 89 | 96 |
| 17 | Hornets | 82% | 100 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 47% | 97 | 96 |
| 25 | Knicks | 53% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 22% | 93 | 74 |
 | 15 | Celtics | 78% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 38% | 98 | 113 |
 | 21 | Magic | 62% | 101 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 57% | 97 | 104 |
| 32 | 76ers | 43% | 95 | 106 | |
Thursday, November 11, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 40% | 102 | 113 |
| 12 | Heat | 60% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Timberwolves | 51% | 97 | 96 |
| 14 | Rockets | 49% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 66% | 91 | 109 |
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Wednesday, November 10, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 94 | 88 |
| 20 | Celtics | 64% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Nets | 36% | 92 | 100 | |
| 31 | 76ers | 64% | 96 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 49% | 104 | 96 |
| 32 | Wizards | 51% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 30% | 91 | 102 |
| 9 | Pacers | 70% | 98 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 53% | 102 | 109 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 47% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 35% | 96 | 87 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 65% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 18% | 88 | 71 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 99 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 18% | 90 | 104 |
| 6 | Jazz | 82% | 102 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 45% | 101 | 78 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 55% | 102 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 24% | 102 | 100 |
| 24 | Bucks | 76% | 111 | 102 |
Tuesday, November 9, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 49% | 102 | 84 |
| 19 | Magic | 51% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 93 | 60 |
| 34 | Nets | 41% | 91 | 64 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 42% | 100 | 88 | |
| 28 | Knicks | 58% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Cavaliers | 59% | 99 | 93 |
| 36 | Hawks | 41% | 96 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Wizards | 26% | 101 | 93 |
| 10 | Heat | 74% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 38% | 93 | 106 |
| 17 | Hornets | 62% | 97 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 38% | 94 | 102 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 62% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 61% | 104 | 94 |
| 33 | Bulls | 39% | 100 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 40% | 96 | 87 |
| 12 | Rockets | 60% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 47% | 96 | 108 | |
| 22 | Nuggets | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 25% | 93 | 92 |
| 8 | Kings | 75% | 102 | 108 |
Monday, November 8, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 62% | 94 | 99 |
| 21 | Clippers | 38% | 90 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 30% | 90 | 91 |
| 8 | Jazz | 70% | 97 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 22% | 95 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 78% | 105 | 101 |
Sunday, November 7, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 19% | 92 | 90 |
| 23 | Lakers | 81% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 67% | 99 | 94 | |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 33% | 93 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 92 | 97 |
| 24 | Raptors | 56% | 94 | 101 |
Saturday, November 6, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 24% | 91 | 92 | |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 76% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 59% | 101 | 118 |
| 31 | Wizards | 41% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 61% | 97 | 100 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 39% | 94 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 34% | 102 | 107 |
| 24 | Knicks | 66% | 107 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 15% | 85 | 91 | |
| 4 | Pistons | 85% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 54% | 99 | 112 |
| 33 | Nets | 46% | 98 | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Bulls | 14% | 88 | 90 |
| 6 | Pacers | 86% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Cavaliers | 40% | 101 | 88 |
| 28 | Bucks | 60% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 54% | 98 | 101 |
| 12 | Rockets | 46% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 25% | 98 | 88 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 75% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 39% | 93 | 106 | |
| 13 | Nuggets | 61% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 38% | 91 | 94 |
| 27 | Warriors | 62% | 95 | 86 | |
Friday, November 5, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 37% | 93 | 90 |
| 15 | Hornets | 63% | 97 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 63% | 88 | 89 |
| 27 | Raptors | 37% | 84 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 47% | 102 | 108 |
| 30 | 76ers | 53% | 103 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 56% | 95 | 100 |
| 21 | Celtics | 44% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 35% | 96 | 89 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 65% | 101 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Nets | 47% | 88 | 111 | |
| 33 | Bulls | 53% | 89 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 40% | 93 | 81 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 66% | 96 | 105 | |
| 22 | Lakers | 34% | 91 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 52% | 95 | 102 | |
| 26 | Warriors | 48% | 94 | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 24% | 95 | 85 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 76% | 104 | 106 | |
Thursday, November 4, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 46% | 99 | 92 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 54% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Cavaliers | 25% | 91 | 86 |
| 11 | Heat | 75% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Wizards | 55% | 96 | 103 |
| 36 | Bobcats | 45% | 95 | 96 |
Wednesday, November 3, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 40% | 92 | 88 |
| 26 | Raptors | 60% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 38% | 94 | 92 |
| 21 | Magic | 62% | 98 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 59% | 96 | 109 |
| 31 | Cavaliers | 41% | 93 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 38% | 92 | 98 | |
| 25 | Celtics | 62% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 60% | 95 | 100 |
| 32 | Nets | 40% | 91 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Wizards | 21% | 93 | 103 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 79% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 44% | 98 | 106 |
| 15 | Hornets | 56% | 100 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 25% | 92 | 93 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 75% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kings | 25% | 91 | 85 |
| 2 | Spurs | 75% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hawks | 23% | 93 | 82 |
| 18 | Suns | 77% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 29% | 92 | 78 |
| 9 | Jazz | 71% | 99 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 44% | 99 | 84 | |
| 27 | Clippers | 56% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 94 | 78 |
| 23 | Warriors | 60% | 97 | 75 | |
Tuesday, November 2, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kings | 43% | 100 | 98 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 57% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 46% | 95 | 78 |
| 20 | Lakers | 54% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 26% | 89 | 79 |
| 3 | Pistons | 74% | 97 | 87 |