FinalWin Prob.pScore
281%98
103
3619%87
88
ORTG#PossPace
SAN
108.49590.9
ATL logo ATL
96.79195.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSANATL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS103
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLDiaw Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Rose 16' Jump Shot103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLCollier Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASMISS Massenburg Layup103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02ATLDrobnjak Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02ATLMISS Drobnjak Free Throw 1 of 2103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03ATLMISS Collier 7' Jump Shot103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21SASBrown Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25ATLDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32SASMISS Udrih Layup103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50ATLSmith 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06SASMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22ATLCollier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52ATLMISS Drobnjak 18' Jump Shot100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24ATLDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24ATLDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)98
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)97
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44ATLWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)96
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08ATLDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08ATLMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 296
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21SASBrown Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)96
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:21SASNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T13)95
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 295
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 295
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)95
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:59SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:01SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot93
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 5:21ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ivey 3 AST)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36SASGinobili 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)93
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)91
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 291
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 291
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)91
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)90
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 6:08SASMISS Nesterovic 12' Jump Shot89
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 6:23ATLMcCoy Foul Turnover (P2.T9)89
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 6:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)89
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 6:36SASDuncan Tip Shot (22 PTS)89
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 6:39SASMISS Ginobili 3' Jump Shot87
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)87
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 6:58ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)87
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 6:58ATLMISS McCoy Tip Shot87
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 6:59ATLMISS Ivey 6' Jump Shot87
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 7:28SASBarry Dunk (13 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)87
99.1%
74
0.9%
Q4 - 7:32ATLWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)85
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 7:38SASHarrington STEAL (1 STL)85
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 7:57ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)85
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 8:11ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)85
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 8:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 285
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 8:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)85
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q4 - 8:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)84
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q4 - 8:22ATLMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 8:39SASUdrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)84
98.8%
71
1.2%
Q4 - 8:56ATLWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)81
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 9:03SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 181
98.7%
68
1.3%
Q4 - 9:03SASNesterovic Layup (10 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)81
98.6%
68
1.4%
Q4 - 9:14ATLBarry 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)79
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q4 - 9:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)79
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 9:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)78
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 9:44ATLIvey Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)77
98.6%
65
1.4%
Q4 - 9:44ATLIvey Running Layup (8 PTS)77
98.9%
64
1.1%
Q4 - 9:52ATLWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
99.1%
62
0.9%
Q4 - 9:53SASMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 9:53SASMISS Massenburg Layup77
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 9:55SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 10:06SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 10:08ATLMISS Willis 14' Jump Shot77
99.1%
62
0.9%
Q4 - 10:19SASChildress STEAL (1 STL)77
99.0%
62
1.0%
Q4 - 10:35ATLWalker 14' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)77
99.2%
62
0.8%
Q4 - 11:03ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 11:05SASMISS Udrih 14' Jump Shot77
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 11:18ATLMcCoy Foul Turnover (P1.T7)77
99.3%
60
0.7%
Q4 - 11:34ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 11:35SASMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot77
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS77
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLBarry 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0SASIvey STEAL (2 STL)77
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLIvey 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
99.6%
56
0.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot77
99.6%
56
0.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
99.7%
56
0.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
99.7%
55
0.3%
Q3 - 1:01SASBarry Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)77
99.7%
54
0.3%
Q3 - 1:06ATLBarry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)75
99.6%
54
0.4%
Q3 - 1:20SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)75
99.5%
54
0.5%
Q3 - 1:38ATLMcCoy 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)72
99.3%
54
0.7%
Q3 - 2:00SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q3 - 2:00SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)71
99.4%
52
0.6%
Q3 - 2:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 2:11ATLMISS Willis 8' Jump Shot70
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 2:15ATLWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
99.0%
52
1.0%
Q3 - 2:16ATLMISS Ivey 7' Jump Shot70
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 2:35ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
99.0%
52
1.0%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Bowen 9' Jump Shot70
99.0%
52
1.0%
Q3 - 2:57SASSpurs Rebound70
99.2%
52
0.8%
Q3 - 2:59SASMISS Barry 22' Jump Shot70
99.0%
52
1.0%
Q3 - 3:15ATLChildress Dunk (4 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)70
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q3 - 3:21SASBarry STEAL (1 STL)70
99.2%
50
0.8%
Q3 - 3:39ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS)70
99.3%
50
0.7%
Q3 - 3:43ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 3:44SASMISS Rose Layup70
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q3 - 4:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)70
99.5%
48
0.5%
Q3 - 4:03SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 270
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 4:03SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 4:03SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
99.4%
48
0.6%
Q3 - 4:04ATLMISS Childress Layup69
99.3%
48
0.7%
Q3 - 4:21SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)69
99.3%
48
0.7%
Q3 - 4:34ATLWillis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)67
99.1%
48
0.9%
Q3 - 4:34ATLWillis Reverse Layup (4 PTS)67
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q3 - 4:54SASBowen 13' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)67
99.4%
45
0.6%
Q3 - 5:14ATLWillis Layup (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)65
99.2%
45
0.8%
Q3 - 5:19ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
99.3%
43
0.7%
Q3 - 5:21SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 265
99.3%
43
0.7%
Q3 - 5:21SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 265
99.4%
43
0.6%
Q3 - 5:37ATLBarry 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
99.4%
43
0.6%
Q3 - 5:55SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
99.5%
41
0.5%
Q3 - 5:55SASBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)64
99.5%
41
0.5%
Q3 - 5:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)63
99.4%
41
0.6%
Q3 - 6:01ATLMISS Childress 6' Jump Shot63
99.3%
41
0.7%
Q3 - 6:18SASDuncan 18' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)63
99.2%
41
0.8%
Q3 - 6:45ATLDrobnjak 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)61
99.1%
41
0.9%
Q3 - 7:00SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)61
99.2%
39
0.8%
Q3 - 7:08SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
98.8%
39
1.2%
Q3 - 7:10ATLMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot58
98.7%
39
1.3%
Q3 - 7:33SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)58
98.6%
39
1.4%
Q3 - 7:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
98.1%
39
1.9%
Q3 - 7:49ATLMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot55
98.0%
39
2.0%
Q3 - 8:14SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
97.7%
39
2.3%
Q3 - 8:31ATLHarrington Layup (10 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)53
97.4%
39
2.6%
Q3 - 8:37ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
97.7%
37
2.3%
Q3 - 8:39SASMISS Bowen Layup53
97.8%
37
2.2%
Q3 - 8:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)53
98.0%
37
2.0%
Q3 - 8:53ATLMISS Anderson 5' Jump Shot53
97.9%
37
2.1%
Q3 - 9:16SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)53
97.6%
37
2.4%
Q3 - 9:16SASGinobili Driving Layup (2 PTS)52
97.2%
37
2.8%
Q3 - 9:29ATLHarrington Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)50
96.8%
37
3.2%
Q3 - 9:29ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)50
96.3%
37
3.7%
Q3 - 9:29ATLMISS Anderson Layup50
96.7%
37
3.3%
Q3 - 9:45SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)50
96.3%
37
3.7%
Q3 - 9:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)47
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q3 - 9:58ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
94.4%
37
5.6%
Q3 - 9:58ATLMISS Walker Layup47
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q3 - 9:59ATLMISS Walker Layup47
95.0%
37
5.0%
Q3 - 10:17SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
94.4%
37
5.6%
Q3 - 10:17SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 246
94.1%
37
5.9%
Q3 - 10:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)46
94.5%
37
5.5%
Q3 - 10:21ATLMISS Harrington Layup46
94.2%
37
5.8%
Q3 - 10:39SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 1 of 146
93.7%
37
6.3%
Q3 - 10:39SASNesterovic Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)46
93.6%
37
6.4%
Q3 - 10:53ATLCollier 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)44
92.8%
37
7.2%
Q3 - 11:06ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
93.8%
35
6.2%
Q3 - 11:08SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot44
94.0%
35
6.0%
Q3 - 11:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)44
94.5%
35
5.5%
Q3 - 11:25ATLMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot44
94.3%
35
5.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL44
93.7%
35
6.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound44
93.7%
35
6.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Parker 41' 3PT Jump Shot44
94.0%
35
6.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
94.2%
35
5.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
95.1%
33
4.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Bowen 15' Jump Shot44
95.2%
33
4.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
95.5%
33
4.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Drobnjak 16' Jump Shot44
95.4%
33
4.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASDuncan Dunk (13 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)44
95.1%
33
4.9%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
94.2%
33
5.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
94.1%
33
5.9%
Q2 - 1:09ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
93.6%
33
6.4%
Q2 - 1:12SASMISS Parker Layup42
93.7%
33
6.3%
Q2 - 1:24ATLDrobnjak Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
94.0%
33
6.0%
Q2 - 1:24ATLDrobnjak Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
94.1%
32
5.9%
Q2 - 1:41SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)42
95.0%
31
5.0%
Q2 - 2:00SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
94.0%
31
6.0%
Q2 - 2:02SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
93.4%
31
6.6%
Q2 - 2:18SASBarry Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)40
93.9%
31
6.1%
Q2 - 2:18ATLWalker 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)39
93.2%
31
6.8%
Q2 - 2:44SASBowen Layup (5 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)39
92.4%
31
7.6%
Q2 - 2:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)37
91.4%
31
8.6%
Q2 - 2:50ATLMISS Anderson Layup37
91.1%
31
8.9%
Q2 - 2:57SASWalker STEAL (2 STL)37
90.5%
31
9.5%
Q2 - 3:04SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
91.4%
31
8.6%
Q2 - 3:05ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
90.3%
31
9.7%
Q2 - 3:05ATLMISS Walker Layup37
91.1%
31
8.9%
Q2 - 3:07ATLMISS Walker Layup37
91.1%
31
8.9%
Q2 - 3:17ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
90.3%
31
9.7%
Q2 - 3:18SASMISS Parker 7' Jump Shot37
90.7%
31
9.3%
Q2 - 3:36ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
91.4%
31
8.6%
Q2 - 3:36ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
91.7%
30
8.3%
Q2 - 3:44ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
92.2%
29
7.8%
Q2 - 3:45ATLMISS Walker Layup37
92.9%
29
7.1%
Q2 - 4:04ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)37
92.3%
29
7.7%
Q2 - 4:05SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 237
92.4%
29
7.6%
Q2 - 4:05SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
92.9%
29
7.1%
Q2 - 4:05SASBrown Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)36
92.2%
29
7.8%
Q2 - 4:08SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
91.4%
29
8.6%
Q2 - 4:10ATLMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot35
91.1%
29
8.9%
Q2 - 4:33SASParker 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
90.4%
29
9.6%
Q2 - 4:45SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
89.4%
29
10.6%
Q2 - 4:46SASMISS Nesterovic 13' Jump Shot33
88.6%
29
11.4%
Q2 - 5:02SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
89.5%
29
10.5%
Q2 - 5:03ATLMISS Anderson 7' Jump Shot33
89.2%
29
10.8%
Q2 - 5:20ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)33
88.3%
29
11.7%
Q2 - 5:22SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 233
88.5%
29
11.5%
Q2 - 5:22SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
89.1%
29
10.9%
Q2 - 5:35SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
88.4%
29
11.6%
Q2 - 5:37ATLMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot32
88.0%
29
12.0%
Q2 - 5:48ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)32
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 5:50SASMISS Nesterovic 4' Jump Shot32
87.5%
29
12.5%
Q2 - 6:04ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
88.6%
29
11.4%
Q2 - 6:04ATLWalker 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
88.6%
29
11.4%
Q2 - 6:08ATLMISS Collier 12' Jump Shot32
90.3%
27
9.7%
Q2 - 6:19ATLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
89.4%
27
10.6%
Q2 - 6:21SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot32
89.8%
27
10.2%
Q2 - 6:46ATLAnderson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)32
90.6%
27
9.4%
Q2 - 7:02SASAnderson STEAL (2 STL)32
91.3%
25
8.7%
Q2 - 7:09SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
92.1%
25
7.9%
Q2 - 7:11ATLMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
91.9%
25
8.1%
Q2 - 7:25SASNesterovic Layup (6 PTS)32
91.3%
25
8.7%
Q2 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)30
90.5%
25
9.5%
Q2 - 7:35ATLMISS Harrington 13' Jump Shot30
90.2%
25
9.8%
Q2 - 7:53ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
89.5%
25
10.5%
Q2 - 7:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)30
90.5%
25
9.5%
Q2 - 7:54SASMISS Duncan Layup30
89.8%
25
10.2%
Q2 - 7:56SASMISS Ginobili Layup30
89.8%
25
10.2%
Q2 - 8:09ATLAnderson Layup (4 PTS)30
90.3%
25
9.7%
Q2 - 8:36ATLHAWKS Rebound28
89.3%
23
10.7%
Q2 - 8:36ATLWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
90.4%
23
9.6%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 228
90.7%
22
9.3%
Q2 - 8:53SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
90.2%
22
9.8%
Q2 - 9:15ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
89.4%
22
10.6%
Q2 - 9:15ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
89.6%
21
10.4%
Q2 - 9:25ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
90.2%
20
9.8%
Q2 - 9:28SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
90.5%
20
9.5%
Q2 - 9:39ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
91.2%
20
8.8%
Q2 - 9:53ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
90.2%
20
9.8%
Q2 - 9:54SASMISS Rose 4' Jump Shot26
90.5%
20
9.5%
Q2 - 9:56SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
91.2%
20
8.8%
Q2 - 9:58SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
90.5%
20
9.5%
Q2 - 10:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q2 - 10:12ATLMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot26
90.7%
20
9.3%
Q2 - 10:35ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
90.0%
20
10.0%
Q2 - 10:36SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
90.3%
20
9.7%
Q2 - 10:51ATLWalker 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
91.0%
20
9.0%
Q2 - 11:09SASUdrih Layup (6 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)26
91.7%
18
8.3%
Q2 - 11:13SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q2 - 11:14ATLMISS Harrington Layup24
90.7%
18
9.3%
Q2 - 11:27SASMcCoy STEAL (1 STL)24
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q2 - 11:34SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q2 - 11:35ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q2 - 11:35ATLMISS McCoy Layup24
90.7%
18
9.3%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMcCoy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q2 - 11:36ATLMISS McCoy Layup24
90.7%
18
9.3%
Q2 - 11:37ATLMISS McCoy Layup24
90.7%
18
9.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS24
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
90.9%
18
9.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Ivey 6' Jump Shot24
90.7%
18
9.3%
Q1 - 0:14.0SASRose Layup (2 PTS)24
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
89.0%
18
11.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
88.8%
18
11.2%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
88.2%
18
11.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
88.0%
18
12.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASSpurs Rebound20
87.0%
18
13.0%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLMISS McCoy Layup20
86.7%
18
13.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
86.1%
18
13.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASMISS Horry 17' Jump Shot20
86.4%
18
13.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
87.0%
18
13.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0SASMISS Udrih 11' Jump Shot20
86.4%
18
13.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)20
87.0%
18
13.0%
Q1 - 1:02ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
86.2%
18
13.8%
Q1 - 1:04SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot20
86.4%
18
13.6%
Q1 - 1:17ATLIvey 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
87.0%
18
13.0%
Q1 - 1:33ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
88.3%
16
11.7%
Q1 - 1:34SASMISS Udrih Free Throw 2 of 220
88.4%
16
11.6%
Q1 - 1:34SASUdrih Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)20
88.9%
16
11.1%
Q1 - 1:46SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
88.0%
16
12.0%
Q1 - 1:47ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
87.2%
16
12.8%
Q1 - 1:47ATLMISS Childress Tip Shot19
87.8%
16
12.2%
Q1 - 1:49ATLMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot19
87.8%
16
12.2%
Q1 - 2:09SASUdrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)19
87.4%
16
12.6%
Q1 - 2:27ATLBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
85.1%
16
14.9%
Q1 - 2:27ATLBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
85.2%
15
14.8%
Q1 - 2:33ATLWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
86.3%
14
13.7%
Q1 - 2:35SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
86.6%
14
13.4%
Q1 - 2:52ATLIvey Dunk (2 PTS)16
87.3%
14
12.7%
Q1 - 2:54SASIvey STEAL (1 STL)16
88.4%
12
11.6%
Q1 - 3:05SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
89.2%
12
10.8%
Q1 - 3:07ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot16
88.9%
12
11.1%
Q1 - 3:28SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)16
88.2%
12
11.8%
Q1 - 3:40SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
86.4%
12
13.6%
Q1 - 3:42ATLMISS Drobnjak 14' Jump Shot13
86.0%
12
14.0%
Q1 - 3:59SASRose Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)13
85.1%
12
14.9%
Q1 - 4:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)13
86.7%
12
13.3%
Q1 - 4:03ATLDrobnjak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
85.4%
12
14.6%
Q1 - 4:03ATLMISS Drobnjak Layup13
86.3%
12
13.7%
Q1 - 4:05ATLMISS Harrington Layup13
86.3%
12
13.7%
Q1 - 4:08ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
85.4%
12
14.6%
Q1 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
86.7%
12
13.3%
Q1 - 4:10SASMISS Duncan Layup13
85.8%
12
14.2%
Q1 - 4:11SASMISS Parker Layup13
85.8%
12
14.2%
Q1 - 4:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
86.7%
12
13.3%
Q1 - 4:19ATLMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
86.3%
12
13.7%
Q1 - 4:45SASDuncan Layup (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)13
85.4%
12
14.6%
Q1 - 4:58ATLDrobnjak Layup (4 PTS)11
84.5%
12
15.5%
Q1 - 5:10ATLBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
85.7%
10
14.3%
Q1 - 5:11SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot11
86.1%
10
13.9%
Q1 - 5:17SASSpurs Rebound11
86.8%
10
13.2%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot11
86.1%
10
13.9%
Q1 - 5:38ATLDrobnjak 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)11
86.8%
10
13.2%
Q1 - 6:04ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
87.6%
8
12.4%
Q1 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot11
87.9%
8
12.1%
Q1 - 6:25ATLWalker 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)11
88.5%
8
11.5%
Q1 - 6:45SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)11
89.3%
6
10.7%
Q1 - 6:52SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
87.7%
6
12.3%
Q1 - 6:53ATLMISS Drobnjak 6' Jump Shot8
87.4%
6
12.6%
Q1 - 7:14SASDuncan Dunk (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)8
86.9%
6
13.1%
Q1 - 7:31ATLAnderson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
86.1%
6
13.9%
Q1 - 7:48SASNesterovic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
86.9%
4
13.1%
Q1 - 7:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)4
86.1%
4
13.9%
Q1 - 8:00ATLMISS Harrington 7' Jump Shot4
85.7%
4
14.3%
Q1 - 8:19SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)4
85.6%
4
14.4%
Q1 - 8:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)2
84.7%
4
15.3%
Q1 - 8:29ATLMISS Walker Layup2
84.4%
4
15.6%
Q1 - 8:38SASAnderson STEAL (1 STL)2
83.6%
4
16.4%
Q1 - 9:06ATLHarrington Dunk (4 PTS) (Collier 1 AST)2
84.7%
4
15.3%
Q1 - 9:14ATLDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
85.4%
2
14.6%
Q1 - 9:15SASMISS Duncan Layup2
85.8%
2
14.2%
Q1 - 9:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
86.6%
2
13.4%
Q1 - 9:28ATLMISS Anderson 16' Jump Shot2
86.3%
2
13.7%
Q1 - 9:30ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
85.4%
2
14.6%
Q1 - 9:32SASMISS Duncan Layup2
85.8%
2
14.2%
Q1 - 9:54ATLHarrington 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)2
86.6%
2
13.4%
Q1 - 10:15SASNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
87.3%
0
12.7%
Q1 - 10:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
86.5%
0
13.5%
Q1 - 10:28ATLMISS Collier 13' Jump Shot0
86.2%
0
13.8%
Q1 - 10:42ATLCollier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
85.5%
0
14.5%
Q1 - 10:43SASMISS Parker Layup0
85.8%
0
14.2%
Q1 - 11:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
86.5%
0
13.5%
Q1 - 11:07ATLMISS Walker 12' Jump Shot0
86.3%
0
13.7%
Q1 - 11:20SASWalker STEAL (1 STL)0
85.7%
0
14.3%
Q1 - 11:33ATLCollier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
86.5%
0
13.5%
Q1 - 11:48SASNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
85.7%
0
14.3%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Collier vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Parker0
86.5%
0
13.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAN
1.04 52.0%
ATL
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAN
17
36
47%
ATL
18
39
46%
Midrange
SAN
8
25
32%
ATL
10
35
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAN
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
ATL
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
SAN
26
36
72%
ATL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2652%13.0 / 25
B. Bowen2292%11.0 / 12
B. Barry1365%6.5 / 10
R. Nesterovic1050%5.0 / 10
M. Ginobili950%4.5 / 9
B. Udrih964%4.5 / 7
D. Brown6100%3.0 / 3
T. Parker319%1.5 / 8
M. Rose321%1.5 / 7
R. Horry233%1.0 / 3
T. Massenburg0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker2350%11.5 / 23
A. Harrington1045%5.0 / 11
J. Barry956%4.5 / 8
R. Ivey956%4.5 / 8
P. Drobnjak945%4.5 / 10
K. Willis758%3.5 / 6
K. Anderson633%3.0 / 9
J. Collier440%2.0 / 5
J. Childress440%2.0 / 5
B. Diaw338%1.5 / 4
J. McCoy217%1.0 / 6
J. Smith250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAN
81
+13
-14
94
ATL
79
+12
-12
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAN
1.04 52.0%
ATL
0.90 44.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
98.6
SAS 108.4
ATL 96.7 +11.7
Pace
91.2
93.3
SAS 90.9
ATL 95.3 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
SAS 15.8
ATL 15.1 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
46.4%
SAS 49.4% +7.1%
ATL 42.3%
TO %
14.2%
16.3%
SAS 13.0%
ATL 11.3% +1.7%
ORB %
29.2%
30.8%
SAS 22.9%
ATL 23.1% +0.2%
FTrt
32.9
29.9
SAS 46.2 +17.6
ATL 28.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
54.9%
SAS 67.6% +22.1%
ATL 45.5%
STL %
8.2%
8.1%
SAS 5.3%
ATL 11.0% +5.7%
BLK %
9.9%
6.7%
SAS 9.5% +9.5%
ATL 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
47.8%
SAS 52.0% +7.1%
ATL 44.9%
Rim FG%
59.3%
55.4%
SAS 47.2% +1.0%
ATL 46.2%
Mid FG%
37.2%
37.3%
SAS 32.0% +3.4%
ATL 28.6%
3P %
36.3%
31.2%
SAS 52.9% +2.9%
ATL 50.0%
FT %
72.4%
71.1%
SAS 72.2% +1.4%
ATL 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
42.4%
SAS 46.2%
ATL 46.4% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
43.0%
SAS 32.1% +9.6%
ATL 41.7%
3P Att. %
21.6%
14.6%
SAS 21.8% +9.9%
ATL 11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsSASATL
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points10388
Rebounds5149
Assists2315
Steals510
Blocks70
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)37 (3)
Field Goals34-7833-84
At-the-Rim FG17-3618-39
Midrange FG8-2510-35
2-Point FG25-6128-74
3-Point FG9-175-10
Free Throws26-3617-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 200 · 33
33.4
22
92%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
5-5
100%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
33.3
3
19%
3
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
33.2
26
52%
18
0
0
2
3
2
4
14
6-10
60%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
26.8
10
50%
11
2
0
3
4
2
3
8
0-2
0%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 27
26.5
9
50%
4
9
2
0
1
2
1
3
5-5
100%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
21.8
13
65%
2
3
0
0
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
20.6
3
21%
7
2
1
0
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
14.7
9
64%
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
11.8
6
100%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37
8.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
6.8
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 5'10" 180 · 26
2.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
52%
51
23
5
7
14
0
11
40
26-36
72%
25-61
41%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.