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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 13, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Knicks26%9397
10Pacers74%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.7
39.9
34.1
37
73%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
9-12
75%
8-13
4-10
62%
45%
4-7
57%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.1
39.6
29.2
12
40%
10
2
1
1
2
0
0
10
0-0
-
6-15
4-8
40%
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
38.6
17.7
20
54%
15
1
2
1
4
2
11
4
4-6
67%
8-16
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.7
20.4
23.5
6
28%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
45%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
11.6
33.7
0
0%
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
4-9
0%
43%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 33.3
32.3
23.4
5
36%
6
4
1
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
41%
1-2
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.4
19.9
21.8
6
44%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.1
15.8
26.1
6
44%
4
0
0
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-0
-
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.5
12.8
13.8
5
87%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 31.3
6.0
6.1
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
3.2
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.0
43.3
27.9
22
56%
7
6
1
1
1
3
2
5
8-8
100%
7-15
4-10
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
41.0
32.0
9
33%
3
9
3
2
2
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
1-5
20%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
39.4
32.2
33
65%
12
2
0
1
5
2
1
11
7-10
70%
13-21
7-15
62%
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 26.6
38.7
38.6
19
78%
7
3
0
2
1
3
0
7
4-5
80%
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.5
38.5
33.4
12
104%
8
1
2
1
1
4
3
5
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-2
100%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.2
15.1
16.2
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.2
14.5
16.0
1
9%
2
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.1
9.6
14.2
5
63%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.7
21.8
1
1-3
46%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.8
9.2
0
1-2
48%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.3
5.0
0
1-1
48%
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 23.8
4.3
0
1-1
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.