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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 20, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Bobcats22%9484
27Cavaliers78%104100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.5
36.0
30.6
13
42%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
5-8
63%
1-9
2-6
11%
43%
2-3
67%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
33.3
26.6
15
55%
7
2
1
1
1
4
5
2
5-8
63%
5-10
4-9
50%
42%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.0
31.1
10.6
8
62%
2
8
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
41%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
30.4
28.9
7
21%
12
1
0
0
1
0
6
6
1-2
50%
3-16
4-9
19%
46%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.1
26.9
29.1
13
50%
7
0
3
1
1
4
2
5
1-2
50%
6-12
3-8
50%
42%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.6
24.0
19.2
5
29%
8
2
0
0
2
1
4
4
1-4
25%
2-7
3-6
29%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.8
19.0
22.2
7
44%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-6
50%
41%
1-4
25%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.5
17.5
29.6
8
47%
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-7
3-9
29%
40%
1-1
100%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 21.5
12.0
7.3
1
13%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 35.6
9.8
22.7
7
90%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 28.8
7.5
0
1-1
48%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
37.8
34.0
25
57%
8
2
3
2
1
7
5
3
3-4
75%
11-18
6-14
61%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
33.9
32.0
24
75%
3
3
2
1
1
2
1
2
8-9
89%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
31.9
29.2
13
59%
10
2
1
1
4
2
2
8
7-7
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
27.3
22.4
3
32%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.5
26.4
32.8
12
42%
12
4
0
1
2
2
6
6
8-10
80%
2-10
5-11
20%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
21.6
22.7
5
51%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.8
16.1
16.9
3
19%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-7
2-5
14%
49%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.8
11.5
6.0
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.9
11.3
16.7
8
80%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.7
10.1
9.0
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.0
6.1
11.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
1-1
100%
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
6.0
9.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.