Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 20, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Timberwolves | 67% | 97 | 99 |
| 33 | Hornets | 33% | 92 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 34% | 96 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 31 | Nets | 54% | 98 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 36 | Bobcats | 22% | 94 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cpath%20d='M376,81.4L341.7,155H204.3L161,247.8h-38.8c0.3-4.6,1.2-9.3,2.7-13.8c3.7-11.2,10.7-20.4,19.5-27c2.3,2.6,4.4,5.5,6.3,8.5%20c0.3,0.5,0.9,0.4,1.1,0c0,0,0,0,0,0l62.6-134.2H376z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M57.8,276.6c-3.9,7.8-9.5,14.5-16.3,19.6c-5.7-6.6-10.2-14.3-13.1-23.1c-2-5.9-3.1-11.8-3.4-17.7h38.6%20C63.1,262.7,61.2,269.9,57.8,276.6'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,255.4v64.2c-15.8-0.9-30.7-7.3-42.3-17.9c7.4-5.7,13.4-13.1,17.8-21.7c3.9-7.8,6.1-16.1,6.6-24.6H89.1z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M60.9,234c1.5,4.5,2.4,9.2,2.7,13.8H25c0.8-15.1,6.7-29.4,16.5-40.7C50.2,213.7,57.1,222.9,60.9,234'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,183.7v64.2H71.2c-0.3-5.4-1.4-10.9-3.1-16.2c-4.1-12.4-11.7-22.6-21.3-30c6.9-6.4,15.2-11.4,24.7-14.6%20C77.3,185.1,83.2,184,89.1,183.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M114.6,247.8H96.7v-64.2c15.8,0.9,30.8,7.2,42.4,17.9c-9.9,7.6-17.3,18-21.4,30.1C115.9,237,114.9,242.4,114.6,247.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M139.1,301.8c-6.9,6.3-15.2,11.3-24.6,14.5c-5.9,2-11.9,3.1-17.8,3.4v-64.2h17.8c0.5,8.5,2.7,16.8,6.6,24.6%20C125.5,288.7,131.6,296.1,139.1,301.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M161,255.4c-0.8,15.1-6.7,29.5-16.6,40.9c-6.9-5.1-12.5-11.8-16.4-19.7c-3.4-6.7-5.3-13.9-5.8-21.2H161z'/%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 9 | Jazz | 66% | 100 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, November 19, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 17% | 97 | 101 |
 | 3 | Mavericks | 83% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 56% | 101 | 101 | |
 | 26 | Raptors | 44% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Celtics | 42% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 43% | 100 | 105 |
 | 13 | Heat | 57% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 33% | 87 | 97 |
 | 5 | Pistons | 67% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35 | Bulls | 29% | 95 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Lakers | 29% | 99 | 102 |
| 11 | Suns | 71% | 106 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bucks | 43% | 98 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 27% | 99 | 105 |
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Thursday, November 18, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 93 |
| 15 | Rockets | 66% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 59% | 101 | 106 |
| 36 | Bobcats | 41% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 70% | 98 | 88 |
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Wednesday, November 17, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Raptors | 34% | 93 | 106 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 66% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 51% | 104 | 105 |
| 28 | Wizards | 49% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 44% | 100 | 92 |
| 19 | Magic | 56% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 10% | 87 | 86 |
| 7 | Pacers | 90% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 54% | 96 | 79 | |
| 33 | Nets | 46% | 95 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 39% | 91 | 85 |
| 12 | Pistons | 61% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 40% | 101 | 113 |
| 21 | Bucks | 60% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 43% | 97 | 101 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 35% | 95 | 89 |
| 17 | Lakers | 65% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Bulls | 25% | 93 | 85 |
| 24 | Warriors | 75% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 55% | 101 | 95 | |
| 32 | Hornets | 45% | 100 | 84 | |
Tuesday, November 16, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 61% | 95 | 84 |
| 36 | Hawks | 39% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 54% | 102 | 103 | |
| 28 | 76ers | 46% | 101 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 76% | 102 | 107 | |
| 35 | Bobcats | 24% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 29% | 96 | 97 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 71% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Mavericks | 70% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 18% | 90 | 81 |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 102 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Bulls | 14% | 95 | 106 |
| 4 | Kings | 86% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 37% | 93 | 89 |
| 19 | Clippers | 63% | 97 | 101 |
Monday, November 15, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 54% | 90 | 80 |
| 33 | Nets | 46% | 88 | 69 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 42% | 95 | 88 | |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 58% | 98 | 99 |
Sunday, November 14, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 26% | 95 | 89 |
| 5 | Kings | 74% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 33% | 98 | 113 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 67% | 104 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 27% | 100 | 110 |
| 15 | Heat | 73% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 49% | 102 | 87 |
| 29 | 76ers | 51% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 64% | 108 | 122 |
| 30 | Wizards | 36% | 103 | 113 |
Saturday, November 13, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 42% | 104 | 113 |
| 12 | Suns | 58% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 30% | 90 | 102 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 41% | 91 | 93 |
| 6 | Jazz | 59% | 93 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 33% | 93 | 84 |
| 17 | Rockets | 67% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 36% | 100 | 91 | |
| 23 | Bucks | 64% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 48% | 96 | 97 |
| 34 | Bulls | 52% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 26% | 93 | 97 |
| 10 | Pacers | 74% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 98 | 103 | |
| 36 | Hawks | 19% | 87 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 54% | 97 | 103 | |
| 35 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Wizards | 41% | 102 | 74 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 59% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 66% | 99 | 94 |
| 33 | Nets | 34% | 93 | 78 | |
Friday, November 12, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 35% | 94 | 67 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 65% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 57% | 97 | 104 |
| 32 | 76ers | 43% | 95 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 38% | 97 | 113 |
| 21 | Magic | 62% | 101 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 22% | 93 | 74 |
| 15 | Celtics | 78% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 47% | 96 | 96 |
| 25 | Knicks | 53% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 18% | 89 | 96 |
| 17 | Hornets | 82% | 101 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 21% | 92 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 102 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 30% | 96 | 87 |
| 9 | SuperSonics | 70% | 103 | 88 | |
Thursday, November 11, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 66% | 91 | 109 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 34% | 86 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 49% | 96 | 96 |
| 14 | Rockets | 51% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 40% | 101 | 113 |
| 12 | Heat | 60% | 105 | 93 |
Wednesday, November 10, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 19% | 88 | 71 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 99 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 94 | 88 |
| 20 | Celtics | 64% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Nets | 37% | 92 | 100 | |
| 31 | 76ers | 63% | 96 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 49% | 103 | 96 |
| 32 | Wizards | 51% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 30% | 91 | 102 |
| 9 | Pacers | 70% | 98 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 53% | 102 | 109 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 47% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 34% | 96 | 87 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 66% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 18% | 90 | 104 |
| 6 | Jazz | 82% | 102 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 46% | 101 | 78 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 54% | 103 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 24% | 101 | 100 |
| 24 | Bucks | 76% | 110 | 102 |
Tuesday, November 9, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 38% | 93 | 106 |
| 17 | Hornets | 62% | 97 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 49% | 102 | 84 |
| 19 | Magic | 51% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 93 | 60 |
| 34 | Nets | 41% | 91 | 64 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 42% | 100 | 88 | |
| 28 | Knicks | 58% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Cavaliers | 59% | 99 | 93 |
| 36 | Hawks | 41% | 96 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Wizards | 23% | 100 | 93 |
| 10 | Heat | 77% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 37% | 94 | 102 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 63% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 61% | 104 | 94 |
| 33 | Bulls | 39% | 100 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 40% | 96 | 87 |
| 12 | Rockets | 60% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 47% | 96 | 108 | |
| 22 | Nuggets | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 25% | 93 | 92 |
| 8 | Kings | 75% | 101 | 108 |
Monday, November 8, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 62% | 94 | 99 |
| 21 | Clippers | 38% | 90 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 27% | 90 | 91 |
| 8 | Jazz | 73% | 97 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 22% | 95 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 78% | 105 | 101 |
Sunday, November 7, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 92 | 97 |
| 24 | Raptors | 56% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 19% | 92 | 90 |
| 23 | Lakers | 81% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 99 | 94 | |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 32% | 93 | 113 | |