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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 20, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Timberwolves67%9799
33Hornets33%9294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.5
37.2
36.8
20
70%
12
5
2
1
1
1
2
10
4-5
80%
8-11
8-17
73%
49%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
31.7
31.1
11
42%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
1-2
50%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
31.6
29.2
20
57%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
48%
0-2
0%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.2
20.5
31.1
3
19%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
3-8
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.9
6.2
3.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 22.5
29.9
17.6
23
82%
7
1
1
0
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
7-10
2-4
70%
41%
3-4
75%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.1
24.8
14.4
15
86%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
2-3
67%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.8
22.7
15.1
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.7
19.1
19.9
0
0%
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.7
13.8
17.1
3
31%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
2.6
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.6
20.6
0
2-5
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.4
35.8
27.9
13
49%
6
7
2
1
0
2
3
3
4-5
80%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
1-4
25%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.0
33.8
36.2
14
47%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
42%
2-6
33%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.1
32.1
30.9
10
63%
8
2
2
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
29.8
30.1
6
38%
7
2
0
0
0
3
3
4
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.2
17.8
25.5
5
56%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 29.7
30.2
18.5
21
67%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
3-4
75%
9-14
3-8
64%
45%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
15.8
14.2
6
68%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
15.6
1.2
6
50%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
38%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
15.5
16.9
4
67%
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.2
10.8
9.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Matt Freije
F · 6'9" 249 · 23.1
2.8
10.5
9
113%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
3-4
75%
Alex Garcia
G-F · 6'3" 195 · 24.7
14.0
0
2-4
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.