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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 25, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Timberwolves58%95102
25Pacers42%92106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 28.5
43.2
37.4
23
58%
9
5
1
1
2
0
0
9
11-18
61%
6-12
8-16
50%
49%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.7
39.8
29.7
18
74%
5
3
0
1
0
4
2
3
5-5
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
1-3
33%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.2
35.8
29.1
16
64%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
42%
1-3
33%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 25.7
22.3
24.0
0
0%
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.0
20.9
24.2
10
51%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 28.7
27.7
22.2
19
49%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
7-13
2-5
54%
42%
1-5
20%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.1
20.9
18.8
7
90%
5
0
2
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 28.8
19.6
12.6
4
67%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 22.5
9.7
18.4
5
63%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
40%
1-1
100%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.6
12.1
0
1-3
42%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 36.9
8.0
0
0-1
47%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.4
0.8
0
0-0
35%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.7
40.6
32.1
20
54%
7
14
5
2
0
3
0
7
4-8
50%
5-12
3-6
42%
44%
2-3
67%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 25.7
39.9
35.4
17
66%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
3-8
38%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 24.1
38.5
30.6
13
81%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.6
37.3
36.2
25
79%
11
0
0
1
0
5
1
10
10-11
91%
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
3-5
60%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
16.1
24.5
8
62%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 29.8
31.0
14.8
13
48%
4
2
3
1
1
3
3
1
1-1
100%
6-13
1-3
46%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.3
20.8
23.9
8
68%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
2-3
67%
Britton Johnsen
F · 6'10" 210 · 25.4
10.8
11.7
2
50%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Tremaine Fowlkes
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.6
5.2
13.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.3
4.5
0
0-1
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.