Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, November 25, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Nets | 28% | 88 | 88 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Timberwolves | 58% | 95 | 102 |
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Wednesday, November 24, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 43% | 98 | 91 |
 | 24 | Raptors | 57% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Celtics | 44% | 95 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Magic | 68% | 102 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pistons | 43% | 93 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Heat | 67% | 100 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 39% | 100 | 93 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Mavericks | 23% | 92 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 36 | Bulls | 13% | 91 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bucks | 20% | 100 | 104 |
| 9 | Suns | 80% | 111 | 111 | |
Tuesday, November 23, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Hornets | 31% | 90 | 109 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 35% | 99 | 96 |
 | 15 | Lakers | 65% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Nets | 30% | 88 | 88 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SuperSonics | 36% | 97 | 103 | |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 64% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 95 | 99 |
| 9 | Heat | 71% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hawks | 24% | 94 | 88 |
| 21 | Knicks | 76% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 38% | 92 | 96 |
| 13 | Pacers | 62% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 72% | 97 | 89 |
 | 35 | Bobcats | 28% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 44% | 101 | 86 |
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Monday, November 22, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 54% | 96 | 90 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 49% | 100 | 83 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 51% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bulls | 14% | 98 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Hornets | 18% | 89 | 76 | |
| 6 | Jazz | 82% | 101 | 75 |
Sunday, November 21, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bulls | 22% | 95 | 93 |
| 16 | Lakers | 78% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 21% | 101 | 79 |
| 3 | Kings | 79% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 58% | 102 | 82 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 42% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 39% | 92 | 97 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 32% | 97 | 88 |
| 21 | Knicks | 68% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 8% | 84 | 116 |
| 4 | Pistons | 92% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 27% | 96 | 83 |
| 12 | Heat | 73% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 49% | 100 | 83 | |
| 19 | Celtics | 51% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 53% | 102 | 122 | |
| 15 | Clippers | 47% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 71% | 98 | 91 |
| 27 | Raptors | 29% | 91 | 96 |
Saturday, November 20, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 43% | 97 | 100 |
| 25 | Warriors | 57% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 43% | 94 | 91 |
| 18 | Clippers | 57% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 66% | 100 | 92 |
| 34 | Hawks | 34% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 22% | 94 | 84 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 78% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 46% | 96 | 97 |
| 31 | Nets | 54% | 98 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 34% | 96 | 86 |
| 7 | Pacers | 66% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 67% | 97 | 99 |
| 33 | Hornets | 33% | 92 | 94 | |
Friday, November 19, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 58% | 96 | 92 |
| 18 | Celtics | 42% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 27% | 99 | 105 |
| 4 | Kings | 73% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 43% | 98 | 98 |
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 29% | 99 | 102 |
| 11 | Suns | 71% | 106 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bulls | 29% | 95 | 81 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 71% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 17% | 97 | 101 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 83% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 33% | 87 | 97 |
| 5 | Pistons | 67% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 43% | 100 | 105 |
| 13 | Heat | 57% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 56% | 101 | 101 | |
| 26 | Raptors | 44% | 99 | 94 |
Thursday, November 18, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 93 |
| 15 | Rockets | 66% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 59% | 101 | 106 |
| 36 | Bobcats | 41% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 70% | 98 | 88 |
| 27 | 76ers | 30% | 92 | 80 |
Wednesday, November 17, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 54% | 96 | 79 | |
| 33 | Nets | 46% | 95 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 51% | 104 | 105 |
| 28 | Wizards | 49% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 44% | 100 | 92 |
| 19 | Magic | 56% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 10% | 87 | 86 |
| 7 | Pacers | 90% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 39% | 91 | 85 |
| 12 | Pistons | 61% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 55% | 101 | 95 | |
| 32 | Hornets | 45% | 100 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 40% | 101 | 113 |
| 21 | Bucks | 60% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Raptors | 34% | 93 | 106 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 66% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 43% | 97 | 101 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 35% | 95 | 89 |
| 17 | Lakers | 65% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Bulls | 25% | 93 | 85 |
| 24 | Warriors | 75% | 102 | 98 |
Tuesday, November 16, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 37% | 93 | 89 |
| 19 | Clippers | 63% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Bulls | 14% | 95 | 106 |
| 4 | Kings | 86% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 18% | 90 | 81 |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 102 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 30% | 103 | 107 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 70% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 29% | 96 | 97 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 71% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 61% | 95 | 84 |
| 36 | Hawks | 39% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 76% | 102 | 107 | |
| 35 | Bobcats | 24% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 54% | 102 | 103 | |
| 28 | 76ers | 46% | 101 | 95 | |
Monday, November 15, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 54% | 90 | 80 |
| 33 | Nets | 46% | 88 | 69 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 42% | 95 | 88 | |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 58% | 98 | 99 |
Sunday, November 14, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 26% | 95 | 89 |
| 5 | Kings | 74% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 33% | 98 | 113 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 67% | 104 | 118 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 27% | 100 | 110 |
| 15 | Heat | 73% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 49% | 102 | 87 |
| 29 | 76ers | 51% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 64% | 108 | 122 |
| 30 | Wizards | 36% | 103 | 113 |
Saturday, November 13, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 26% | 93 | 97 |
| 10 | Pacers | 74% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 66% | 99 | 94 |
| 33 | Nets | 34% | 93 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Wizards | 41% | 102 | 74 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 59% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 54% | 97 | 103 | |
| 35 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 98 | 103 | |
| 36 | Hawks | 19% | 87 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 48% | 96 | 97 |
| 34 | Bulls | 52% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 36% | 100 | 91 | |
| 23 | Bucks | 64% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 33% | 93 | 84 |
| 17 | Rockets | 67% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 41% | 91 | 93 |
| 6 | Jazz | 59% | 93 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 42% | 104 | 113 |
| 12 | Suns | 58% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 30% | 90 | 102 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 97 | 105 |
Friday, November 12, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 57% | 97 | 104 |
| 32 | 76ers | 43% | 95 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 30% | 96 | 87 |
| 9 | SuperSonics | 70% | 103 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 21% | 92 | 84 |
| 2 | Spurs | 79% | 102 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 18% | 89 | 96 |
| 17 | Hornets | 82% | 101 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 35% | 94 | 67 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 65% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 47% | 96 | 96 |
| 25 | Knicks | 53% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 22% | 93 | 74 |
| 15 | Celtics | 78% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 38% | 97 | 113 |
| 21 | Magic | 62% | 101 | 122 |