FinalWin Prob.pScore
3116%95
104
384%108
123
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
115.69089.4
DAL logo DAL
124.29999.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL104
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MILJames 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)104
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)102
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot102
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)102
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0DALHarris Driving Layup (3 PTS)102
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:53.0MILRedd Slam Dunk (18 PTS)102
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MILJames Reverse Layup (18 PTS)100
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS) (Terry 10 AST)98
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41MILMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Terry 9 AST)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04MILFinley STEAL (2 STL)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MILSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49DALStackhouse Reverse Dunk (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)96
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01MILFizer Foul Turnover (P2.T11)96
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:02MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 3:04DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot96
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19MILFizer 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 3 AST)96
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:29MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DALMISS Stackhouse Layup94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 3:48MILJames Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Fizer 3 AST)94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 4:05DALHoward Layup (25 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MILNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)92
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:16MILFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:18MILMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:31DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot92
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:48MILJames 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DALHoward Layup (22 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DALHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)90
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:02DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot90
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 5:24MILPachulia 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)90
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 5:35DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (33 PTS)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:54DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 5:56MILMISS Pachulia 7' Running Jump Shot88
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:17DALBradley Dunk (2 PTS) (Finley 6 AST)88
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:44MILPachulia Layup (9 PTS)88
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 7:01DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 186
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 7:01DALNowitzki Layup (31 PTS)86
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 7:13MILJames Driving Layup (12 PTS)86
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 7:18DALFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)84
0.9%
97
99.1%
Q4 - 7:46DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 7:46MILMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot84
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 8:02DALHoward Slam Dunk (20 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)84
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 8:08DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 8:10MILMISS Mason Reverse Layup84
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 8:32DALHoward 5' Jump Hook Shot (18 PTS)84
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 8:33DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)84
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 8:35DALMISS Henderson 11' Jump Shot84
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q4 - 9:00MILPachulia Layup (7 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)84
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 9:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)82
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 9:29DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 282
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 9:43DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 9:45MILFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)82
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 9:47MILSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 9:49MILMISS James 9' Jump Shot82
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 10:01DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T5)82
2.9%
92
97.1%
Q4 - 10:13MILGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 10:13MILGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)81
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 10:23MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
1.9%
92
98.1%
Q4 - 10:25DALMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot80
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 10:35DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 10:36DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot80
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 10:52DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 10:52MILMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot80
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 11:20DALHoward Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)80
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 11:25MILNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)80
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 11:40DALFinley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)80
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 11:50MILJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)80
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL80
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Finley 28' 3PT Jump Shot80
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILWilliams 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALStackhouse Slam Dunk (12 PTS)78
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
4.2%
86
95.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
3.5%
86
96.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot76
3.3%
86
96.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)76
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 275
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q3 - 1:13DALMAVERICKS Rebound75
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q3 - 1:13MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 275
2.6%
86
97.4%
Q3 - 1:13MILMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 275
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q3 - 1:27DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)75
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 1:27DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)75
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 1:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q3 - 1:29MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot75
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q3 - 1:42DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)75
4.5%
84
95.5%
Q3 - 1:46DALMAVERICKS Rebound75
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q3 - 1:48DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot75
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q3 - 2:07MILPachulia 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q3 - 2:28MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
3.3%
84
96.7%
Q3 - 2:29DALMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 2:46DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)73
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 2:48DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 2:48DALMISS Stackhouse Layup73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 2:50DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 3:00DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 3:02MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 3:06MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 3:07MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)73
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 3:07MILMISS Pachulia Layup73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 3:08MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 3:08MILMISS Pachulia Layup73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 3:09MILMISS Pachulia Layup73
3.1%
84
96.9%
Q3 - 3:39MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)73
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 3:41MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 3:54MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)73
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q3 - 3:56MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 273
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q3 - 3:56MILGadzuric Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
3.2%
84
96.8%
Q3 - 4:01DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)72
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 4:04MILHarris STEAL (2 STL)72
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 4:14DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)72
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 4:14DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 272
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q3 - 4:25MILSmith Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)72
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q3 - 4:44DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 4:44DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 270
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 5:08MILWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)70
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q3 - 5:29DALHenderson Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)67
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 5:35MILHoward STEAL (1 STL)67
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 5:36MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q3 - 5:38DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot67
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 5:49MILRedd 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)67
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 6:04DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Terry 7 AST)65
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 6:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 6:11DALMISS Nowitzki 3PT Jump Shot65
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 6:29MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)65
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 6:29MILGadzuric Tip Shot (11 PTS)65
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 6:31MILMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot63
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 6:44MILBucks Rebound63
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 6:45DALMISS Stackhouse 3PT Jump Shot63
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 7:00DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 7:00DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot63
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 7:18MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)63
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 7:32MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)61
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 7:35DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 261
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 7:35DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)61
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 7:43MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 8:04DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)58
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 8:19MILGadzuric Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)58
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 8:26MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q3 - 8:28DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot56
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q3 - 8:50MILMason Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)56
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q3 - 9:12DALDampier Layup (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)54
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q3 - 9:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 9:26MILMISS Gadzuric 7' Turnaround Hook Shot54
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 9:37MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)54
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 9:40DALMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot54
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 9:59MILMason 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)54
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 10:15MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)52
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 10:16DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 10:35MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 10:35MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 10:38MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 10:41MILMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot50
0.8%
72
99.2%
Q3 - 10:54DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)50
0.9%
72
99.1%
Q3 - 11:00MILTerry STEAL (2 STL)50
1.0%
70
99.0%
Q3 - 11:21DALHoward Driving Layup (13 PTS)50
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 11:27DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 11:29MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 11:47DALMISS Dampier Free Throw 1 of 150
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q3 - 11:47DALDampier Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)50
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL50
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALNowitzki Layup (21 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)50
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot50
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 250
2.7%
64
97.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 250
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALMISS Terry 7' Jump Shot50
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q2 - 1:03MILGill Dunk (3 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)50
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q2 - 1:06MILBucks Rebound48
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 1:07MILMISS Gill Reverse Layup48
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q2 - 1:33DALHoward Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)48
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q2 - 1:37MILFinley STEAL (1 STL)48
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q2 - 1:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q2 - 1:47DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)48
3.1%
61
96.9%
Q2 - 2:08MILJames 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q2 - 2:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)46
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q2 - 2:14MILMISS Redd 11' Jump Shot46
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q2 - 2:31DALHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q2 - 2:31DALHenderson Tip Shot (4 PTS)46
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q2 - 2:33DALMISS Terry 5' Jump Shot46
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 2:43MILGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)46
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 2:43MILMISS Gill Free Throw 1 of 245
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q2 - 2:45MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 2:47DALMISS Nowitzki Layup45
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 3:01DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 3:03MILMISS Fizer 12' Jump Shot45
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 3:14MILFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
3.7%
58
96.3%
Q2 - 3:33MILRedd Driving Layup (11 PTS) (James 2 AST)45
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q2 - 3:38MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q2 - 3:40DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q2 - 3:49MILFizer Hook Shot (5 PTS)43
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q2 - 4:10DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)41
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 4:23MILFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 4:23MILMISS Fizer Free Throw 1 of 240
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 4:36MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)40
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q2 - 4:38DALMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot40
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 4:55MILRedd 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS)40
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q2 - 5:12DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)38
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q2 - 5:15DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
2.8%
53
97.2%
Q2 - 5:17MILMISS James 19' Jump Shot38
2.9%
53
97.1%
Q2 - 5:29DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)38
3.2%
53
96.8%
Q2 - 5:29DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
3.3%
52
96.7%
Q2 - 5:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
3.5%
51
96.5%
Q2 - 5:30MILMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot38
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 5:45DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)38
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 5:45DALStackhouse Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)38
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q2 - 5:47MILTerry STEAL (1 STL)38
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 6:01DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)38
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q2 - 6:14MILRedd Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
6.7%
45
93.3%
Q2 - 6:17MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
6.2%
45
93.8%
Q2 - 6:19DALMISS Stackhouse 7' Jump Shot36
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 6:37MILPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)36
5.5%
45
94.5%
Q2 - 6:37MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 6:49DALDampier Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)34
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 7:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 7:10DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 7:10DALMISS Dampier Layup34
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 7:13DALMISS Terry 8' Jump Shot34
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q2 - 7:35MILFizer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)34
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 7:52MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q2 - 7:54DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot32
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 8:15MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)32
3.9%
45
96.1%
Q2 - 8:21MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Finley 15' Jump Shot29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 8:44MILJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)29
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 9:09DALStackhouse 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
2.4%
45
97.6%
Q2 - 9:27MILJames 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)26
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 9:29MILJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 9:32MILMISS James Layup24
2.3%
43
97.7%
Q2 - 9:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)24
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 9:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)24
2.5%
42
97.5%
Q2 - 9:59DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
2.7%
41
97.3%
Q2 - 10:01MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot24
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 10:11MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
3.1%
41
96.9%
Q2 - 10:13DALMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot24
3.0%
41
97.0%
Q2 - 10:21MILMason 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)24
2.7%
41
97.3%
Q2 - 10:49DALHenderson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)22
2.5%
41
97.5%
Q2 - 10:59DALFinley Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)22
2.7%
39
97.3%
Q2 - 11:03MILJames 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)22
3.1%
38
96.9%
Q2 - 11:06MILGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
2.5%
38
97.5%
Q2 - 11:08MILMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot19
2.4%
38
97.6%
Q2 - 11:24DALNowitzki Layup (13 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)19
2.5%
38
97.5%
Q2 - 11:30MILHarris STEAL (1 STL)19
2.8%
36
97.2%
Q2 - 11:45DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
3.1%
36
96.9%
Q2 - 11:45DALStackhouse Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)19
3.4%
35
96.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL19
3.7%
33
96.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 8' Jump Shot19
3.9%
33
96.1%
Q1 - 0:16.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot19
3.9%
33
96.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)19
4.1%
33
95.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 218
3.7%
33
96.3%
Q1 - 1:01DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)18
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q1 - 1:12MILMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)18
4.2%
31
95.8%
Q1 - 1:12MILMason Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q1 - 1:25DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)15
3.4%
31
96.6%
Q1 - 1:30DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
3.8%
29
96.2%
Q1 - 1:31MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot15
3.9%
29
96.1%
Q1 - 1:54DALDampier Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)15
4.1%
29
95.9%
Q1 - 2:07MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 2:07MILGadzuric Dunk (7 PTS)15
4.6%
27
95.4%
Q1 - 2:09MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot13
3.9%
27
96.1%
Q1 - 2:29DALDampier Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)13
4.2%
27
95.8%
Q1 - 2:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
4.6%
25
95.4%
Q1 - 2:37MILMISS Smith 11' Fadeaway Jumper13
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q1 - 2:51MILBucks Rebound13
5.0%
25
95.0%
Q1 - 2:51MILNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)13
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q1 - 3:03DALDampier Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)13
5.1%
25
94.9%
Q1 - 3:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
5.5%
23
94.5%
Q1 - 3:11MILSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 3:11MILMISS Smith Layup13
5.7%
23
94.3%
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Gadzuric 6' Jump Shot13
5.7%
23
94.3%
Q1 - 3:22MILBucks Rebound13
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 3:22MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
5.7%
23
94.3%
Q1 - 3:26MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)13
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 3:29MILDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)13
5.7%
23
94.3%
Q1 - 3:48DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)13
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 3:50DALMAVERICKS Rebound13
6.5%
21
93.5%
Q1 - 3:50DALMISS Stackhouse Layup13
7.0%
21
93.0%
Q1 - 3:59MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)13
6.5%
21
93.5%
Q1 - 3:59MILGadzuric Tip Shot (5 PTS)13
6.5%
21
93.5%
Q1 - 4:02MILMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot11
5.6%
21
94.4%
Q1 - 4:30DALHoward 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
6.0%
21
94.0%
Q1 - 4:36DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
6.5%
19
93.5%
Q1 - 4:39MILMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot11
6.7%
19
93.3%
Q1 - 4:58DALHoward 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
7.1%
19
92.9%
Q1 - 5:03DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
7.6%
17
92.4%
Q1 - 5:05MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
7.8%
17
92.2%
Q1 - 5:22MILBucks Rebound11
8.3%
17
91.7%
Q1 - 5:23DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot11
8.1%
17
91.9%
Q1 - 5:31DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.6%
17
92.4%
Q1 - 5:33MILMISS Redd 21' Jump Shot11
7.8%
17
92.2%
Q1 - 5:49DALDampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS)11
8.3%
17
91.7%
Q1 - 6:03MILMason Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)11
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 6:20MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
9.6%
15
90.4%
Q1 - 6:22DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper11
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 6:34DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8.9%
15
91.1%
Q1 - 6:37MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot11
9.1%
15
90.9%
Q1 - 7:01DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)11
9.5%
15
90.5%
Q1 - 7:07DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 7:10DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.4%
12
88.6%
Q1 - 7:29MILMason 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 7:48DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)9
10.2%
12
89.8%
Q1 - 7:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
10.9%
10
89.1%
Q1 - 7:53DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot9
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 7:56MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
10.9%
10
89.1%
Q1 - 8:04DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 8:21MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 8:21MILGadzuric Tip Shot (3 PTS)9
13.0%
7
87.0%
Q1 - 8:23MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot7
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 8:43DALNowitzki 6' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)7
12.3%
7
87.7%
Q1 - 9:06MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
12.8%
5
87.2%
Q1 - 9:10MILSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
12.2%
5
87.8%
Q1 - 9:13DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot5
11.9%
5
88.1%
Q1 - 9:27MILGadzuric Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
11.2%
5
88.8%
Q1 - 9:27MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 24
10.9%
5
89.1%
Q1 - 9:44DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
11.4%
5
88.6%
Q1 - 9:44DALTerry Layup (2 PTS)4
12.2%
4
87.8%
Q1 - 9:51MILSmith 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)4
12.8%
2
87.2%
Q1 - 10:14DALDampier Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)2
12.1%
2
87.9%
Q1 - 10:39MILRedd 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 11:01MILMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:02DALMISS Finley Layup0
11.7%
0
88.3%
Q1 - 11:06DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:08MILMISS Mason 10' Hook Shot0
11.4%
0
88.6%
Q1 - 11:19MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:21MILMISS Redd 17' Jump Shot0
11.4%
0
88.6%
Q1 - 11:41MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:43MILMISS Redd 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
11.4%
0
88.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Smith0
11.9%
0
88.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
20
31
65%
DAL
30
37
81%
Midrange
MIL
16
45
36%
DAL
10
36
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
DAL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
MIL
17
27
63%
DAL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. James2077%10.0 / 13
M. Redd1850%9.0 / 18
M. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
D. Mason1240%6.0 / 15
D. Gadzuric1260%6.0 / 10
Z. Pachulia1150%5.5 / 11
M. Fizer750%3.5 / 7
J. Smith630%3.0 / 10
K. Gill542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3965%19.5 / 30
J. Howard2566%12.5 / 19
J. Stackhouse1850%9.0 / 18
E. Dampier1575%7.5 / 10
J. Terry945%4.5 / 10
A. Henderson675%3.0 / 4
M. Finley528%2.5 / 9
D. Harris450%2.0 / 4
S. Bradley2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+22
-12
100
DAL
91
+16
-8
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.01 50.5%
DAL
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.5
107.3
MIL 115.6
DAL 124.2 +8.7
Pace
93.5
95.3
MIL 89.4
DAL 99.6 +10.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.4
14.8
MIL 16.1
DAL 14.5 +1.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.5%
49.2%
MIL 50.0%
DAL 56.7% +6.7%
TO %
14.2%
13.4%
MIL 10.8%
DAL 7.3% +3.5%
ORB %
29.0%
28.7%
MIL 44.2% +13.4%
DAL 30.8%
FTrt
33.9
34.6
MIL 31.0
DAL 31.5 +0.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
52.6%
MIL 41.5%
DAL 59.6% +18.1%
STL %
6.9%
9.0%
MIL 6.7%
DAL 8.1% +1.4%
BLK %
5.4%
8.6%
MIL 6.8% +1.5%
DAL 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
51.7%
MIL 50.5%
DAL 57.5% +7.0%
Rim FG%
54.1%
57.5%
MIL 64.5%
DAL 81.1% +16.6%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.4%
MIL 35.6% +7.8%
DAL 27.8%
3P %
35.1%
36.4%
MIL 45.5% +1.7%
DAL 43.8%
FT %
77.2%
78.9%
MIL 63.0%
DAL 78.6% +15.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
32.6%
MIL 35.6%
DAL 41.6% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
48.4%
MIL 51.7%
DAL 40.4% +11.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
19.0%
MIL 12.6%
DAL 18.0% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILDAL
Possessions9099
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points104123
Rebounds4636
Assists1728
Steals68
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (3)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)24 (3)
Field Goals41-8747-89
At-the-Rim FG20-3130-37
Midrange FG16-4510-36
2-Point FG36-7640-73
3-Point FG5-117-16
Free Throws17-2722-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 25
39.0
18
50%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-11
55%
2-7
29%
F · 6'5" 222 · 27
37.3
12
40%
5
1
2
1
3
2
1
4
2-3
67%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 225 · 29
33.4
6
30%
6
1
0
0
1
4
2
4
2-2
100%
2-10
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 198 · 22
25.3
13
72%
2
5
1
0
1
4
2
0
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
24.9
12
60%
14
1
0
3
1
2
9
5
2-6
33%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 30
25.2
20
77%
5
3
0
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-10
70%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 216 · 37
20.2
5
42%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 21
18.1
11
50%
5
1
0
1
2
3
2
3
3-6
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 262 · 26
16.5
7
50%
5
3
0
0
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 31
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
51%
46
17
6
5
12
0
19
27
17-27
63%
36-76
47%
5-11
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.