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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 24, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards34%97106
15Cavaliers66%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
48.0
40.8
30
60%
4
1
1
2
1
4
1
3
13-16
81%
4-10
5-11
40%
45%
3-8
38%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
41.2
38.3
16
49%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
12-17
71%
2-6
7-14
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.2
31.6
22.8
12
49%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.2
29.7
27.0
15
87%
6
3
0
1
2
2
3
3
5-6
83%
5-6
3-6
83%
51%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.5
23.4
32.9
13
59%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-8
3-8
63%
40%
1-3
33%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.2
22.5
14.6
14
63%
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
5-5
100%
0-5
1-2
0%
41%
3-4
75%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.8
15.7
13.8
4
40%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.0
15.5
11.7
2
50%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
36%
0-0
-
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.5
10.0
6.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 28.9
2.4
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.3
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.1
48.0
40.0
31
51%
10
8
2
2
1
5
4
6
6-10
60%
11-25
9-18
44%
50%
1-1
100%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
46.1
30.0
10
30%
8
10
1
1
0
2
1
7
0-2
0%
5-13
2-5
38%
45%
0-3
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.3
34.3
24.1
17
53%
10
1
2
1
3
2
5
5
7-7
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
50%
0-2
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
29.2
24.9
10
56%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.6
28.6
30.1
11
46%
4
0
0
1
2
2
3
1
1-2
50%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.1
22.4
17.1
5
31%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
18.5
20.3
4
50%
10
1
1
1
3
0
2
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.0
12.9
14.5
9
57%
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.2
9.3
0
1-3
45%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.0
4.1
0
0-1
39%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.8
1.6
0
0-0
42%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.