Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 24, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 43% | 99 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 60% | 96 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Pistons | 42% | 91 | 83 |
 | 10 | Timberwolves | 58% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 40% | 96 | 78 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Mavericks | 61% | 101 | 87 |
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Sunday, January 23, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35 | Bobcats | 26% | 94 | 92 |
 | 19 | Raptors | 74% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 37% | 99 | 101 |
 | 21 | Knicks | 63% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 17% | 93 | 105 | |
| 4 | Suns | 83% | 105 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 59% | 99 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | SuperSonics | 79% | 107 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 14% | 90 | 68 | |
| 7 | Heat | 86% | 104 | 97 |
Saturday, January 22, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Celtics | 60% | 102 | 96 |
| 36 | Hawks | 40% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 34% | 99 | 111 |
| 13 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 24% | 84 | 100 |
| 6 | Pistons | 76% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 27% | 95 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 51% | 94 | 85 |
| 34 | Hornets | 49% | 93 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Jazz | 56% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 92 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 56% | 99 | 105 |
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Friday, January 21, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 47% | 102 | 109 |
| 27 | Wizards | 53% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 72% | 104 | 105 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 28% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 47% | 94 | 98 |
| 26 | Nets | 53% | 95 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 42% | 97 | 92 |
| 23 | Knicks | 58% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 36% | 94 | 106 |
| 9 | Heat | 64% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 29% | 91 | 85 |
| 29 | Bulls | 71% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 59% | 95 | 86 |
| 24 | Bucks | 41% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 51% | 99 | 128 |
| 5 | Suns | 49% | 98 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 52% | 96 | 82 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 48% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Warriors | 42% | 97 | 101 |
 | 30 | Lakers | 58% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 35% | 99 | 112 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 65% | 104 | 107 | |
Thursday, January 20, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 15% | 93 | 77 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 85% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 38% | 96 | 108 |
| 11 | Magic | 62% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 29% | 98 | 96 |
| 8 | Kings | 71% | 105 | 123 |
Wednesday, January 19, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 36% | 95 | 83 |
| 19 | Celtics | 64% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 81 |
| 18 | Raptors | 62% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 60% | 99 | 107 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 40% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 41% | 93 | 90 |
| 28 | Nets | 59% | 96 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 15% | 93 | 92 |
| 7 | Heat | 85% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 54% | 93 | 87 |
| 34 | Hornets | 46% | 92 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 14% | 84 | 79 |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 98 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 32% | 98 | 88 |
| 5 | Suns | 68% | 104 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 53% | 97 | 107 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 56% | 100 | 90 |
| 29 | Lakers | 44% | 98 | 93 |
Tuesday, January 18, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 42% | 91 | 101 |
| 13 | Magic | 58% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 48% | 92 | 87 |
| 19 | Rockets | 52% | 93 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 16% | 99 | 120 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 111 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 98 | 107 |
| 9 | Kings | 70% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 21% | 98 | 116 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 79% | 108 | 110 | |
Monday, January 17, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 39% | 95 | 88 |
| 20 | Knicks | 61% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 52% | 98 | 99 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 48% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Hornets | 29% | 93 | 91 | |
| 23 | 76ers | 71% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 58% | 93 | 85 | |
| 36 | Hawks | 42% | 91 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 45% | 96 | 80 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 55% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 49% | 100 | 89 |
| 21 | Clippers | 51% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 16% | 91 | 73 |
| 2 | Spurs | 84% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 26% | 95 | 100 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 74% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 34% | 91 | 80 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 66% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Jazz | 40% | 96 | 102 |
| 29 | Lakers | 60% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 51% | 99 | 97 |
| 28 | Warriors | 49% | 98 | 107 |
Sunday, January 16, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 30% | 93 | 99 | |
| 16 | Raptors | 70% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 29% | 96 | 97 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 71% | 103 | 105 | |
Saturday, January 15, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 44% | 96 | 84 |
| 27 | Bulls | 56% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 56% | 108 | 103 | |
| 18 | Wizards | 44% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 45% | 95 | 95 |
| 36 | Hawks | 55% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 25% | 87 | 95 |
| 6 | Pistons | 75% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 35% | 94 | 85 |
| 10 | Pacers | 65% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 26% | 93 | 82 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 74% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 93 | 84 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 74% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 63% | 94 | 67 |
| 14 | Rockets | 37% | 90 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 22% | 91 | 93 | |
| 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 54% | 98 | 84 |
| 32 | Jazz | 46% | 97 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 26% | 96 | 95 |
| 12 | Kings | 74% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 45% | 96 | 104 |
| 29 | Warriors | 55% | 98 | 102 |
Friday, January 14, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 45% | 98 | 96 |
| 23 | 76ers | 55% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 62% | 96 | 109 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 38% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 55% | 103 | 83 | |
| 10 | Pacers | 45% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 23% | 95 | 94 |
| 17 | Celtics | 77% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 31% | 89 | 94 |
| 6 | Pistons | 69% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 93 | 106 |
| 34 | Hornets | 53% | 94 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 27% | 93 | 95 |
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 49% | 103 | 105 |
| 26 | Bucks | 51% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 48% | 98 | 93 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 52% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 56% | 99 | 112 |
| 21 | Clippers | 44% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 23% | 96 | 84 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 77% | 105 | 103 | |
Thursday, January 13, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 34% | 89 | 85 | |
| 12 | Rockets | 66% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Jazz | 19% | 96 | 93 |
| 9 | Kings | 81% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 46% | 98 | 94 |
| 16 | Lakers | 54% | 99 | 98 |
Wednesday, January 12, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 43% | 99 | 93 |
| 20 | Raptors | 57% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 98 | 100 |
| 18 | Wizards | 65% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 19% | 82 | 76 | |
| 8 | Pistons | 81% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 31% | 98 | 87 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 69% | 104 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 47% | 95 | 78 |
| 30 | Bulls | 53% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 8% | 86 | 79 |
| 2 | Spurs | 92% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 23% | 95 | 124 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 45% | 99 | 83 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 55% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 65% | 106 | 108 | |
| 32 | Jazz | 35% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 53% | 100 | 92 | |
| 22 | Clippers | 47% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 59% | 102 | 98 |
| 29 | Warriors | 41% | 99 | 91 |
Tuesday, January 11, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 23% | 90 | 98 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 77% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 55% | 87 | 89 |
| 22 | Nets | 45% | 86 | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 32% | 93 | 88 | |
| 20 | Knicks | 68% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 60% | 101 | 80 |
| 36 | Hawks | 40% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 35% | 91 | 86 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 65% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 37% | 104 | 107 |
| 5 | Suns | 63% | 108 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 32% | 100 | 100 |
| 10 | Kings | 68% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 24% | 95 | 99 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 76% | 104 | 104 | |