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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 24, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks61%10187
30Clippers39%9797
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
43.0
41.2
22
57%
11
4
0
1
3
5
1
10
2-5
40%
7-13
8-17
54%
48%
2-4
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.9
42.2
40.3
11
40%
3
1
3
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
46%
1-5
20%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.2
41.0
33.1
18
51%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
7-13
4-10
54%
43%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
35.4
38.1
10
42%
1
8
1
2
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
48%
2-7
29%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.5
30.1
23.2
13
51%
14
1
0
0
2
2
7
7
5-6
83%
4-9
3-5
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.1
19.3
19.0
2
26%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.6
10.9
2.0
0
0%
2
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.9
8.9
10.4
3
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.8
4.3
9.1
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.7
3.2
2.3
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.1
1.7
1.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
17.6
1
2-5
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.6
44.0
31.1
12
55%
6
9
4
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
41%
4-7
57%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.6
41.6
38.8
21
58%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
8-16
6-12
50%
47%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 25.9
39.8
38.6
23
62%
12
3
3
1
1
2
4
8
5-6
83%
9-16
8-17
56%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
35.3
34.2
13
60%
12
3
1
1
2
3
4
8
1-2
50%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 23.7
31.4
26.6
12
51%
6
4
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
44%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 26.1
23.6
9.8
9
57%
0
4
1
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 29.2
16.8
6.3
7
45%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
1-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.8
7.6
13.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 33.9
0.0
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
23.2
1
4-8
47%
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.6
7.8
0
1-2
48%
Lionel Chalmers
G · 6'0" 180 · 24.2
2.3
0
0-0
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.