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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 24, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Magic40%9678
13Rockets60%10089
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 27.9
44.2
37.2
23
38%
10
7
0
1
0
7
3
7
3-5
60%
10-24
7-16
42%
44%
0-4
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 30.4
36.6
23.9
11
64%
6
0
1
1
2
0
1
5
5-6
83%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 32.3
32.8
21.6
10
40%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-1
0%
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 19.1
30.4
31.9
4
40%
11
0
2
1
1
3
1
10
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 25.9
28.1
34.5
8
36%
5
0
0
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-10
44%
42%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 23.0
23.7
17.1
12
67%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-9
2-6
67%
42%
0-0
-
Doug Christie
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
13.8
26.0
4
41%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.0
13.2
18.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 28.4
12.7
15.8
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Andrew DeClercq
C · 6'10" 255 · 32.0
3.1
4.9
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Stacey Augmon
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36.5
1.4
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 23.8
1.9
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.2
41.9
32.0
10
44%
3
2
6
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
4-8
2-6
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.4
37.0
32.2
22
68%
10
1
1
0
2
3
1
9
4-5
80%
9-14
6-12
64%
52%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.8
36.3
33.8
15
41%
11
7
1
1
0
3
2
9
9-12
75%
3-9
3-6
33%
47%
0-4
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.0
30.7
28.3
10
45%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.2
15.8
1.7
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
0-0
20%
44%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
32.2
20.4
19
87%
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
43%
3-5
60%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.8
17.4
12.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.5
15.7
7.8
2
13%
3
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-6
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.6
10.9
13.1
9
95%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 22.9
2.1
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.7
40.8
2
8-16
48%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.4
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.