FinalWin Prob.pScore
1440%96
78
1360%100
89
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
79.698101.6
HOU logo HOU
91.89793.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU78
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0ORLWesley STEAL (6 STL)78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0ORLMISS Francis 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0HOUBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup76
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0ORLHill 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)76
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 1:01HOUSura 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)74
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 1:16ORLCato Dunk (9 PTS) (Francis 7 AST)74
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 1:21ORLMagic Rebound72
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot72
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 1:41ORLNelson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Francis 6 AST)72
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q4 - 1:55HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
0.5%
81
99.5%
Q4 - 1:55HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 270
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 1:57HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)70
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 1:58ORLMISS Garrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 2:11HOUWesley 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sura 7 AST)70
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 2:37ORLFrancis 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS)70
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q4 - 2:45ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 2:46ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 268
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 2:46ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)68
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 2:53HOUWesley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)67
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 2:58ORLWesley STEAL (5 STL)67
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 3:15HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)67
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 3:15HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)67
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 3:23HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q4 - 3:25ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 3:40HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)67
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 3:49HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q4 - 3:51ORLMISS Hill 12' Jump Shot67
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q4 - 4:01HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q4 - 4:01HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 267
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q4 - 4:10ORLFrancis Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)67
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 4:14ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)67
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q4 - 4:16HOUMISS Padgett 3PT Jump Shot67
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 4:22HOUSura REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 4:24HOUMISS Yao Reverse Layup67
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q4 - 4:38HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q4 - 4:40ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot67
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q4 - 4:53ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q4 - 4:55HOUMISS Yao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot67
3.7%
75
96.3%
Q4 - 5:16ORLNelson 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q4 - 5:38HOUBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q4 - 5:47HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q4 - 5:49HOUMISS Sura 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q4 - 6:11ORLNelson Layup (8 PTS)65
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q4 - 6:12ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 6:14ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q4 - 6:27ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 6:30HOUMISS Barrett 7' Running Jump Shot63
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q4 - 6:56ORLFrancis 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)63
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q4 - 7:04ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q4 - 7:06HOUMISS Sura Layup61
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q4 - 7:22ORLFrancis 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q4 - 7:39HOUBarry Driving Layup (14 PTS)59
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q4 - 7:53ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)59
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q4 - 8:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q4 - 8:08HOUMISS Barrett 3PT Jump Shot59
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q4 - 8:25ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)59
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q4 - 8:33ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q4 - 8:35HOUMISS Strickland 9' Jump Shot57
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q4 - 8:56ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q4 - 8:56ORLTurkoglu Tip Shot (8 PTS)57
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q4 - 8:57ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup55
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q4 - 9:14HOUHoward 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)55
2.1%
70
97.9%
Q4 - 9:35ORLFrancis 15' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)55
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q4 - 9:44ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q4 - 9:45HOUMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot53
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q4 - 10:01HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q4 - 10:03ORLMISS Battie 6' Hook Shot53
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q4 - 10:05ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q4 - 10:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot53
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q4 - 10:18HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)53
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q4 - 10:18HOUROCKETS Rebound53
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q4 - 10:18HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot53
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q4 - 10:46ORLNelson 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q4 - 10:56HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
1.6%
68
98.4%
Q4 - 10:56HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 251
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q4 - 11:19HOUROCKETS Rebound51
1.9%
67
98.1%
Q4 - 11:21ORLMISS Christie 20' Jump Shot51
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q4 - 11:33ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
2.3%
67
97.7%
Q4 - 11:35HOUMISS Strickland Driving Layup51
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU51
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLHoward 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)51
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 0:23.0HOUBarry 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)49
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)49
2.2%
65
97.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Francis 19' Fadeaway Jumper49
2.4%
65
97.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0HOUBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)49
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 1:14HOUROCKETS Rebound49
4.6%
62
95.4%
Q3 - 1:16ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot49
4.8%
62
95.2%
Q3 - 1:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)49
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 1:27HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 249
5.4%
62
94.6%
Q3 - 1:27HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 1:48ORLFrancis Dunk (14 PTS) (Christie 1 AST)49
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 1:51ORLChristie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 1:53HOUMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot47
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 2:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 2:18ORLYao BLOCK (2 BLK)47
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 2:28HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)47
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 2:28HOUYao Layup (18 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)47
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 2:49ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 2:49ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 246
6.9%
58
93.1%
Q3 - 2:57ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 2:59HOUMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot46
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 3:21ORLFrancis Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 3:26HOUSura Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)44
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q3 - 3:45ORLFrancis 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)44
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 4:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)42
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q3 - 4:02HOUMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot42
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 4:16HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)42
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q3 - 4:18ORLMISS Howard 6' Running Jump Shot42
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q3 - 4:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)42
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q3 - 4:26HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q3 - 4:45ORLFrancis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)42
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q3 - 4:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
3.1%
58
96.9%
Q3 - 4:59HOUMISS Sura 3PT Jump Shot40
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 5:02HOUSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 5:04HOUMISS Yao 12' Fadeaway Jumper40
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 5:24HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 5:26HOUMISS Wesley Driving Layup40
3.2%
58
96.8%
Q3 - 5:31HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q3 - 5:33ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot40
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q3 - 5:43HOUHoward Layup (8 PTS)40
3.4%
58
96.6%
Q3 - 5:45HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 5:47HOUMISS Bowen 14' Running Jump Shot40
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 6:12ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)40
4.3%
56
95.7%
Q3 - 6:17HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)38
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q3 - 6:33ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)38
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q3 - 6:33ORLCato Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q3 - 6:35ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)36
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q3 - 6:37ORLMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot36
2.4%
56
97.6%
Q3 - 6:53HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sura 6 AST)36
2.7%
56
97.3%
Q3 - 7:13HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 7:15ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot36
3.6%
54
96.4%
Q3 - 7:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q3 - 7:22HOUMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot36
3.9%
54
96.1%
Q3 - 7:35ORLCato 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)36
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q3 - 7:52HOUSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
3.0%
54
97.0%
Q3 - 7:52HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
3.1%
53
96.9%
Q3 - 7:58HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
3.4%
52
96.6%
Q3 - 8:00ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot34
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 8:14ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q3 - 8:15HOUMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot34
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q3 - 8:33ORLHill Foul Turnover (P2.T13)34
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q3 - 8:40HOUBowen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
4.3%
52
95.7%
Q3 - 9:03HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q3 - 9:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Fadeaway Jumper34
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q3 - 9:23HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)34
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q3 - 9:48ORLHill Layup (8 PTS)34
5.2%
50
94.8%
Q3 - 9:49ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 9:51ORLMISS Cato 7' Hook Bank Shot32
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q3 - 9:56ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 9:57HOUMISS Yao 16' Jump Shot32
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q3 - 10:04HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q3 - 10:06ORLMISS Hill 20' Jump Shot32
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q3 - 10:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q3 - 10:27HOUMISS Sura 6' Running Hook Shot32
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q3 - 10:34HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q3 - 10:36ORLMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q3 - 10:41ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q3 - 10:43HOUMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot32
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q3 - 11:04ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)32
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q3 - 11:04ORLFrancis Driving Layup (4 PTS)31
4.0%
50
96.0%
Q3 - 11:20HOUWesley 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sura 5 AST)29
3.5%
50
96.5%
Q3 - 11:37ORLHill 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)29
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU27
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound27
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Barry 22' Jump Shot27
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUROCKETS Rebound27
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 327
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUWesley Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)27
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0HOUWesley Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)27
3.9%
47
96.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
4.5%
46
95.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot27
4.6%
46
95.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0HOUYao 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Barry 5 AST)27
4.9%
46
95.1%
Q2 - 1:03ORLTurkoglu Layup (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)27
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 1:09ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 1:11HOUMISS Sura 22' Jump Shot25
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 1:17HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
4.9%
44
95.1%
Q2 - 1:19ORLMISS Francis Driving Layup25
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 1:37HOUYao Dunk (14 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)25
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 1:57ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)25
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 2:14ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 2:15HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 2:37HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 2:39ORLMISS DeClercq Free Throw 2 of 225
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 2:39ORLDeClercq Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 2:40ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 2:41HOUMISS Sura 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 2:48ORLWesley STEAL (4 STL)24
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 2:57ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
6.3%
42
93.7%
Q2 - 2:59HOUMISS Padgett 21' Jump Shot24
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 3:12HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)24
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 3:13ORLMISS Turkoglu 22' Jump Shot24
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 3:26HOUYao Dunk (12 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)24
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 3:30HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
7.7%
40
92.3%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot24
8.0%
40
92.0%
Q2 - 3:51HOUYao 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)24
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 4:00ORLWesley STEAL (3 STL)24
9.6%
38
90.4%
Q2 - 4:12ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 4:14HOUMISS Yao 6' Hook Shot24
10.9%
38
89.1%
Q2 - 4:25HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 4:27ORLMISS Francis 19' Fadeaway Jumper24
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 4:45HOUStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)24
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 4:55HOUPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 4:57ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot24
10.4%
38
89.6%
Q2 - 5:13ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 5:14HOUMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot24
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 5:27ORLFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)24
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 5:30ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 5:32ORLMISS Christie 21' Jump Shot24
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 5:45ORLMagic Rebound24
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 5:46HOUMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 6:07HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 6:09ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot24
11.1%
38
88.9%
Q2 - 6:31HOUMutombo Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)24
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 6:43HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
13.0%
36
87.0%
Q2 - 6:45ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot24
13.4%
36
86.6%
Q2 - 7:01HOUMutombo 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)24
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 7:03HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
16.5%
34
83.5%
Q2 - 7:05HOUMISS Sura Driving Layup24
17.6%
34
82.4%
Q2 - 7:16ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)24
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 7:27HOUBarry 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)21
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 7:45ORLChristie Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
15.0%
32
85.0%
Q2 - 7:45ORLChristie Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 8:07HOUBarry 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)19
14.0%
32
86.0%
Q2 - 8:22HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot19
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 8:35HOUSura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 8:41HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
15.2%
30
84.8%
Q2 - 8:42ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot19
15.6%
30
84.4%
Q2 - 8:58HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 8:58HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 9:04HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q2 - 9:06ORLMISS Augmon 11' Turnaround Jump Shot19
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q2 - 9:22ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.1%
28
79.9%
Q2 - 9:24HOUMISS Padgett 21' Jump Shot19
19.5%
28
80.5%
Q2 - 9:51ORLChristie 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)19
18.3%
28
81.7%
Q2 - 10:02HOUStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 10:02HOUStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q2 - 10:08HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q2 - 10:09ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot17
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q2 - 10:33HOUMutombo 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)17
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q2 - 10:55HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q2 - 10:57ORLMISS Christie 20' Jump Shot17
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q2 - 11:03ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
23.5%
24
76.5%
Q2 - 11:04HOUMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q2 - 11:26HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.9%
24
78.1%
Q2 - 11:28ORLMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot17
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q2 - 11:40HOUStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q2 - 11:52ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
21.9%
24
78.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU15
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLWesley STEAL (2 STL)15
18.7%
24
81.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0HOUWesley 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)15
20.2%
24
79.8%
Q1 - 0:33.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)15
22.2%
22
77.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLMISS Cato 17' Jump Shot15
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 1:06HOUStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 1:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 1:14ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 1:16HOUMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot15
23.2%
22
76.8%
Q1 - 1:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 1:33ORLTurkoglu Tip Shot (4 PTS)15
22.3%
22
77.7%
Q1 - 1:34ORLMISS Francis Layup13
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 1:39HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)13
20.3%
22
79.7%
Q1 - 1:53ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)13
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q1 - 2:07HOUBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sura 4 AST)13
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 2:15HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)13
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:16ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot13
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 2:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 2:25HOUMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot13
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 2:35HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:37HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot13
25.1%
19
74.9%
Q1 - 2:50ORLBarry STEAL (1 STL)13
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 3:11HOUYao 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)13
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 3:27ORLFrancis 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)13
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 3:53HOUHoward 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS)11
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 4:13HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
27.5%
15
72.5%
Q1 - 4:15ORLMISS Francis 22' Jump Shot11
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 4:32ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.7%
15
70.3%
Q1 - 4:32HOUMISS Sura Free Throw 2 of 211
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 4:32HOUSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
28.2%
15
71.8%
Q1 - 4:57ORLCato Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)11
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 5:10HOUYao 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)9
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 5:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
29.4%
12
70.6%
Q1 - 5:32ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot9
30.0%
12
70.0%
Q1 - 5:43HOUYao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)9
31.4%
12
68.6%
Q1 - 5:55HOUSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 5:57ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Jump Shot9
33.7%
10
66.3%
Q1 - 6:01ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 6:03HOUMISS Sura 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
34.3%
10
65.7%
Q1 - 6:12ORLYao STEAL (1 STL)9
33.0%
10
67.0%
Q1 - 6:35HOUYao 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)9
34.9%
10
65.1%
Q1 - 6:46ORLHill 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)9
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 7:04ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 7:06HOUMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot7
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 7:20HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 7:22ORLMISS Cato Dunk7
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 7:42HOUSura Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 7:48ORLSura STEAL (1 STL)7
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 8:08HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)7
38.4%
6
61.6%
Q1 - 8:21ORLWesley STEAL (1 STL)7
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 8:26ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 8:28HOUMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot7
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 8:43ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)7
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 8:43ORLMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 26
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 9:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 9:03HOUMISS Sura 20' Jump Shot6
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 9:10HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 9:12ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot6
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 9:22HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)6
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 9:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 9:52ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 14
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 9:52ORLHill Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 9:56ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.2%
4
66.8%
Q1 - 9:58HOUMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot2
32.5%
4
67.5%
Q1 - 10:13HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 10:14ORLYao BLOCK (1 BLK)2
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 10:21HOUYao Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 10:33ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 10:36ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 10:38HOUMISS Sura Driving Layup2
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 10:47ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 10:56HOUSura Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)0
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 11:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 11:14ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 11:39HOUWesley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)0
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Cato: Tip to Sura0
34.6%
0
65.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.86 42.9%
HOU
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
21
67%
HOU
8
14
57%
Midrange
ORL
18
53
34%
HOU
21
50
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
1
1.5
8
13%
19%
HOU
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
ORL
11
16
69%
HOU
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2337%11.5 / 31
J. Nelson1267%6.0 / 9
K. Cato1161%5.5 / 9
G. Hill1038%5.0 / 13
H. Turkoglu836%4.0 / 11
D. Howard440%2.0 / 5
D. Christie440%2.0 / 5
P. Garrity338%1.5 / 4
T. Battie250%1.0 / 2
A. DeClercq150%0.5 / 1
S. Augmon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao2265%11.0 / 17
J. Barry1986%9.5 / 11
B. Sura1539%7.5 / 19
D. Wesley1045%5.0 / 11
J. Howard1045%5.0 / 11
D. Mutombo990%4.5 / 5
R. Bowen220%1.0 / 5
R. Strickland213%1.0 / 8
S. Padgett0-0.0 / 3
A. Barrett0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
81
+10
-17
91
HOU
87
+9
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.86 42.9%
HOU
0.91 45.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.8
103.1
ORL 79.6
HOU 91.8 +12.2
Pace
97.7
91.5
ORL 101.6 +7.9
HOU 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
16.0
ORL 14.2 +1.2
HOU 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.8%
48.6%
ORL 40.9%
HOU 42.9% +2.0%
TO %
16.0%
14.2%
ORL 16.0%
HOU 11.7% +4.3%
ORB %
30.0%
26.4%
ORL 20.0% +4.1%
HOU 15.9%
FTrt
35.0
30.9
ORL 19.5
HOU 35.9 +16.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.2%
60.9%
ORL 39.4%
HOU 68.8% +29.4%
STL %
7.9%
7.5%
ORL 6.1%
HOU 9.3% +3.2%
BLK %
8.0%
7.4%
ORL 4.7% +2.0%
HOU 2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.3%
50.6%
ORL 42.9%
HOU 45.4% +2.5%
Rim FG%
57.1%
57.3%
ORL 66.7% +9.6%
HOU 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.0%
40.5%
ORL 34.0%
HOU 42.0% +8.0%
3P %
34.9%
36.4%
ORL 12.5%
HOU 21.4% +8.9%
FT %
75.9%
78.1%
ORL 68.8%
HOU 78.6% +9.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.8%
28.5%
ORL 25.6% +7.7%
HOU 17.9%
Mid Att. %
50.5%
47.8%
ORL 64.6%
HOU 64.1% +0.5%
3P Att. %
13.7%
23.7%
ORL 9.8%
HOU 17.9% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLHOU
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points7889
Rebounds4747
Assists1322
Steals69
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (0)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)40 (3)
Field Goals33-8232-78
At-the-Rim FG14-218-14
Midrange FG18-5321-50
2-Point FG32-7429-64
3-Point FG1-83-14
Free Throws11-1622-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 28
44.2
23
37%
10
7
0
0
7
5
3
7
3-5
60%
10-24
42%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 275 · 30
36.6
11
61%
6
0
1
2
0
4
1
5
5-6
83%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 32
32.8
10
38%
6
3
1
0
2
2
1
5
0-1
0%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 19
30.4
4
40%
11
0
2
1
3
0
1
10
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'10" 220 · 26
28.1
8
36%
5
0
0
0
4
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 23
23.7
12
67%
2
2
1
0
1
6
1
1
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 35
13.8
4
40%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 29
13.2
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 28
12.7
3
38%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 255 · 32
3.1
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 36
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
43%
47
13
6
3
17
0
10
37
11-16
69%
32-74
43%
1-8
13%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.