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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 10, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
31Lakers20%8781
8Pistons80%98103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 24.9
36.3
36.3
12
47%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
42%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.3
32.4
38.3
17
56%
9
4
0
1
2
4
0
9
5-5
100%
6-11
6-13
55%
46%
0-2
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.0
26.8
33.3
9
64%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.5
24.1
36.7
3
20%
2
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
1-1
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.6
20.8
21.1
8
50%
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
26.2
20.1
8
50%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.7
23.9
14.6
7
33%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-6
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
37%
0-1
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
17.9
19.5
6
38%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 32.9
13.8
7.4
5
51%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.9
12.0
3.9
6
51%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
42%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 20.9
5.8
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Tony Bobbitt
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
1.7
0
0-0
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.0
33.6
34.8
11
35%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
4-12
6-13
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.4
33.2
34.4
15
68%
2
11
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
44%
5-9
56%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.4
32.5
31.8
23
64%
15
3
1
1
1
2
5
10
0-0
-
7-13
5-10
54%
49%
3-5
60%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.0
31.9
34.9
25
57%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-4
50%
10-16
5-10
63%
52%
1-4
25%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
29.6
33.5
7
33%
15
1
2
1
3
0
8
7
3-4
75%
2-9
4-8
22%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
26.2
22.1
4
50%
6
0
1
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.5
23.4
14.6
8
45%
5
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.0
16.1
10.2
2
33%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.6
7.7
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Horace Jenkins
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
5.8
5.3
8
82%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.2
9.4
1
1-2
40%
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.6
4.8
0
0-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.