FinalWin Prob.pScore
674%103
97
3526%95
87
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.195101.6
CHA logo CHA
95.69185.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BobcatsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA97
100%
87
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0CHAMISS Knight Driving Layup97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAKnight STEAL (4 STL)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0CHAMISS Knight Layup97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWade Layup (11 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)97
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)95
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 295
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 295
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHABOBCATS Rebound95
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0CHAMISS Hart 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJones Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T16)95
99.3%
87
0.7%
Q4 - 1:11MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 1:14CHAMISS Knight 14' Turnaround Jump Shot95
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 1:22CHABOBCATS Rebound95
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 1:22CHAMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.4%
87
0.6%
Q4 - 1:27MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)95
99.1%
87
0.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
97.5%
87
2.5%
Q4 - 1:32MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot92
96.1%
87
3.9%
Q4 - 1:49CHAKapono 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)92
96.8%
87
3.2%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)92
98.0%
85
2.0%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 291
97.8%
85
2.2%
Q4 - 1:54CHAHart 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)91
98.1%
85
1.9%
Q4 - 2:03CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 291
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 291
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 2:08CHAHart 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)91
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 2:21MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)91
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 2:21MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)90
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 2:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 2:23CHAMISS Knight 19' Jump Shot89
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 2:30CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)89
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Jones Layup89
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 2:52CHAKnight 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 3:00MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)89
99.5%
78
0.5%
Q4 - 3:17CHAEly 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Hart 5 AST)89
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 3:38MIAO'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Jones 8 AST)89
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 4:02CHAMISS Bogans 20' Jump Shot87
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 4:17MIAAnderson Layup (6 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)87
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 4:36CHASmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 4:36CHAMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 285
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 4:57MIAO'Neal Layup (30 PTS)85
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 5:17CHABogans Layup (4 PTS) (Ely 3 AST)83
97.6%
75
2.4%
Q4 - 5:38MIAO'Neal Dunk (28 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)83
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 5:44CHAOkafor Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)81
97.6%
73
2.4%
Q4 - 6:03MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS)81
95.9%
73
4.1%
Q4 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)79
94.7%
73
5.3%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 6:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
94.8%
73
5.2%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot79
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 6:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)79
94.8%
73
5.2%
Q4 - 6:33CHAMISS Knight Free Throw 2 of 279
94.5%
73
5.5%
Q4 - 6:33CHAKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)79
93.3%
73
6.7%
Q4 - 6:33CHABOBCATS Rebound79
94.5%
72
5.5%
Q4 - 6:33CHAMISS Okafor 11' Jump Shot79
95.7%
72
4.3%
Q4 - 6:49CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot79
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 7:03CHAOkafor 7' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)79
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 7:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)79
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q4 - 7:11MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)78
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q4 - 7:27CHAWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q4 - 7:27CHAMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 277
95.9%
69
4.1%
Q4 - 7:47MIAO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)77
95.4%
69
4.6%
Q4 - 7:56CHAKnight Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)75
94.2%
69
5.8%
Q4 - 8:07CHAEly REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)75
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q4 - 8:08CHAMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot75
92.6%
69
7.4%
Q4 - 8:24CHAEly REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q4 - 8:26CHAMISS Ely 8' Hook Shot75
92.7%
69
7.3%
Q4 - 8:46MIAKnight STEAL (3 STL)75
91.4%
69
8.6%
Q4 - 9:08CHAKnight 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)75
92.8%
69
7.2%
Q4 - 9:19MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T13)75
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
95.4%
67
4.6%
Q4 - 9:26CHAMISS Ely 6' Hook Shot75
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q4 - 9:26CHAEly REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 9:26CHAMISS Okafor 9' Jump Shot75
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q4 - 9:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T12)75
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q4 - 9:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
95.5%
67
4.5%
Q4 - 9:49CHAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot75
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q4 - 10:06MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)75
93.6%
67
6.4%
Q4 - 10:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
92.2%
67
7.8%
Q4 - 10:18CHAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
91.7%
67
8.3%
Q4 - 10:23MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)73
90.3%
67
9.7%
Q4 - 10:45CHAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)73
92.3%
67
7.7%
Q4 - 10:54CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot73
95.2%
64
4.8%
Q4 - 11:15CHAKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ely 2 AST)73
95.3%
64
4.7%
Q4 - 11:42MIAAllen 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)73
96.9%
61
3.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHASmith 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hart 4 AST)71
95.9%
61
4.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)71
96.6%
59
3.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0CHAKapono 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)71
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
97.8%
57
2.2%
Q3 - 1:12CHAKapono 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hart 3 AST)68
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 168
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)68
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 1:29MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
96.4%
55
3.6%
Q3 - 1:30CHAMISS Robinson 9' Jump Shot66
96.1%
55
3.9%
Q3 - 1:34CHASmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
95.6%
55
4.4%
Q3 - 1:36CHAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot66
96.1%
55
3.9%
Q3 - 1:52MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)66
95.6%
55
4.4%
Q3 - 2:09CHAKapono 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
93.2%
55
6.8%
Q3 - 2:15CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
94.2%
53
5.8%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot63
94.5%
53
5.5%
Q3 - 2:28MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
95.2%
53
4.8%
Q3 - 2:30CHAMISS Hart Running Layup63
94.9%
53
5.1%
Q3 - 2:53MIAAnderson Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)63
94.2%
53
5.8%
Q3 - 3:08CHAOkafor Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)61
92.9%
53
7.1%
Q3 - 3:22CHAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
91.5%
53
8.5%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper61
92.0%
53
8.0%
Q3 - 3:44MIAHeat Rebound61
92.9%
53
7.1%
Q3 - 3:44CHAMISS Smith Layup61
92.5%
53
7.5%
Q3 - 4:22MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
91.2%
53
8.8%
Q3 - 4:28MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)59
90.0%
53
10.0%
Q3 - 4:29CHAMISS Okafor 17' Jump Shot59
89.4%
53
10.6%
Q3 - 4:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)59
88.0%
53
12.0%
Q3 - 4:44MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)58
86.1%
53
13.9%
Q3 - 4:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
84.2%
53
15.8%
Q3 - 4:48CHAMISS Knight Layup56
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q3 - 4:55MIAKnight STEAL (2 STL)56
81.4%
53
18.6%
Q3 - 4:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
84.2%
53
15.8%
Q3 - 5:01CHAMISS Ely 19' Jump Shot56
83.2%
53
16.8%
Q3 - 5:18MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)56
81.4%
53
18.6%
Q3 - 5:22CHAEly Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)53
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 5:32CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
72.6%
53
27.4%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot53
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)53
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 5:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
76.1%
53
23.9%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot53
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Wade Layup53
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 6:10CHAKnight 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hart 2 AST)53
76.3%
53
23.7%
Q3 - 6:24MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS)53
78.9%
51
21.1%
Q3 - 6:41CHAMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 151
75.8%
51
24.2%
Q3 - 6:41CHAKnight 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
76.3%
51
23.7%
Q3 - 6:59MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)51
78.9%
49
21.1%
Q3 - 7:01MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)48
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 7:03MIAMISS Haslem Dunk48
70.6%
49
29.4%
Q3 - 7:14CHAEly Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)48
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 7:26CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
69.5%
49
30.5%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
70.6%
49
29.4%
Q3 - 7:41CHAEly 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)48
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 7:57MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)48
75.7%
47
24.3%
Q3 - 8:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
70.6%
47
29.4%
Q3 - 8:07CHAMISS Okafor 11' Hook Shot45
69.5%
47
30.5%
Q3 - 8:22MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
66.9%
47
33.1%
Q3 - 8:47CHABogans 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
63.9%
47
36.1%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 143
68.3%
45
31.7%
Q3 - 9:02MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
67.9%
45
32.1%
Q3 - 9:12MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
64.6%
45
35.4%
Q3 - 9:14CHAMISS Knight 13' Jump Shot41
63.6%
45
36.4%
Q3 - 9:26MIAKnight STEAL (1 STL)41
61.1%
45
38.9%
Q3 - 9:51CHAKnight Reverse Layup (5 PTS)41
64.6%
45
35.4%
Q3 - 10:09MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)41
68.8%
43
31.2%
Q3 - 10:09MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 240
67.5%
43
32.5%
Q3 - 10:09MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)40
69.1%
43
30.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS O'Neal Layup40
66.7%
43
33.3%
Q3 - 10:26CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
69.1%
43
30.9%
Q3 - 10:26CHAMISS Okafor Free Throw 1 of 240
70.1%
42
29.9%
Q3 - 10:34CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)40
68.7%
42
31.3%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot40
69.7%
42
30.3%
Q3 - 11:01CHAKnight 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
72.9%
42
27.1%
Q3 - 11:22MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)40
75.4%
40
24.6%
Q3 - 11:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)38
72.9%
40
27.1%
Q3 - 11:40CHAMISS Okafor 8' Turnaround Jump Shot38
72.0%
40
28.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA38
69.9%
40
30.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Hart Layup38
72.3%
40
27.7%
Q2 - 0:18.0CHABogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
70.9%
40
29.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAOkafor BLOCK (2 BLK)38
71.5%
40
28.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0CHASmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
72.8%
40
27.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0CHABOBCATS Rebound38
70.9%
40
29.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 238
71.2%
40
28.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)38
72.4%
40
27.6%
Q2 - 1:07CHASmith 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)37
70.1%
40
29.9%
Q2 - 1:30MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)37
73.9%
38
26.1%
Q2 - 1:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q2 - 1:39CHAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot35
69.7%
38
30.3%
Q2 - 1:51MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
68.7%
38
31.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
70.1%
38
29.9%
Q2 - 1:57CHAMISS Okafor 7' Jump Shot35
69.7%
38
30.3%
Q2 - 2:16CHASmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
68.5%
38
31.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 235
68.9%
38
31.1%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
70.0%
38
30.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)35
71.0%
38
29.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)35
71.0%
38
29.0%
Q2 - 2:17MIAOkafor BLOCK (1 BLK)35
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 2:20MIAMISS O'Neal Layup35
69.3%
38
30.7%
Q2 - 2:35CHAOkafor Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)35
70.9%
38
29.1%
Q2 - 2:40CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Wade Layup35
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 2:56CHAOkafor 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
75.8%
36
24.2%
Q2 - 3:14MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)35
78.3%
34
21.7%
Q2 - 3:32MIAHeat Rebound32
74.3%
34
25.7%
Q2 - 3:32CHAMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
73.5%
34
26.5%
Q2 - 3:38CHASmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
71.6%
34
28.4%
Q2 - 3:41CHASmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
71.6%
34
28.4%
Q2 - 3:41CHAMISS Smith Tip Shot32
73.5%
34
26.5%
Q2 - 3:43CHAMISS Okafor 14' Jump Shot32
73.5%
34
26.5%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade Layup (4 PTS)32
72.4%
34
27.6%
Q2 - 4:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
70.1%
34
29.9%
Q2 - 4:11CHAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot30
69.3%
34
30.7%
Q2 - 4:25CHASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
67.6%
34
32.4%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot30
68.3%
34
31.7%
Q2 - 4:40CHASmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
70.0%
34
30.0%
Q2 - 5:01MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
68.0%
34
32.0%
Q2 - 5:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
65.8%
34
34.2%
Q2 - 5:07CHAMISS Hart 16' Jump Shot28
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 5:10CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
62.9%
34
37.1%
Q2 - 5:13MIABogans BLOCK (1 BLK)28
63.8%
34
36.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)28
65.8%
34
34.2%
Q2 - 5:19CHAMISS Ely 5' Jump Shot28
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 5:44MIAO'Neal Layup (11 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)28
62.9%
34
37.1%
Q2 - 6:02CHAEly 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)26
61.7%
34
38.4%
Q2 - 6:13CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)26
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 6:15MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot26
64.6%
32
35.4%
Q2 - 6:34CHAOkafor Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q2 - 6:34CHAOkafor Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
67.5%
31
32.5%
Q2 - 6:57MIAO'Neal Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)26
68.5%
30
31.5%
Q2 - 7:06MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
67.3%
30
32.7%
Q2 - 7:08CHAMISS Hart 19' Jump Shot24
66.6%
30
33.4%
Q2 - 7:23CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 7:25CHAMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
66.5%
30
33.5%
Q2 - 7:35MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)24
64.8%
30
35.2%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 223
63.7%
30
36.3%
Q2 - 7:47CHAHart Layup (2 PTS)23
64.9%
30
35.1%
Q2 - 8:04CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)23
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 223
67.5%
28
32.5%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 223
68.4%
28
31.6%
Q2 - 8:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
69.7%
28
30.3%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS O'Neal Layup23
67.9%
28
32.1%
Q2 - 8:25CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)23
69.7%
28
30.3%
Q2 - 8:41MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)23
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 8:53CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 8:53CHAWallace Follow Up Dunk (10 PTS)21
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 8:58CHAMISS Knight Layup21
68.9%
26
31.1%
Q2 - 9:15MIADooling 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)21
67.7%
26
32.3%
Q2 - 9:26CHASmith 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)19
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q2 - 9:36CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
67.7%
24
32.3%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot19
68.4%
24
31.6%
Q2 - 9:44MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
70.1%
24
29.9%
Q2 - 9:47CHAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot19
69.3%
24
30.7%
Q2 - 9:55CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot19
68.4%
24
31.6%
Q2 - 10:16CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
70.0%
24
30.0%
Q2 - 10:16CHAWallace Layup (8 PTS)19
70.0%
24
30.0%
Q2 - 10:18CHAMISS Wallace Layup19
73.3%
22
26.7%
Q2 - 10:31CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
71.8%
22
28.2%
Q2 - 10:32MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 219
72.1%
22
27.9%
Q2 - 10:32MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)19
73.3%
22
26.7%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
72.0%
22
28.0%
Q2 - 10:39CHAMISS Kapono 22' Jump Shot18
71.3%
22
28.7%
Q2 - 10:50CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
69.7%
22
30.3%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 2 of 218
70.1%
22
29.9%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Dooling Free Throw 1 of 218
71.4%
22
28.6%
Q2 - 11:19CHAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)18
72.3%
22
27.7%
Q2 - 11:26CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade Layup18
76.6%
19
23.4%
Q2 - 11:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)18
77.7%
19
22.3%
Q2 - 11:38CHAMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot18
77.2%
19
22.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
76.0%
19
24.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAKnight Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
77.7%
19
22.3%
Q1 - 0:16.0CHASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
76.2%
19
23.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 2 of 218
76.4%
19
23.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Zhi-zhi Free Throw 1 of 218
77.5%
19
22.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAHeat Rebound18
77.5%
19
22.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
76.6%
19
23.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAHeat Rebound18
77.5%
19
22.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0CHAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot18
77.1%
19
22.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
76.2%
19
23.8%
Q1 - 1:02CHAMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot18
77.2%
19
22.8%
Q1 - 1:09CHAWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
76.3%
19
23.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
76.7%
19
23.3%
Q1 - 1:31CHAKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
77.6%
19
22.4%
Q1 - 1:31CHAMISS Knight Free Throw 1 of 218
77.9%
18
22.1%
Q1 - 1:44MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)18
78.0%
18
22.0%
Q1 - 2:00CHASmith Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)15
74.1%
18
25.9%
Q1 - 2:18CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
76.5%
16
23.5%
Q1 - 2:20CHAMISS Knight 20' Jump Shot15
77.6%
16
22.4%
Q1 - 2:36MIAButler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
76.5%
16
23.5%
Q1 - 2:47MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
74.6%
16
25.4%
Q1 - 2:50CHAMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
74.1%
16
25.9%
Q1 - 3:06MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T6)13
73.2%
16
26.8%
Q1 - 3:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
75.1%
16
24.9%
Q1 - 3:15CHAMISS Okafor 17' Jump Shot13
74.5%
16
25.5%
Q1 - 3:29MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)13
73.2%
16
26.8%
Q1 - 3:38MIAHeat Rebound11
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
71.6%
16
28.4%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS O'Neal Layup11
70.1%
16
29.9%
Q1 - 3:40MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)11
70.1%
16
29.9%
Q1 - 3:55CHARobinson Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)11
71.5%
16
28.5%
Q1 - 4:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)11
73.6%
14
26.4%
Q1 - 4:22CHAWallace Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)11
75.6%
14
24.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAO'Neal Dunk (4 PTS)11
76.9%
12
23.1%
Q1 - 4:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
75.6%
12
24.4%
Q1 - 4:39MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
74.2%
12
25.8%
Q1 - 4:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
75.6%
12
24.4%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
74.2%
12
25.8%
Q1 - 5:37CHASmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)9
76.0%
12
24.0%
Q1 - 5:41CHAKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
77.4%
10
22.6%
Q1 - 5:43MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)9
77.9%
10
22.1%
Q1 - 6:17CHASmith Layup (2 PTS) (Ely 1 AST)9
79.0%
10
21.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)9
80.2%
8
19.8%
Q1 - 6:50CHAWallace Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
79.0%
8
21.0%
Q1 - 6:56CHASmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
80.2%
6
19.8%
Q1 - 6:58CHAMISS Bogans Layup7
81.2%
6
18.8%
Q1 - 7:03CHABogans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
80.4%
6
19.6%
Q1 - 7:06CHAMISS Ely 17' Jump Shot7
81.4%
6
18.6%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T4)7
80.4%
6
19.6%
Q1 - 7:48CHAOkafor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
81.7%
6
18.3%
Q1 - 7:48CHAOkafor Tip Shot (4 PTS)7
81.7%
6
18.3%
Q1 - 7:50CHAMISS Bogans 18' Jump Shot7
83.5%
4
16.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)7
83.2%
4
16.8%
Q1 - 8:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 8:10CHAMISS Ely 8' Hook Shot5
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 8:19CHABOBCATS Rebound5
81.0%
4
19.0%
Q1 - 8:21CHAMISS Okafor 13' Jump Shot5
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 8:25CHABogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
81.0%
4
19.0%
Q1 - 8:27MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)5
81.4%
4
18.6%
Q1 - 8:33CHAHart Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 8:41MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)5
81.0%
4
19.0%
Q1 - 8:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
82.2%
4
17.8%
Q1 - 8:51CHAMISS Ely 6' Hook Shot5
81.8%
4
18.2%
Q1 - 9:05MIAJones Foul Turnover (P1.T2)5
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 9:15CHAWallace 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)5
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIABogans STEAL (1 STL)5
83.1%
2
16.9%
Q1 - 9:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
84.4%
2
15.6%
Q1 - 9:35CHAEly REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
83.1%
2
16.9%
Q1 - 9:35CHAMISS Ely Layup5
84.0%
2
16.0%
Q1 - 9:38CHAMISS Ely Layup5
84.0%
2
16.0%
Q1 - 9:50CHAHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
83.1%
2
16.9%
Q1 - 9:52MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
83.5%
2
16.5%
Q1 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
84.3%
2
15.7%
Q1 - 10:08CHAMISS Okafor Layup5
83.9%
2
16.1%
Q1 - 10:21CHABogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
83.1%
2
16.9%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup5
83.5%
2
16.5%
Q1 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
84.3%
2
15.7%
Q1 - 10:39CHAMISS Hart 16' Jump Shot5
83.9%
2
16.1%
Q1 - 11:04MIAO'Neal 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)5
83.2%
2
16.8%
Q1 - 11:20CHAOkafor 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)3
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 11:39MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
83.2%
0
16.8%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Ely vs. O'Neal: Tip to Jones0
81.0%
0
19.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.6%
CHA
0.86 43.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
36
56%
CHA
17
31
55%
Midrange
MIA
10
20
50%
CHA
17
49
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
19
47%
71%
CHA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
10
27
37%
CHA
7
15
47%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal3255%16.0 / 29
D. Jones22100%11.0 / 11
E. Jones1250%6.0 / 12
D. Wade1132%5.5 / 17
S. Anderson675%3.0 / 4
R. Butler650%3.0 / 6
U. Haslem433%2.0 / 6
K. Dooling233%1.0 / 3
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Knight1747%8.5 / 18
J. Kapono1450%7.0 / 14
G. Wallace1155%5.5 / 10
T. Smith1056%5.0 / 9
J. Hart739%3.5 / 9
M. Ely625%3.0 / 12
K. Bogans433%2.0 / 6
S. Smith350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+15
-17
93
CHA
81
+19
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.6%
CHA
0.86 43.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
98.9
MIA 102.1
CHA 95.6 +6.5
Pace
93.9
94.4
MIA 101.6 +16.2
CHA 85.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.4
MIA 14.2 +2.7
CHA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
45.5%
MIA 58.0% +15.0%
CHA 43.0%
TO %
14.0%
14.6%
MIA 16.4%
CHA 9.1% +7.3%
ORB %
27.0%
29.6%
MIA 31.0% +1.6%
CHA 29.4%
FTrt
38.7
30.6
MIA 36.0 +19.9
CHA 16.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.8%
60.6%
MIA 69.2% +11.3%
CHA 57.9%
STL %
6.8%
8.9%
MIA 5.3%
CHA 6.6% +1.3%
BLK %
8.7%
8.3%
MIA 6.3%
CHA 10.7% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.32 and 2.32.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
47.2%
MIA 51.6% +8.5%
CHA 43.1%
Rim FG%
63.0%
54.0%
MIA 55.6% +0.8%
CHA 54.8%
Mid FG%
41.0%
38.5%
MIA 50.0% +15.3%
CHA 34.7%
3P %
37.7%
36.3%
MIA 47.4% +16.6%
CHA 30.8%
FT %
67.2%
70.9%
MIA 37.0%
CHA 46.7% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.0%
MIA 48.0% +14.7%
CHA 33.3%
Mid Att. %
42.6%
55.2%
MIA 26.7% +26.0%
CHA 52.7%
3P Att. %
19.8%
12.8%
MIA 25.3% +11.4%
CHA 14.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.84 and 2.84.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points9787
Rebounds4944
Assists2722
Steals56
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)29 (1)
Field Goals39-7538-93
At-the-Rim FG20-3617-31
Midrange FG10-2017-49
2-Point FG30-5634-80
3-Point FG9-194-13
Free Throws10-277-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'6" 200 · 33
42.2
12
50%
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
2-8
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 23
41.0
11
32%
9
7
1
1
7
0
1
8
1-3
33%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
35.2
4
33%
13
1
0
0
1
4
4
9
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 28
34.4
22
100%
4
8
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
6-8
75%
C · 7'1" 325 · 33
34.3
32
55%
12
3
1
3
5
4
7
5
6-15
40%
13-21
62%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31
16.4
6
75%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
13.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
12.8
6
50%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 284 · 28
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34
#35 · F · 6'10" 255 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
234
97
52%
49
27
5
5
17
0
13
36
10-27
37%
30-56
54%
9-19
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.