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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
32Knicks31%9794
17Celtics69%103111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 28.0
43.3
39.3
31
60%
4
10
2
1
0
4
0
4
15-18
83%
8-14
7-14
57%
48%
0-4
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
37.5
37.2
16
52%
14
1
0
1
2
3
1
13
0-1
0%
8-15
5-11
53%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 19.6
25.1
27.6
8
59%
4
2
2
1
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
3-5
4-9
60%
44%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.0
18.5
26.6
8
100%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
16.8
24.1
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-4
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 33.6
32.5
30.8
9
65%
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
4-5
3-8
80%
42%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 22.3
27.9
18.7
19
66%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
9-10
90%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.9
19.9
17.3
0
0%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 31.8
7.5
6.5
3
104%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
6.4
5.8
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jamison Brewer
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.2
4.7
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 25.0
2.7
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.2
34.7
28.5
9
57%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
55%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.7
31.5
29.9
15
58%
14
3
0
1
1
0
4
10
2-2
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
55%
3-5
60%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.3
30.4
34.1
17
78%
6
3
2
2
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
6-12
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.6
30.4
29.7
12
54%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.1
16.9
20.1
12
76%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.4
31.1
26.7
25
60%
0
2
1
1
0
5
0
0
3-4
75%
8-16
4-8
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.0
17.6
13.7
10
65%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
5-6
83%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.3
17.2
11.5
7
72%
7
1
0
0
2
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.2
12.7
12.7
2
50%
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Tom Gugliotta
F · 6'10" 250 · 35.1
10.8
10.4
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 21.5
4.9
8.9
2
50%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.1
1.8
0.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.