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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs65%91101
23Nets35%8691
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.8
36.7
11.6
16
41%
15
9
0
0
2
3
2
13
6-8
75%
5-16
3-5
31%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.7
35.9
34.3
27
66%
5
8
2
1
0
3
1
4
5-8
63%
8-15
6-13
53%
51%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.5
35.6
29.6
17
58%
7
3
0
2
0
1
2
5
6-6
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
50%
3-5
60%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 33.7
31.0
35.0
5
63%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.7
12.1
26.8
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.1
29.1
17.4
11
98%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
2-3
67%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 30.2
18.0
24.5
8
52%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
3-6
3-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
17.1
15.6
4
35%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-6
33%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34.5
12.3
14.4
7
58%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.6
12.1
12.4
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 37.5
16.7
0
2-4
45%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
6.2
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.9
44.3
40.6
11
36%
3
7
2
2
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
4-10
3-9
40%
40%
1-5
20%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.0
38.3
30.4
9
55%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-5
60%
3-6
3-6
50%
42%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.0
37.2
36.1
43
75%
4
3
2
1
1
2
0
4
10-11
91%
9-18
7-16
50%
43%
5-6
83%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 21.6
30.3
20.0
17
60%
8
0
1
0
2
2
1
7
3-5
60%
7-12
2-5
58%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
19.6
28.5
5
32%
8
1
1
1
2
2
1
7
3-4
75%
1-6
2-5
17%
41%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
24.9
25.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
40%
0-2
0%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
20.9
13.9
2
25%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
39%
0-0
-
Jabari Smith
C · 6'11" 250 · 28.0
12.8
21.4
4
33%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.6
4.4
4.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Zoran Planinic
· 6'7" 195 · 22.4
3.7
2.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 32.6
3.6
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.5
2.6
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.