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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 11, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks51%106115
7Kings49%105113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 31.9
42.5
39.9
19
58%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
7-13
5-11
54%
45%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24.8
41.0
33.1
12
59%
5
1
4
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
47%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.7
40.4
39.2
27
60%
7
7
0
1
2
3
0
7
6-6
100%
9-18
8-17
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
30.0
33.9
17
76%
0
6
1
1
0
2
0
0
5-5
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
27.3
33.5
16
63%
8
0
1
0
1
1
4
4
4-6
67%
6-10
4-8
60%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 36.6
19.5
4.2
4
69%
3
6
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 30.3
17.3
17.7
14
54%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.2
14.9
11.3
4
106%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.0
5.7
13.3
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 32.9
1.5
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
6.9
0
1-2
49%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
2.5
0
0-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.8
40.3
39.4
25
67%
6
4
2
1
0
4
1
5
3-6
50%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
37.6
32.3
23
46%
11
4
0
1
0
2
4
7
3-5
60%
10-21
7-16
48%
46%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 28.8
36.9
37.5
22
63%
10
4
1
1
0
1
5
5
6-8
75%
8-14
6-12
57%
52%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.4
35.6
33.7
17
61%
3
4
1
1
2
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-10
3-8
40%
43%
3-4
75%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 27.7
33.7
35.4
9
41%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.3
20.0
12.9
12
82%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.0
16.8
26.5
3
80%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
4-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 24.9
14.3
17.6
2
100%
1
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.7
4.8
8.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
39%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 31.9
11.1
0
1-2
47%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.0
6.4
0
1-1
44%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
2.9
0
0-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.