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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 16, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
36Hawks14%8989
12Cavaliers86%102111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21.7
43.7
34.0
14
48%
10
4
1
1
0
0
4
6
0-1
0%
7-13
4-8
54%
46%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.5
39.5
40.2
21
41%
10
1
0
1
2
4
2
8
0-3
0%
9-20
7-16
45%
44%
1-4
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 19.2
33.8
26.6
11
48%
2
4
1
1
3
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
32.6
21.8
13
55%
6
6
1
1
1
2
5
1
3-4
75%
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Obinna Ekezie
C · 6'9" 270 · 29.5
31.6
25.0
10
46%
8
0
0
1
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
39%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.1
18.9
28.6
6
28%
1
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
16.4
11.2
10
56%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
11.8
13.9
2
50%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 21.2
11.7
22.6
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.3
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.8
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 42.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.1
37.0
41.5
28
63%
5
6
3
2
0
3
0
5
4-5
80%
9-18
9-18
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.3
35.8
33.1
11
46%
3
11
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
49%
3-7
43%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.4
32.9
27.8
19
66%
11
3
0
1
3
1
3
8
3-3
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
52%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.3
27.3
22.6
11
53%
1
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.7
27.2
35.1
18
44%
13
1
1
1
4
0
12
1
4-6
67%
7-18
7-14
39%
49%
0-0
-
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.2
20.7
16.0
6
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.0
20.5
23.9
6
60%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
17.4
19.0
4
50%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.0
15.4
2.1
6
50%
8
2
0
0
4
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
0-0
50%
39%
0-0
-
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 26.7
5.8
5.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.9
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.