Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 16, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Celtics | 54% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bulls | 37% | 96 | 121 |
 | 25 | Raptors | 63% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pistons | 51% | 94 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 35 | Bobcats | 43% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Nets | 49% | 97 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bucks | 46% | 99 | 90 |
 | 32 | Knicks | 54% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Heat | 80% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 34 | Hornets | 18% | 84 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | SuperSonics | 82% | 107 | 110 | |
Tuesday, February 15, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 38% | 94 | 94 |
 | 19 | Magic | 62% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 65% | 98 | 100 |
| 36 | Hawks | 35% | 93 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 35% | 90 | 71 | |
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 65% | 95 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 56% | 101 | 102 |
| 28 | Bulls | 44% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Lakers | 68% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Mavericks | 66% | 104 | 114 |
| 31 | Warriors | 34% | 99 | 107 |
Monday, February 14, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Knicks | 27% | 96 | 105 |
| 19 | 76ers | 73% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 96 | 80 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 43% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 27% | 89 | 83 |
| 9 | Pistons | 73% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Wizards | 55% | 99 | 96 |
| 34 | Hornets | 45% | 97 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 22% | 99 | 128 |
| 4 | Suns | 78% | 109 | 136 | |
Sunday, February 13, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 54% | 95 | 92 |
| 8 | Heat | 46% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 32% | 96 | 89 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 68% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 33% | 92 | 87 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 67% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kings | 51% | 105 | 104 |
| 20 | Celtics | 49% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 44% | 96 | 106 |
| 27 | Raptors | 56% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 46% | 93 | 79 |
| 22 | Nets | 54% | 94 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 34% | 95 | 99 |
| 32 | Knicks | 66% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 31% | 92 | 94 | |
| 21 | Magic | 69% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 47% | 92 | 73 |
| 15 | Pacers | 53% | 93 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 47% | 104 | 95 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 53% | 105 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 92 | 80 |
| 10 | Rockets | 71% | 99 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Warriors | 30% | 103 | 102 |
Saturday, February 12, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 47% | 98 | 99 |
| 21 | 76ers | 53% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 23% | 91 | 86 |
| 10 | Pistons | 77% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 26% | 94 | 83 |
| 23 | Bucks | 74% | 102 | 113 |
Friday, February 11, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 46% | 99 | 106 |
| 27 | Raptors | 54% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 45% | 99 | 91 |
| 28 | Wizards | 55% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 74% | 103 | 97 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 26% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 47% | 93 | 91 |
| 14 | Pacers | 53% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Knicks | 31% | 97 | 94 |
| 17 | Celtics | 69% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 65% | 91 | 101 |
| 23 | Nets | 35% | 86 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 41% | 96 | 106 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 59% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 91 | 82 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 72% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Warriors | 49% | 94 | 108 |
| 34 | Hornets | 51% | 95 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 82 |
| 19 | Jazz | 51% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 22% | 103 | 113 | |
| 2 | Suns | 78% | 113 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 51% | 106 | 115 |
| 7 | Kings | 49% | 105 | 113 |
Thursday, February 10, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 19% | 92 | 96 |
| 16 | Magic | 81% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Lakers | 20% | 87 | 81 |
| 8 | Pistons | 80% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 36% | 103 | 107 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 64% | 107 | 115 | |
Wednesday, February 9, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 42% | 95 | 89 |
| 17 | Celtics | 58% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 40% | 98 | 110 |
| 27 | Raptors | 60% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 44% | 95 | 98 |
| 21 | 76ers | 56% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 61% | 99 | 87 |
| 28 | Wizards | 39% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Bobcats | 18% | 88 | 87 |
| 13 | Pacers | 82% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Lakers | 34% | 92 | 104 |
| 22 | Nets | 66% | 97 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 63% | 102 | 116 |
| 32 | Knicks | 37% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 34% | 95 | 92 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 66% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 25% | 90 | 92 |
| 9 | Rockets | 75% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hornets | 23% | 89 | 91 | |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 77% | 98 | 80 |
Tuesday, February 8, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 84% | 99 | 104 |
| 33 | Bobcats | 16% | 86 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Warriors | 25% | 94 | 113 |
| 16 | Magic | 75% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 34% | 97 | 91 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 66% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 51% | 102 | 97 |
| 26 | Bucks | 49% | 101 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 42% | 95 | 96 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 58% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 19% | 93 | 107 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 81% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 33% | 94 | 87 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 67% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 54% | 108 | 125 | |
| 11 | Kings | 46% | 107 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hornets | 17% | 89 | 91 | |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 83% | 101 | 108 | |
Monday, February 7, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 49% | 99 | 104 |
| 27 | Wizards | 51% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 39% | 92 | 97 |
| 23 | Nets | 61% | 96 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 55% | 98 | 108 |
| 36 | Hawks | 45% | 97 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Warriors | 21% | 94 | 96 |
| 6 | Heat | 79% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 33% | 96 | 102 |
| 19 | Jazz | 67% | 101 | 99 |
Sunday, February 6, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 61% | 104 | 122 |
| 25 | Raptors | 39% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 41% | 94 | 104 |
| 21 | 76ers | 59% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 33% | 97 | 103 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 67% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 25% | 93 | 102 |
| 10 | Rockets | 75% | 101 | 103 |
Saturday, February 5, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 60% | 89 | 85 |
| 26 | Nets | 40% | 86 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 40% | 102 | 94 |
| 27 | Wizards | 60% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 66% | 97 | 84 |
| 36 | Hawks | 34% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 25% | 93 | 97 |
| 7 | Heat | 75% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 33% | 97 | 92 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 67% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Warriors | 26% | 93 | 91 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 74% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 23% | 88 | 92 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 77% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 11% | 97 | 106 |
| 4 | Suns | 89% | 113 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 48% | 99 | 108 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 16% | 93 | 99 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 84% | 106 | 113 | |
Friday, February 4, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 41% | 102 | 100 |
| 26 | Raptors | 59% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 25% | 94 | 85 |
| 22 | 76ers | 75% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 54% | 98 | 94 |
| 13 | Pacers | 46% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 42% | 99 | 100 |
| 17 | Celtics | 58% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 41% | 95 | 90 |
| 24 | Bucks | 59% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 39% | 94 | 119 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 61% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Knicks | 24% | 96 | 115 |
| 12 | Kings | 76% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 29% | 93 | 89 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 38% | 92 | 82 | |
| 31 | Warriors | 62% | 96 | 90 |
Thursday, February 3, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 32% | 97 | 88 |
| 7 | Heat | 68% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 32% | 89 | 106 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 68% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 78% | 99 | 103 |
| 29 | Lakers | 22% | 89 | 91 |