Final Win Prob. pScore
282%96
101
3418%84
78
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
117.48684.7
Hornets
91.88586.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS101
100%
78
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0NOHMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0SASMarks Dunk (2 PTS)101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:8 Def:6)99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0NOHMISS Vroman Layup99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)98
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03NOHLampe S.FOUL (P1.T4)97
78
Q4 - 1:23NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23SASMarks S.FOUL (P1.PN)97
76
Q4 - 1:38SASBarry Violation:Jump Ball97
76
Q4 - 1:38NOHJump Ball Vroman vs. Brown: Tip to97
76
Q4 - 1:39SASVroman STEAL (1 STL)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54NOHVroman Layup (2 PTS)97
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55NOHVroman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58NOHMISS Lampe 5' Jump Shot97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14NOHSUB: Jacobsen FOR Andersen97
74
Q4 - 2:14NOHSUB: Lampe FOR Dickau97
74
Q4 - 2:14NOHSUB: Vroman FOR Brown97
74
Q4 - 2:14NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 0)97
74
Q4 - 2:21SASBrown Dunk (8 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25NOHDickau Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:41SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)95
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58NOHSmith Dunk (23 PTS)92
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:02SASSmith STEAL (2 STL)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17SASBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:18SASMISS Rose 7' Jump Shot92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:32SASBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:33SASMISS Marks Layup92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39NOHSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:56SASUdrih 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11NOHSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)90
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11NOHSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)90
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 4:11SASSUB: Marks FOR Duncan90
70
Q4 - 4:11SASSUB: Brown FOR Ginobili90
70
Q4 - 4:11SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.PN)90
70
Q4 - 4:26SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Ginobili 10 AST)90
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:32SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:33NOHMISS Brown Layup88
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54SASRose REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)88
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:54SASRose Tip Shot (12 PTS)88
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55SASMISS Duncan Layup86
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16NOHSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T11)86
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 5:16NOHSmith OFF.Foul (P2)86
70
Q4 - 5:29SASRose 7' Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 5:31SASRose REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)84
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 5:35SASAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)84
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 5:52NOHSUB: Brown FOR Jacobsen84
70
Q4 - 5:52NOHSUB: Smith FOR Rogers84
70
Q4 - 5:52NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)84
70
Q4 - 5:52NOHDickau Foul Turnover (P4.T10)84
99.7%
70
0.3%
Q4 - 5:52NOHDickau OFF.Foul (P3)84
70
Q4 - 6:07SASBarry Foul Turnover (P1.T7)84
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 6:07SASBarry OFF.Foul (P5)84
70
Q4 - 6:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 6:16NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw 2 of 284
99.5%
70
0.5%
Q4 - 6:16NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 6:16SASUdrih S.FOUL (P3.PN)84
69
Q4 - 6:37SASGinobili Driving Layup (13 PTS)84
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 6:56NOHNachbar Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 6:56NOHNachbar Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 6:56SASBarry S.FOUL (P4.PN)82
67
Q4 - 7:02NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 7:03SASMISS Udrih 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 7:11SASRose REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 7:13NOHMISS Andersen Layup82
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 7:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)82
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 7:39SASRose Tip Shot (8 PTS)82
99.4%
67
0.6%
Q4 - 7:40SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot80
99.0%
67
1.0%
Q4 - 7:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 8:00NOHMISS Nachbar Layup80
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q4 - 8:16SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 8:16NOHSUB: Dickau FOR Smith79
67
Q4 - 8:16SASSpurs Rebound79
67
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 279
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q4 - 8:16NOHRogers S.FOUL (P4.T3)79
67
Q4 - 8:31NOHSmith 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rogers 4 AST)79
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 8:49SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 8:49SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)78
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 8:4977
65
Q4 - 8:49NOHSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)77
65
Q4 - 9:00NOHJacobsen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)77
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 9:00NOHHORNETS Rebound77
64
Q4 - 9:00NOHMISS Jacobsen Free Throw 1 of 277
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 9:00SASRose S.FOUL (P2.T4)77
64
Q4 - 9:01NOHJacobsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 9:02NOHMISS Jacobsen 22' Jump Shot77
98.6%
64
1.4%
Q4 - 9:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 9:22SASDuncan Tip Shot (16 PTS)77
98.4%
64
1.6%
Q4 - 9:23SASMISS Ginobili Layup75
97.7%
64
2.3%
Q4 - 9:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
98.0%
64
2.0%
Q4 - 9:36NOHMISS Nachbar 3PT Jump Shot75
97.9%
64
2.1%
Q4 - 9:48SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
97.5%
64
2.5%
Q4 - 9:48SASSUB: Barry FOR Brown74
64
Q4 - 9:48SASSUB: Rose FOR Nesterovic74
64
Q4 - 9:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
97.4%
64
2.6%
Q4 - 9:48NOHAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T1)73
64
Q4 - 10:01NOHAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)73
96.5%
64
3.5%
Q4 - 10:01SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T3)73
63
Q4 - 10:01NOHAndersen Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)73
97.2%
63
2.8%
Q4 - 10:10SASUdrih P.FOUL (P2.T2)73
61
Q4 - 10:14NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 10:15NOHMISS Jacobsen 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
98.1%
61
1.9%
Q4 - 10:30SASNesterovic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)73
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 10:31NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)73
98.2%
61
1.8%
Q4 - 10:45SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ginobili 9 AST)73
97.7%
61
2.3%
Q4 - 11:06NOHSmith 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nachbar 1 AST)71
96.8%
61
3.2%
Q4 - 11:15NOHHORNETS Rebound71
97.5%
59
2.5%
Q4 - 11:16NOHMISS Rogers Layup71
97.8%
59
2.2%
Q4 - 11:33SASUdrih 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ginobili 8 AST)71
97.5%
59
2.5%
Q4 - 11:46SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)68
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q4 - 11:48NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 268
96.0%
59
4.0%
Q4 - 11:48NOHHORNETS Rebound68
59
Q4 - 11:48NOHMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 268
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q4 - 11:48SASBrown S.FOUL (P1.T1)68
59
Q4 - 12:0068
59
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS68
95.3%
59
4.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound68
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot68
95.6%
59
4.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
95.7%
59
4.3%
Q3 - 0:17.0NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
95.5%
59
4.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0NOHDickau Layup (12 PTS)68
95.7%
59
4.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
96.6%
57
3.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASMISS Rose Layup68
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
97.1%
57
2.9%
Q3 - 0:55.0SASBrown BLOCK (1 BLK)68
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
97.1%
57
2.9%
Q3 - 1:01NOHMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot68
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 1:20SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
96.3%
57
3.7%
Q3 - 1:20SASSpurs Rebound67
57
Q3 - 1:20SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 267
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 1:20NOHDickau S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
57
Q3 - 1:32SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
57
Q3 - 1:33NOHMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 167
96.1%
57
3.9%
Q3 - 1:33SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T2)67
57
Q3 - 1:33NOHNachbar Layup (8 PTS) (Dickau 5 AST)67
96.2%
57
3.8%
Q3 - 1:46NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
96.9%
55
3.1%
Q3 - 1:47SASAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)67
97.1%
55
2.9%
Q3 - 2:02NOHNachbar L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)67
55
Q3 - 2:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
97.2%
55
2.8%
Q3 - 2:03SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
96.8%
55
3.2%
Q3 - 2:15SASBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
97.2%
55
2.8%
Q3 - 2:18SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot67
96.8%
55
3.2%
Q3 - 2:45NOHBrown 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)67
97.2%
55
2.8%
Q3 - 3:00NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 3:03SASMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot67
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 3:25NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)67
98.0%
53
2.0%
Q3 - 3:35SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T1)67
51
Q3 - 3:47NOHSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 3:48SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 4:01NOHSUB: Andersen FOR Rogers67
51
Q3 - 4:01SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)67
51
Q3 - 4:02SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:03SASMISS Bowen Layup67
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 4:05SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:06SASNachbar BLOCK (1 BLK)67
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 4:09SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 4:11NOHMISS Dickau 18' Jump Shot67
98.4%
51
1.6%
Q3 - 4:32SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Duncan67
51
Q3 - 4:32NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)67
51
Q3 - 4:38SASBrown Driving Layup (6 PTS)67
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q3 - 4:56NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)65
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 5:06NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
51
Q3 - 5:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 165
97.2%
51
2.8%
Q3 - 5:08NOHNachbar S.FOUL (P1.T3)65
51
Q3 - 5:08SASDuncan Layup (12 PTS)65
97.2%
51
2.8%
Q3 - 5:19NOHSUB: Nachbar FOR Lynch63
51
Q3 - 5:19SASSpurs Rebound63
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 5:20SASLynch BLOCK (3 BLK)63
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 5:34SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot63
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 5:47SASSUB: Brown FOR Ginobili63
51
Q3 - 5:47SASSUB: Rose FOR Nesterovic63
51
Q3 - 5:47NOHRogers P.FOUL (P3.T2)63
51
Q3 - 5:52SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
96.7%
51
3.3%
Q3 - 5:53NOHMISS Rogers 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
96.5%
51
3.5%
Q3 - 6:16SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)63
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 6:24SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)60
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot60
93.9%
51
6.1%
Q3 - 6:45NOHSmith 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rogers 3 AST)60
94.6%
51
5.4%
Q3 - 7:03SASNesterovic Layup (12 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)60
95.0%
49
5.0%
Q3 - 7:26NOHSmith Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)58
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 7:44NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
95.0%
47
5.0%
Q3 - 7:45SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
95.3%
47
4.7%
Q3 - 7:55NOHBrown 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rogers 2 AST)58
95.7%
47
4.3%
Q3 - 8:10NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
45
Q3 - 8:15SASParker Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
96.1%
45
3.9%
Q3 - 8:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
95.6%
45
4.4%
Q3 - 8:28NOHMISS Rogers 16' Jump Shot56
95.4%
45
4.6%
Q3 - 8:49SASParker Layup (9 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)56
94.9%
45
5.1%
Q3 - 9:00NOHDickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
94.1%
45
5.9%
Q3 - 9:25SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)54
95.5%
42
4.5%
Q3 - 9:49NOHSmith Driving Layup (11 PTS)52
94.8%
42
5.2%
Q3 - 9:58SASParker 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
95.5%
40
4.5%
Q3 - 10:20SASSpurs Rebound50
94.7%
40
5.3%
Q3 - 10:22NOHMISS Brown Layup50
94.5%
40
5.5%
Q3 - 10:34NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
93.9%
40
6.1%
Q3 - 10:35NOHMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot50
94.5%
40
5.5%
Q3 - 10:56NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
93.9%
40
6.1%
Q3 - 10:57SASMISS Nesterovic 8' Hook Shot50
94.2%
40
5.8%
Q3 - 11:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
94.7%
40
5.3%
Q3 - 11:11NOHMISS Rogers 17' Jump Shot50
94.5%
40
5.5%
Q3 - 11:31SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
93.9%
40
6.1%
Q3 - 11:31SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
93.8%
40
6.2%
Q3 - 11:31NOHLynch S.FOUL (P2.T1)48
40
Q3 - 11:42SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)48
93.1%
40
6.9%
Q3 - 11:43SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot48
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q3 - 12:0048
40
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH48
93.1%
40
6.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)48
92.2%
40
7.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0NOHDickau 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
89.7%
40
10.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
91.2%
38
8.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
90.9%
38
9.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0NOHLynch S.FOUL (P1.PN)43
38
Q2 - 0:30.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
89.8%
38
10.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0SASMISS Parker Layup43
89.1%
38
10.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0NOHDickau Driving Layup (5 PTS)43
89.8%
38
10.2%
Q2 - 1:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)43
91.2%
36
8.8%
Q2 - 1:00NOHDickau S.FOUL (P1.T3)42
36
Q2 - 1:00SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)42
90.0%
36
10.0%
Q2 - 1:11SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
88.5%
36
11.5%
Q2 - 1:13NOHMISS Lynch Layup40
88.2%
36
11.8%
Q2 - 1:35SASRose 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)40
87.5%
36
12.5%
Q2 - 1:43SASSpurs Rebound38
85.5%
36
14.5%
Q2 - 1:43SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)38
84.7%
36
15.3%
Q2 - 1:53SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
85.5%
36
14.5%
Q2 - 1:54NOHMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
85.2%
36
14.8%
Q2 - 2:17SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)38
84.3%
36
15.7%
Q2 - 2:31NOHRogers P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
36
Q2 - 2:41NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
80.7%
36
19.3%
Q2 - 2:41NOHDickau Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)35
81.0%
35
19.0%
Q2 - 2:41SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Brown35
34
Q2 - 2:41SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
34
Q2 - 2:41SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
34
Q2 - 2:46NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
82.6%
34
17.4%
Q2 - 2:48SASLynch BLOCK (2 BLK)35
83.1%
34
16.9%
Q2 - 3:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
84.9%
34
15.1%
Q2 - 3:02NOHMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot35
84.3%
34
15.7%
Q2 - 3:20SASParker 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)35
82.9%
34
17.1%
Q2 - 3:30SASSUB: Parker FOR Udrih33
34
Q2 - 3:49NOHSmith Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Dickau 4 AST)33
81.3%
34
18.7%
Q2 - 3:54SASDickau STEAL (1 STL)33
82.8%
32
17.2%
Q2 - 4:07SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker33
32
Q2 - 4:07NOHAndersen Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)33
85.0%
32
15.0%
Q2 - 4:16NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
83.2%
32
16.8%
Q2 - 4:17NOHMISS Dickau 9' Jump Shot33
84.5%
32
15.5%
Q2 - 4:41NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
83.2%
32
16.8%
Q2 - 4:42SASRogers BLOCK (3 BLK)33
83.8%
32
16.2%
Q2 - 5:01NOHAndersen Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Rogers 1 AST)33
85.2%
32
14.8%
Q2 - 5:16SASSUB: Rose FOR Udrih33
30
Q2 - 5:16SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili33
30
Q2 - 5:16SASSUB: Brown FOR Nesterovic33
30
Q2 - 5:16NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
30
Q2 - 5:16SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T2)33
30
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
86.7%
30
13.3%
Q2 - 5:23SASDuncan Dunk (7 PTS)33
86.7%
30
13.3%
Q2 - 5:24SASMISS Nesterovic Layup31
84.2%
30
15.8%
Q2 - 5:26SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 5:27SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot31
84.2%
30
15.8%
Q2 - 5:51NOHAndersen 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dickau 3 AST)31
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 6:15NOHAndersen Violation:Defensive Goaltending31
28
Q2 - 6:15SASNesterovic Layup (8 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)31
86.3%
28
13.7%
Q2 - 6:22NOHDickau Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)29
85.2%
28
14.8%
Q2 - 6:41NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
83.4%
28
16.6%
Q2 - 6:42SASMISS Nesterovic 16' Jump Shot29
84.0%
28
16.0%
Q2 - 7:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
85.5%
28
14.5%
Q2 - 7:05NOHMISS Andersen 15' Turnaround Jump Shot29
85.0%
28
15.0%
Q2 - 7:27NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
83.9%
28
16.1%
Q2 - 7:28SASMISS Udrih Layup29
84.4%
28
15.6%
Q2 - 7:33NOHRogers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)29
85.4%
28
14.6%
Q2 - 7:47NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Nachbar29
28
Q2 - 7:47NOHSUB: Dickau FOR Jacobsen29
28
Q2 - 7:47SASSUB: Bowen FOR Brown29
28
Q2 - 7:4729
28
Q2 - 7:47SASBrown Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)29
83.9%
28
16.1%
Q2 - 7:50SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
85.4%
28
14.6%
Q2 - 7:51NOHMISS Smith Layup29
85.0%
28
15.0%
Q2 - 8:13SASBrown 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)29
84.1%
28
15.9%
Q2 - 8:34NOHAndersen 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
82.5%
28
17.5%
Q2 - 8:58SASDuncan Layup (5 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)27
84.1%
26
15.9%
Q2 - 9:03NOHSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
82.6%
26
17.4%
Q2 - 9:07SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)25
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 9:21NOHRogers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)25
82.5%
26
17.5%
Q2 - 9:26NOHHORNETS Rebound25
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 9:26NOHMISS Jacobsen Layup25
82.1%
26
17.9%
Q2 - 9:35SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose25
26
Q2 - 9:35NOHHORNETS Rebound25
26
Q2 - 9:35NOHMISS Jacobsen Free Throw Technical25
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 9:3525
26
Q2 - 9:35SASUdrih P.FOUL (P1.T1)25
26
Q2 - 9:45SASGinobili Layup (5 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)25
80.9%
26
19.1%
Q2 - 9:58NOHNachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jacobsen 4 AST)23
79.2%
26
20.8%
Q2 - 10:21SASUdrih 14' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)23
82.5%
23
17.5%
Q2 - 10:33NOHJacobsen P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
23
Q2 - 10:33SASSpurs Rebound21
81.0%
23
19.0%
Q2 - 10:35SASRogers BLOCK (2 BLK)21
79.9%
23
20.1%
Q2 - 10:45NOHRogers 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jacobsen 3 AST)21
81.0%
23
19.0%
Q2 - 11:09SASUdrih Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)21
82.4%
21
17.6%
Q2 - 11:20NOHSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jacobsen 2 AST)19
80.9%
21
19.1%
Q2 - 11:40SASRose Layup (2 PTS)19
83.8%
18
16.2%
Q2 - 12:0017
18
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS17
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound17
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)17
81.4%
18
18.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHHORNETS Violation: Delay of game Violation17
18
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHDickau Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHHORNETS Rebound17
17
Q1 - 0:03.0NOHMISS Dickau Free Throw 1 of 217
82.6%
17
17.4%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASBarry S.FOUL (P3.T4)17
17
Q1 - 0:08.0NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
82.7%
17
17.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASMISS Parker 9' Jump Shot17
83.0%
17
17.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
83.8%
17
16.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot17
83.4%
17
16.6%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASBrown Driving Layup (2 PTS)17
82.7%
17
17.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
80.9%
17
19.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0NOHMISS Nachbar Layup15
80.5%
17
19.5%
Q1 - 1:18NOHNachbar REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
80.2%
17
19.8%
Q1 - 1:19SASMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot15
80.6%
17
19.4%
Q1 - 1:34SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
81.2%
17
18.8%
Q1 - 1:35NOHMISS Brown 19' Jump Shot15
80.9%
17
19.1%
Q1 - 1:51SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T2)15
80.2%
17
19.8%
Q1 - 1:51SASRose OFF.Foul (P1)15
17
Q1 - 2:13NOHNachbar 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jacobsen 1 AST)15
81.5%
17
18.5%
Q1 - 2:18NOHHORNETS Rebound15
84.3%
14
15.7%
Q1 - 2:19NOHMISS Jacobsen Layup15
85.0%
14
15.0%
Q1 - 2:38NOHAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
84.3%
14
15.7%
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
84.6%
14
15.4%
Q1 - 2:51SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
85.3%
14
14.7%
Q1 - 2:52NOHMISS Nachbar Free Throw 2 of 215
85.2%
14
14.8%
Q1 - 2:52NOHHORNETS Rebound15
14
Q1 - 2:52NOHMISS Nachbar Free Throw 1 of 215
84.4%
14
15.6%
Q1 - 2:52SASBarry S.FOUL (P2.T3)15
14
Q1 - 3:07SASNesterovic 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)15
84.6%
14
15.4%
Q1 - 3:26SASSUB: Brown FOR Duncan13
14
Q1 - 3:26SASSUB: Nesterovic FOR Bowen13
14
Q1 - 3:26SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 3:33NOHBrown Layup (6 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)13
83.3%
14
16.7%
Q1 - 3:46SASBarry P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
12
Q1 - 3:48NOHHORNETS Rebound13
84.6%
12
15.4%
Q1 - 3:50NOHMISS Nachbar 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
85.4%
12
14.6%
Q1 - 4:03NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
84.5%
12
15.5%
Q1 - 4:04SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot13
84.8%
12
15.2%
Q1 - 4:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
85.5%
12
14.5%
Q1 - 4:16NOHMISS Dickau 11' Jump Shot13
85.2%
12
14.8%
Q1 - 4:27NOHSUB: Andersen FOR Rogers13
12
Q1 - 4:27NOHHORNETS Rebound13
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 4:27SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot13
84.8%
12
15.2%
Q1 - 4:45NOHRogers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
85.5%
12
14.5%
Q1 - 4:45NOHRogers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
85.7%
11
14.3%
Q1 - 4:45SASSUB: Rose FOR Ginobili13
10
Q1 - 4:45SASSUB: Barry FOR Nesterovic13
10
Q1 - 4:45NOHSUB: Jacobsen FOR Smith13
10
Q1 - 4:45NOHSUB: Nachbar FOR Lynch13
10
Q1 - 4:45NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
10
Q1 - 4:45SASNesterovic S.FOUL (P1.T1)13
10
Q1 - 4:50NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
86.4%
10
13.6%
Q1 - 4:51SASRogers BLOCK (1 BLK)13
86.7%
10
13.3%
Q1 - 5:05NOHDickau Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
86.9%
10
13.1%
Q1 - 5:28SASNesterovic 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)13
85.9%
10
14.1%
Q1 - 5:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
85.1%
10
14.9%
Q1 - 5:46NOHMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
84.7%
10
15.3%
Q1 - 5:52NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
83.9%
10
16.1%
Q1 - 5:53SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot11
84.3%
10
15.7%
Q1 - 6:18NOHSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)11
85.2%
10
14.8%
Q1 - 6:20NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
86.0%
8
14.0%
Q1 - 6:22SASMISS Ginobili 12' Jump Shot11
86.2%
8
13.8%
Q1 - 6:41NOHSmith 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
86.7%
8
13.3%
Q1 - 7:04NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
87.4%
6
12.6%
Q1 - 7:05SASLynch BLOCK (1 BLK)11
87.6%
6
12.4%
Q1 - 7:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
88.0%
6
12.0%
Q1 - 7:10NOHMISS Dickau 17' Jump Shot11
87.8%
6
12.2%
Q1 - 7:26SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)11
87.2%
6
12.8%
Q1 - 7:49SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
86.4%
6
13.6%
Q1 - 7:50NOHMISS Brown 16' Fadeaway Jumper9
86.1%
6
13.9%
Q1 - 8:03NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
85.7%
6
14.3%
Q1 - 8:04SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot9
85.9%
6
14.1%
Q1 - 8:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
86.2%
6
13.8%
Q1 - 8:20NOHMISS Smith Dunk9
86.0%
6
14.0%
Q1 - 8:24SASRogers STEAL (1 STL)9
85.5%
6
14.5%
Q1 - 8:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
86.1%
6
13.9%
Q1 - 8:31NOHMISS Smith Layup9
85.9%
6
14.1%
Q1 - 8:44NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
85.3%
6
14.7%
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 29
85.4%
6
14.6%
Q1 - 8:45SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
85.7%
6
14.3%
Q1 - 8:45NOHRogers S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 8:51SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
85.2%
6
14.8%
Q1 - 8:52NOHMISS Rogers 12' Jump Shot8
85.0%
6
15.0%
Q1 - 9:17SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
84.6%
6
15.4%
Q1 - 9:33NOHBrown Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
83.2%
6
16.8%
Q1 - 9:53SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)5
83.6%
4
16.4%
Q1 - 10:01NOHRogers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
82.7%
4
17.3%
Q1 - 10:09SASNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)2
82.1%
4
17.9%
Q1 - 10:27NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)0
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 10:38NOHDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
82.0%
2
18.0%
Q1 - 10:39SASMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot0
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 10:47SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
82.3%
2
17.7%
Q1 - 10:48SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot0
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 11:09NOHRogers Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
82.2%
2
17.8%
Q1 - 11:24NOHRogers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 11:25SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot0
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 11:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
82.0%
0
18.0%
Q1 - 11:43NOHMISS Dickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
81.9%
0
18.1%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Brown vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Lynch0
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASNOK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
NOK
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
37
54%
NOK
16
30
53%
Midrange
SAS
13
37
35%
NOK
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
NOK
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
14
18
78%
NOK
14
23
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan1948%9.5 / 20
M. Ginobili1365%6.5 / 10
R. Nesterovic1250%6.0 / 12
T. Parker1246%6.0 / 13
M. Rose1255%6.0 / 11
D. Brown1050%5.0 / 10
B. Bowen938%4.5 / 12
B. Udrih975%4.5 / 6
B. Barry3150%1.5 / 1
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2563%12.5 / 20
D. Dickau1350%6.5 / 13
P. Brown1255%6.0 / 11
B. Nachbar1050%5.0 / 10
C. Andersen950%4.5 / 9
R. Rogers638%3.0 / 8
J. Vroman250%1.0 / 2
C. Jacobsen110%0.5 / 5
G. Lynch0-0.0 / 1
M. Lampe0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
77
+24
-9
101
NOK
72
+9
-13
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
NOK
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.9
96.9
SAS 117.4 +25.7
NOH 91.8
Pace
91.2
90.2
SAS 84.7
NOH 86.3 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.1
SAS 17.0
NOH 16.7 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
44.6%
SAS 49.4% +2.3%
NOH 47.1%
TO %
14.2%
15.3%
SAS 8.6% −5.7%
NOH 14.3%
ORB %
29.2%
29.2%
SAS 43.2% +29.7%
NOH 13.5%
FTrt
32.9
27.9
SAS 20.5
NOH 33.8 +13.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
63.4%
SAS 67.5% +0.8%
NOH 66.7%
STL %
8.2%
7.4%
SAS 10.5% +4.6%
NOH 5.9%
BLK %
9.9%
6.3%
SAS 12.5%
NOH 16.2% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.03 and 2.03.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
46.8%
SAS 50.0% +1.9%
NOH 48.1%
Rim FG%
59.3%
52.2%
SAS 54.1% +0.8%
NOH 53.3%
Mid FG%
37.2%
38.2%
SAS 35.1%
NOH 38.5% +3.4%
3P %
36.3%
31.5%
SAS 50.0% +16.7%
NOH 33.3%
FT %
72.4%
76.6%
SAS 77.8% +16.9%
NOH 60.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.6%
32.7%
SAS 42.0%
NOH 44.1% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
47.2%
SAS 42.0%
NOH 38.2% −3.8%
3P Att. %
21.6%
20.1%
SAS 15.9%
NOH 17.6% +1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.
Game TotalsSASNOH
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points10178
Rebounds5130
Assists2720
Steals95
Blocks712
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (5)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)25 (1)
Field Goals40-8830-68
At-the-Rim FG20-3716-30
Midrange FG13-3710-26
2-Point FG33-7426-56
3-Point FG7-144-12
Free Throws14-1814-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 29
33.4
19
48%
6
5
0
2
0
0
2
4
3-6
50%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 28
30.7
13
65%
3
10
1
0
1
1
0
3
6-6
100%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
30.4
12
50%
8
2
1
3
1
3
4
4
0-0
-
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 23
28.6
12
46%
2
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 200 · 34
28.4
9
38%
7
0
2
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
0-7
0%
3-5
60%
F · 6'7" 255 · 30
28.0
12
55%
15
2
1
2
1
2
8
7
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 26
22.4
10
50%
7
1
1
0
3
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 23
19.4
9
75%
1
1
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 33
14.6
3
150%
2
1
0
0
1
5
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 29
4.2
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 34
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 38
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
50%
51
27
9
7
9
0
19
32
14-18
78%
33-74
45%
7-14
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.