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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Lakers69%101117
36Bobcats31%95116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 26.6
44.2
40.6
32
61%
4
9
0
2
0
2
2
2
4-5
80%
8-18
8-16
44%
48%
4-6
67%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 30.6
37.2
33.6
26
69%
0
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
6-14
43%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.3
36.9
36.4
9
57%
11
8
0
1
1
2
1
10
2-2
100%
2-6
6-11
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
29.3
25.2
15
74%
6
0
2
0
1
2
2
4
5-7
71%
5-7
4-7
71%
50%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.0
27.4
25.8
14
72%
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
2-4
50%
6-8
4-8
75%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
17.3
16.9
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Tierre Brown
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.8
16.5
10.5
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.1
16.2
24.1
15
95%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
3-5
60%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
7.0
4.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 25.9
4.2
8.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.0
4.0
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.0
1.7
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
40.7
31.7
30
61%
11
2
1
1
2
1
3
8
4-6
67%
13-22
6-12
59%
46%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
29.8
20.0
13
77%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
42%
2-3
67%
Theron Smith
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
24.8
13.7
4
33%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.4
24.6
24.4
8
44%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.9
23.4
26.1
7
39%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.3
32.6
9.1
21
64%
3
17
4
1
0
0
0
3
9-10
90%
6-11
1-3
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.1
20.5
20.6
9
67%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
19.1
18.3
12
86%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-7
3-6
86%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.7
14.3
16.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
8.8
16.4
12
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
4-4
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.2
1.4
19.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.7
17.7
1
2-4
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.