Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, March 12, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 22% | 90 | 65 | |
 | 5 | Heat | 78% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Lakers | 69% | 101 | 117 |
 | 36 | Bobcats | 31% | 95 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bucks | 46% | 95 | 107 |
| 34 | Hornets | 54% | 96 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, March 11, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hawks | 25% | 94 | 116 |
 | 26 | Raptors | 75% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 23% | 92 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Timberwolves | 38% | 97 | 101 |
 | 22 | Magic | 62% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 36% | 94 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Pistons | 57% | 96 | 113 |
 | 18 | Celtics | 43% | 94 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 53% | 102 | 112 |
| 29 | Bucks | 47% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 56% | 95 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Suns | 68% | 106 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31 | Bulls | 25% | 94 | 100 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 75% | 103 | 97 | |
Thursday, March 10, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 30% | 94 | 90 |
| 6 | Heat | 70% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 31% | 99 | 100 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 69% | 105 | 95 |
Wednesday, March 9, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hawks | 17% | 92 | 91 |
| 19 | Celtics | 83% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 37% | 99 | 96 |
| 26 | Raptors | 63% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 19% | 89 | 88 |
| 5 | Pistons | 81% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 46% | 89 | 86 | |
| 34 | Hornets | 54% | 90 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 43% | 99 | 101 |
| 4 | Suns | 57% | 101 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bulls | 49% | 92 | 97 |
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 93 | 84 |
Tuesday, March 8, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 41% | 99 | 104 |
| 15 | 76ers | 59% | 102 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 39% | 98 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Knicks | 49% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 31% | 93 | 101 |
| 28 | Bucks | 69% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 22% | 90 | 97 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 78% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 11% | 81 | 74 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 89% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 43% | 93 | 89 |
| 20 | Jazz | 57% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 45% | 99 | 82 |
| 12 | Kings | 55% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 36% | 97 | 97 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 64% | 101 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 33% | 96 | 110 |
| 17 | Lakers | 67% | 101 | 101 |
Monday, March 7, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 33% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Heat | 67% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 43% | 95 | 85 |
| 30 | Bulls | 57% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 26% | 97 | 105 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 74% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 91 | 98 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 70% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 59% | 95 | 105 |
| 28 | Clippers | 41% | 92 | 102 |
Sunday, March 6, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 48% | 99 | 69 |
| 10 | Rockets | 52% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 58% | 98 | 85 |
| 15 | Kings | 42% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 46% | 98 | 99 |
| 23 | Celtics | 54% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 53% | 96 | 95 |
| 34 | Hornets | 47% | 95 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 11% | 84 | 94 |
| 2 | Spurs | 89% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 47% | 101 | 99 |
| 29 | Knicks | 53% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 52% | 99 | 102 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 48% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 36% | 104 | 110 | |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 64% | 108 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 42% | 95 | 94 |
| 18 | Lakers | 58% | 98 | 103 |
Saturday, March 5, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 48% | 95 | 105 |
| 29 | Clippers | 52% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 59% | 100 | 86 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 41% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 63% | 98 | 98 |
| 36 | Hawks | 37% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Magic | 37% | 94 | 105 |
| 26 | Nets | 63% | 98 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Bulls | 38% | 95 | 87 |
| 27 | Bucks | 62% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 14% | 96 | 116 |
| 4 | Suns | 86% | 109 | 129 | |
Friday, March 4, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 40% | 97 | 89 |
| 14 | 76ers | 60% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 38% | 101 | 103 |
| 17 | Wizards | 62% | 105 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Knicks | 37% | 99 | 89 |
| 21 | Magic | 63% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 25% | 94 | 84 |
| 20 | Celtics | 75% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 36% | 99 | 83 |
| 9 | Heat | 64% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 25% | 93 | 75 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 75% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 54% | 93 | 85 |
| 34 | Hornets | 46% | 92 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 31% | 95 | 97 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 69% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Bulls | 11% | 83 | 99 |
| 2 | Spurs | 89% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 40% | 92 | 106 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 58% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Lakers | 42% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 40% | 94 | 87 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 60% | 97 | 95 | |
Thursday, March 3, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 53% | 94 | 106 |
| 21 | Nets | 47% | 93 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 41% | 92 | 87 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 59% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 45% | 97 | 97 |
| 7 | Suns | 55% | 99 | 100 | |
Wednesday, March 2, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Nets | 36% | 92 | 99 | |
| 14 | 76ers | 64% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 45% | 99 | 98 |
| 23 | Wizards | 55% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 39% | 101 | 111 |
| 22 | Magic | 61% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 40% | 100 | 103 | |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 60% | 103 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 39% | 100 | 101 |
| 18 | Celtics | 61% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 26% | 95 | 99 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 74% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 14% | 88 | 86 |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 33% | 90 | 85 |
| 34 | Hornets | 67% | 95 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 20% | 90 | 74 |
| 21 | Jazz | 80% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 63% | 101 | 92 |
| 30 | Clippers | 37% | 97 | 101 |
Tuesday, March 1, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 26% | 94 | 97 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 74% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kings | 69% | 103 | 87 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 31% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 46% | 96 | 101 | |
| 14 | Pacers | 54% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 49% | 100 | 118 |
| 29 | Bucks | 51% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 51% | 95 | 119 |
| 26 | Bulls | 49% | 94 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 22% | 92 | 74 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 78% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 63% | 93 | 103 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 89 | 93 |
Monday, February 28, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 71% | 96 | 94 |
| 13 | Cavaliers | 29% | 89 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Lakers | 40% | 99 | 115 |
| 29 | Knicks | 60% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 8% | 89 | 86 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 92% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Clippers | 37% | 94 | 86 |
| 21 | Jazz | 63% | 98 | 87 |
Sunday, February 27, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Lakers | 43% | 100 | 102 |
| 23 | Raptors | 57% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 49% | 93 | 98 |
| 32 | Nets | 51% | 94 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 58% | 104 | 73 | |
| 31 | Bucks | 42% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 27% | 92 | 99 |
| 9 | Rockets | 73% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 44% | 104 | 110 |
| 22 | Wizards | 56% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 60% | 94 | 94 |
| 34 | Hornets | 40% | 91 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 48% | 99 | 112 |
| 19 | Magic | 52% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Celtics | 26% | 101 | 120 |
| 5 | Suns | 74% | 110 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 47% | 95 | 91 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 63% | 97 | 94 |
| 29 | Warriors | 37% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hawks | 29% | 92 | 104 |
| 27 | Clippers | 71% | 99 | 111 |