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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 12, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bucks46%95107
34Hornets54%96111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
42.7
20.1
10
64%
16
0
0
1
2
1
5
11
4-4
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
39.2
40.0
29
51%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
9-10
90%
7-17
8-17
41%
47%
2-7
29%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 27.4
36.0
37.0
11
46%
4
2
0
1
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
5-11
6-13
45%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 29.6
31.1
31.0
8
57%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 22.2
29.7
32.1
19
70%
2
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
5-6
83%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
2-4
50%
Anthony Goldwire
G · 6'2" 182 · 33.5
18.4
8.7
14
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
39%
4-5
80%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 26.6
16.8
9.2
6
100%
5
1
0
0
3
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 36.5
15.4
22.4
8
48%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-3
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 31.3
5.5
14.4
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.1
5.3
19.8
0
0%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.2
2.6
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.4
37.7
35.7
16
74%
13
6
1
1
0
0
4
9
4-4
100%
6-9
4-10
67%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.5
30.3
22.8
17
52%
1
7
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
7-13
3-6
54%
47%
1-3
33%
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.8
28.2
20.8
10
71%
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.5
27.1
28.7
17
55%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
5-8
63%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
2-7
29%
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.1
21.1
24.0
16
89%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
8-9
5-10
89%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
29.7
25.8
9
31%
10
0
0
1
0
3
4
6
5-10
50%
2-10
3-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.7
26.9
21.7
11
61%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
3-6
50%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
21.3
17.7
12
56%
4
2
2
0
0
0
2
2
5-6
83%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.8
17.7
24.1
3
22%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
0-0
-
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
8.6
0
1-1
44%
Maciej Lampe
F · 6'11" 275 · 20.1
4.6
0
1-2
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.