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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards40%101101
17Celtics60%104105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
46.7
41.3
25
45%
2
6
1
2
0
2
0
2
10-13
77%
6-15
7-14
40%
45%
1-7
14%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.1
41.2
38.1
26
57%
9
1
2
2
0
5
4
5
3-6
50%
10-16
6-14
63%
45%
1-4
25%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
39.5
20.7
13
59%
16
2
1
1
1
1
6
10
7-9
78%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
36.8
20.3
14
50%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 25.3
31.5
32.7
7
40%
12
1
1
1
1
0
4
8
1-4
25%
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
15.8
6.8
5
87%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.0
15.6
28.5
2
25%
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 25.0
11.4
17.5
9
63%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
3-5
60%
0-2
1-3
0%
39%
2-3
67%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 27.6
0.8
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.1
0.7
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
37%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 26.4
9.3
0
1-3
45%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 35.3
5.4
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.4
38.3
37.6
20
61%
3
5
2
2
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
3-8
6-13
38%
48%
4-7
57%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 36.6
33.7
31.5
5
32%
6
5
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
33.1
22.4
19
68%
5
1
0
1
3
0
3
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
54%
3-5
60%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
30.9
33.8
11
43%
12
0
2
1
1
2
3
9
1-2
50%
5-11
6-13
45%
46%
0-1
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 21.6
13.4
16.9
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 25.5
34.2
35.2
12
39%
5
6
2
1
0
4
3
2
3-3
100%
3-10
6-13
30%
49%
1-4
25%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 20.2
17.3
11.7
12
50%
8
1
0
0
1
1
4
4
0-0
-
6-12
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 29.3
14.3
24.6
5
51%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 23.3
14.3
8.9
9
57%
4
4
2
1
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
4-6
1-2
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 23.2
10.5
11.7
12
82%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 20.3
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.