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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 28, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Cavaliers58%96109
33Hornets42%93108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.2
53.0
37.7
44
65%
6
3
4
2
0
10
2
4
9-11
82%
13-19
8-15
68%
49%
3-10
30%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.5
38.7
29.2
11
49%
11
3
1
1
0
1
3
8
5-5
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.9
29.1
23.0
0
0%
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.8
28.3
29.4
14
73%
9
1
0
1
1
1
2
7
6-6
100%
4-7
5-11
57%
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
25.5
23.4
3
50%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
20.8
19.4
9
73%
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
3-5
60%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 28.2
17.5
10.3
12
61%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
2-4
50%
5-8
1-3
63%
47%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 21.4
16.9
13.0
13
81%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.4
12.1
20.6
0
0%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.2
11.8
7.8
3
54%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 34.3
10.6
18.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 23.2
0.7
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 19.5
42.1
31.3
22
65%
4
3
2
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
4-7
57%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 35.5
37.2
32.3
11
49%
11
3
1
1
0
0
2
9
5-5
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.5
35.7
30.5
11
37%
3
12
0
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.9
35.6
29.2
15
61%
8
1
1
0
2
2
1
7
1-5
20%
7-10
5-10
70%
47%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.1
30.9
25.8
15
63%
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
7-11
5-11
64%
47%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.7
22.1
19.1
17
86%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
44%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
17.4
18.8
11
71%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 26.9
17.3
13.1
2
33%
1
7
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.6
15.8
13.4
4
41%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
10.9
19.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jackson Vroman
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.8
7.0
0
1-2
45%
George Lynch
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
6.7
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.