Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, March 28, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 56% | 93 | 95 | |
 | 31 | Bobcats | 44% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Magic | 71% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Mavericks | 43% | 94 | 95 |
 | 8 | Pistons | 57% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Bucks | 48% | 97 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 33 | Hornets | 42% | 93 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Bulls | 40% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Suns | 74% | 110 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 100 |
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Sunday, March 27, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 35% | 87 | 70 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Timberwolves | 64% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 51% | 101 | 96 |
 | 25 | Lakers | 49% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 28% | 97 | 95 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 72% | 104 | 94 | |
Saturday, March 26, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 46% | 93 | 96 |
| 21 | Nets | 54% | 94 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Heat | 67% | 100 | 92 |
| 31 | Bobcats | 33% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Raptors | 58% | 101 | 109 |
| 36 | Hawks | 42% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Magic | 37% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Celtics | 30% | 91 | 99 |
| 9 | Pistons | 70% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hornets | 12% | 86 | 96 | |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 88% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 48% | 93 | 96 |
| 27 | Bulls | 52% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 26% | 96 | 86 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 74% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 41% | 101 | 99 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 59% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 44% | 98 | 89 |
| 33 | Jazz | 56% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 41% | 95 | 96 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 98 | 103 |
Friday, March 25, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 35% | 99 | 101 |
| 16 | 76ers | 65% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 36% | 95 | 94 |
| 21 | Celtics | 64% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 42% | 104 | 115 | |
| 3 | Heat | 58% | 107 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 32% | 87 | 94 |
| 7 | Pistons | 68% | 93 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 68% | 97 | 81 |
| 35 | Hornets | 32% | 91 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 11% | 84 | 95 |
| 9 | Spurs | 89% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 34% | 95 | 94 |
| 23 | Clippers | 66% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 34% | 99 | 117 |
| 20 | Warriors | 66% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 35% | 97 | 101 |
| 14 | SuperSonics | 65% | 102 | 109 | |
Thursday, March 24, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 29% | 93 | 108 |
| 32 | Magic | 71% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 52% | 91 | 105 |
| 18 | Nets | 48% | 90 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 29% | 91 | 80 |
| 5 | Rockets | 71% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 30% | 97 | 96 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 70% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 39% | 96 | 85 |
| 23 | Jazz | 61% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 45% | 104 | 101 |
| 12 | Kings | 55% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 57% | 97 | 96 | |
| 31 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 95 | 91 |
Wednesday, March 23, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 40% | 97 | 94 |
| 24 | Raptors | 60% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 72% | 108 | 120 | |
| 33 | Bobcats | 28% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 56% | 92 | 93 |
| 13 | Pacers | 44% | 90 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 48% | 102 | 82 |
| 25 | Knicks | 52% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 49% | 93 | 84 |
| 18 | 76ers | 51% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hornets | 22% | 90 | 102 | |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 78% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 34% | 95 | 108 |
| 28 | Clippers | 66% | 100 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 56% | 103 | 109 |
| 21 | Warriors | 44% | 101 | 97 |
Tuesday, March 22, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 55% | 93 | 76 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 45% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 45% | 91 | 91 |
| 21 | Nets | 55% | 92 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 83% | 111 | 105 | |
| 36 | Hawks | 17% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 34% | 96 | 98 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 66% | 101 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 41% | 97 | 107 |
| 26 | Jazz | 59% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 43% | 95 | 82 |
| 6 | Rockets | 57% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 94 | 93 |
| 12 | Kings | 80% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bucks | 32% | 96 | 84 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 68% | 102 | 92 | |
Monday, March 21, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 60% | 101 | 97 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 40% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 54% | 96 | 75 |
| 23 | Knicks | 46% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 26% | 90 | 91 |
| 29 | Bulls | 74% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 12% | 91 | 86 | |
| 3 | Mavericks | 88% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 91 | 89 |
| 30 | Clippers | 64% | 95 | 96 |
Sunday, March 20, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 46% | 100 | 98 |
| 22 | Raptors | 54% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 43% | 87 | 101 |
| 6 | Pistons | 57% | 89 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 34% | 88 | 94 | |
| 11 | Pacers | 66% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 47% | 102 | 97 | |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 53% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 55% | 95 | 86 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 45% | 94 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bucks | 30% | 95 | 103 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 70% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 39% | 102 | 104 |
| 12 | Kings | 61% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SuperSonics | 53% | 102 | 102 | |
| 25 | Lakers | 47% | 101 | 100 |
Saturday, March 19, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bulls | 31% | 93 | 94 |
| 15 | 76ers | 69% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 31% | 94 | 95 |
| 18 | Wizards | 69% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 16% | 94 | 82 |
| 3 | Heat | 84% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 57% | 98 | 113 |
| 34 | Hornets | 43% | 96 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 7% | 91 | 93 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 93% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 46% | 96 | 97 |
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 55% | 101 | 111 |
| 29 | Clippers | 45% | 100 | 107 |
Friday, March 18, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 35% | 89 | 80 |
| 22 | Nets | 65% | 94 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 55% | 99 | 106 |
| 35 | Hawks | 45% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 38% | 96 | 93 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 62% | 100 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 29% | 94 | 97 |
| 11 | Pacers | 71% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 24% | 91 | 92 |
| 6 | Pistons | 76% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 33% | 90 | 83 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 67% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 31% | 89 | 94 | |
| 31 | Bulls | 69% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 51% | 102 | 90 |
| 30 | Bucks | 49% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 28% | 95 | 103 |
| 9 | Rockets | 72% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 8% | 83 | 76 |
| 5 | Spurs | 92% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 36% | 94 | 96 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 64% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 18% | 102 | 110 |
| 2 | Suns | 82% | 114 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 26% | 100 | 90 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 74% | 108 | 98 | |
Thursday, March 17, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 21% | 95 | 89 |
| 6 | Heat | 79% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 11% | 90 | 94 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 89% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 46% | 103 | 97 |
| 24 | Warriors | 54% | 104 | 100 |
Wednesday, March 16, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 39% | 102 | 109 |
| 19 | Celtics | 61% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 28% | 89 | 84 |
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 33% | 89 | 84 |
| 23 | Nets | 67% | 94 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 62% | 100 | 122 |
| 33 | Hawks | 38% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 28% | 91 | 95 | |
| 3 | Pistons | 72% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cavaliers | 49% | 98 | 88 |
| 31 | Bucks | 51% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 72% | 95 | 88 |
| 35 | Hornets | 28% | 87 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Trail Blazers | 17% | 87 | 77 |
| 8 | Rockets | 83% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 23% | 87 | 73 |
| 7 | Spurs | 77% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 20% | 91 | 101 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 80% | 102 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 37% | 97 | 102 |
| 26 | Clippers | 63% | 101 | 110 |
Tuesday, March 15, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 91 |
| 17 | 76ers | 67% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 36% | 94 | 73 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 64% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 58% | 101 | 98 |
| 29 | Knicks | 42% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 57% | 99 | 99 | |
| 30 | Bulls | 43% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 26% | 96 | 100 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 35% | 102 | 94 |
| 11 | Kings | 65% | 107 | 105 |