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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 28, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets67%9699
35Jazz33%9185
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 25.8
37.7
31.9
44
78%
6
4
5
1
1
0
0
6
11-16
69%
12-15
7-14
80%
47%
3-6
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 24.5
28.3
27.7
15
66%
4
0
0
0
3
4
0
4
1-1
100%
7-11
6-11
64%
53%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 34.4
27.8
32.5
11
56%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
4-7
2-5
57%
42%
0-1
0%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.0
21.8
31.6
3
61%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 34.6
20.2
18.1
2
21%
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
2-4
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 29.8
26.2
20.0
16
56%
7
5
1
1
0
0
3
4
8-10
80%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.7
25.8
20.6
7
70%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.9
20.5
23.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 38.8
19.7
17.3
1
57%
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 29.4
12.0
8.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 33.3
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Torraye Braggs
F · 6'8" 245 · 28.9
2.2
0
0-0
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
37.2
32.2
18
70%
9
1
0
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.8
36.5
27.5
25
76%
6
0
2
0
0
3
3
3
9-10
90%
8-11
4-8
73%
48%
0-1
0%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
31.8
28.2
4
30%
0
9
2
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 21.8
28.6
12.8
12
49%
4
2
0
0
2
3
1
3
2-3
67%
5-9
1-3
56%
42%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.3
14.3
10.8
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
26.6
27.9
7
34%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
0-3
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.8
21.0
24.1
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
17.6
17.3
6
44%
4
1
1
0
0
3
1
3
0-2
0%
3-6
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
16.2
16.8
7
117%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 31.4
5.2
17.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 24.5
5.0
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 30.0
3.5
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.