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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 10, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
31Bobcats16%8895
6Grizzlies84%101102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
40.0
34.6
19
61%
18
1
1
1
2
1
10
8
7-8
88%
6-12
6-14
50%
44%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
38.0
25.3
22
54%
4
10
2
2
0
3
0
4
6-8
75%
8-17
3-8
47%
42%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
37.5
33.9
13
37%
9
0
2
0
2
5
5
4
3-4
75%
5-16
5-11
31%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
37.4
29.9
6
38%
2
3
2
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
35.1
19.8
12
46%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
39%
2-4
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 26.9
18.5
18.8
5
58%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1-3
33%
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
15.6
16.7
11
62%
4
2
2
0
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
4-7
2-5
57%
39%
1-1
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 26.9
12.2
14.1
5
37%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.2
5.7
12.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
17.1
1
1-3
37%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
10.4
0
1-2
41%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.8
4.7
0
1-2
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.6
35.9
30.8
25
72%
11
2
3
1
3
0
3
8
9-10
90%
8-12
3-7
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.1
33.7
31.8
21
70%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
54%
5-8
63%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
32.4
29.6
16
66%
10
1
0
1
2
1
1
9
6-7
86%
5-9
5-9
56%
49%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
28.4
31.9
16
63%
4
2
0
1
2
4
2
2
6-6
100%
5-10
7-13
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 29.4
21.7
23.7
2
25%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
34.9
25.4
5
37%
8
5
2
1
2
1
2
6
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 25.8
26.6
22.7
7
39%
0
3
1
1
1
4
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
13.5
20.4
1
13%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
4-8
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
12.9
13.7
9
77%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
2-2
100%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.2
8.5
0
1-1
49%
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.1
4.7
0
1-1
47%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 25.8
4.1
0
0-1
51%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.