Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 10, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Pistons | 46% | 93 | 80 |
 | 8 | Heat | 54% | 94 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Knicks | 29% | 93 | 113 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Lakers | 30% | 103 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 36 | Hornets | 49% | 93 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31 | Bobcats | 16% | 88 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, April 9, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Celtics | 40% | 96 | 86 |
| 16 | Nets | 60% | 99 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 69% | 100 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bucks | 35% | 95 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Raptors | 36% | 94 | 97 |
 | 25 | Bulls | 64% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Mavericks | 90% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 30% | 96 | 105 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Suns | 65% | 106 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 55% | 92 | 125 |
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Friday, April 8, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 27% | 97 | 101 |
| 25 | Raptors | 73% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 37% | 95 | 98 |
| 19 | 76ers | 63% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 69% | 97 | 114 |
 | 29 | Magic | 31% | 91 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 46% | 96 | 102 |
| 23 | Knicks | 54% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 28% | 93 | 83 |
| 9 | Pacers | 72% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 41% | 94 | 81 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 59% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Jazz | 42% | 93 | 98 |
| 33 | Hornets | 58% | 95 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bobcats | 35% | 96 | 75 |
| 27 | Bucks | 65% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 44% | 96 | 107 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 56% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 60% | 103 | 119 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 53% | 108 | 119 | |
| 13 | Warriors | 47% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 29% | 97 | 117 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 71% | 104 | 94 | |
Thursday, April 7, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 35% | 94 | 98 |
| 19 | Nets | 65% | 99 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 29% | 93 | 68 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 71% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 63% | 99 | 114 |
| 27 | Lakers | 37% | 95 | 100 |
Wednesday, April 6, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 34% | 100 | 97 |
| 16 | Celtics | 66% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 51% | 99 | 104 |
| 23 | Raptors | 49% | 98 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Bobcats | 21% | 92 | 103 |
| 18 | 76ers | 79% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 44% | 96 | 102 |
| 29 | Magic | 56% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 31% | 91 | 77 |
| 11 | Pacers | 69% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 19% | 90 | 93 |
| 4 | Pistons | 81% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 63% | 97 | 94 |
| 32 | Hornets | 37% | 93 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 18% | 86 | 82 |
| 6 | Spurs | 82% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Jazz | 17% | 90 | 86 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 83% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 57% | 99 | 104 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 97 | 102 |
Tuesday, April 5, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 49% | 102 | 116 |
| 26 | Wizards | 51% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 54% | 97 | 104 |
| 31 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 42% | 93 | 111 | |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 58% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 97 |
| 22 | Knicks | 49% | 97 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Hornets | 51% | 96 | 96 | |
| 36 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 21% | 92 | 86 |
| 4 | Heat | 79% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 38% | 94 | 94 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 62% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 16% | 96 | 105 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 94 | 79 |
| 35 | Jazz | 54% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 18% | 101 | 99 |
| 2 | Suns | 82% | 113 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 37% | 102 | 101 | |
| 12 | Kings | 63% | 106 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 52% | 98 | 117 |
| 15 | Warriors | 48% | 97 | 122 |
Sunday, April 3, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 52% | 97 | 79 |
| 27 | Wizards | 48% | 96 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 58% | 101 | 80 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 42% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 44% | 100 | 102 |
| 25 | Bucks | 56% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 39% | 101 | 112 |
| 11 | Kings | 61% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 38% | 99 | 97 |
| 18 | Celtics | 62% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 58% | 97 | 113 |
| 23 | Raptors | 42% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 59% | 97 | 111 |
| 36 | Hawks | 41% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 43% | 100 | 92 | |
| 17 | Warriors | 57% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 20% | 92 | 82 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 80% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Rockets | 55% | 102 | 78 |
Saturday, April 2, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 32% | 93 | 103 |
| 19 | Nets | 68% | 99 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 75% | 100 | 111 |
| 32 | Hornets | 25% | 92 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Bobcats | 26% | 90 | 97 |
| 27 | Bulls | 74% | 99 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 23% | 90 | 94 |
| 7 | Spurs | 77% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 60% | 97 | 103 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 94 | 97 |
Friday, April 1, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 57% | 102 | 100 |
| 19 | 76ers | 43% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 52% | 100 | 119 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 48% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 44% | 100 | 111 |
| 29 | Magic | 56% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 66% | 103 | 116 |
| 36 | Hawks | 34% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 43% | 94 | 93 | |
| 22 | Knicks | 57% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 26% | 87 | 84 |
| 8 | Pistons | 74% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 47% | 101 | 128 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 53% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 60% | 99 | 93 |
| 28 | Bucks | 40% | 95 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Hornets | 15% | 86 | 76 | |
| 7 | Rockets | 85% | 99 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 58% | 100 | 108 |
| 35 | Jazz | 42% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 25% | 99 | 98 |
| 3 | Suns | 75% | 108 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 52% | 94 | 84 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 48% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 91 | 87 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 73% | 99 | 89 | |
Thursday, March 31, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 54% | 97 | 108 |
| 13 | Pacers | 46% | 96 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 53% | 95 | 90 |
| 28 | Bulls | 47% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 54% | 99 | 105 |
| 25 | Lakers | 46% | 98 | 96 |
Wednesday, March 30, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 56% | 104 | 112 |
| 17 | Celtics | 44% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 27% | 95 | 99 |
| 26 | Wizards | 73% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 52% | 95 | 102 |
| 31 | Bobcats | 48% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 42% | 101 | 96 |
| 29 | Magic | 58% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 32% | 90 | 78 |
| 21 | Nets | 68% | 96 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 32% | 94 | 82 |
| 7 | Pistons | 68% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 51% | 102 | 113 |
| 28 | Bucks | 49% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 22% | 89 | 76 | |
| 6 | Spurs | 78% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 66% | 100 | 109 |
| 35 | Jazz | 34% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 27% | 102 | 87 |
| 2 | Suns | 73% | 110 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 68% | 95 | 100 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 89 | 84 |
Tuesday, March 29, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 40% | 94 | 84 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 60% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 23% | 97 | 91 |
| 4 | Heat | 77% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SuperSonics | 39% | 94 | 102 | |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 61% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 107 |
| 26 | Lakers | 60% | 103 | 117 |
Monday, March 28, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 56% | 93 | 95 | |
| 31 | Bobcats | 44% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 29% | 96 | 102 |
| 27 | Magic | 71% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 43% | 94 | 95 |
| 8 | Pistons | 57% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 52% | 98 | 90 |
| 28 | Bucks | 48% | 97 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 58% | 96 | 109 |
| 33 | Hornets | 42% | 93 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 60% | 95 | 86 |
| 29 | Bulls | 40% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 67% | 96 | 99 |
| 35 | Jazz | 33% | 91 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 26% | 102 | 114 |
| 2 | Suns | 74% | 110 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 33% | 99 | 109 |
| 13 | Kings | 67% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 40% | 95 | 114 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 100 |
| 19 | Warriors | 62% | 103 | 108 |