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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 19, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats18%9180
8Heat82%10299
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
35.8
31.9
14
41%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-11
4-9
45%
40%
1-5
20%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 22.6
31.2
18.7
8
46%
9
0
1
0
0
4
0
9
4-6
67%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.0
29.9
21.3
6
36%
7
9
2
1
1
3
0
7
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
25.4
28.8
14
57%
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
2-3
67%
6-11
4-9
55%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
20.8
31.7
2
20%
3
0
0
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.2
27.8
19.5
14
79%
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-8
2-6
75%
39%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 24.6
26.4
20.7
11
40%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
3-9
3-6
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.8
23.7
17.8
8
58%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Cory Alexander
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.8
19.1
7.0
3
26%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
38%
0-2
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 29.4
29.7
2
4-10
42%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.5
12.9
0
2-4
50%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 24.3
4.5
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
27.8
33.2
9
50%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
3-7
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
26.7
35.3
10
65%
10
1
2
1
2
1
3
7
6-6
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
54%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 33.5
23.1
32.9
10
47%
3
2
0
1
2
2
1
2
4-6
67%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
2-6
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.3
22.7
38.1
14
47%
4
3
2
2
0
2
3
1
2-4
50%
6-10
9-17
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.2
19.4
19.6
11
55%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
5-7
71%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
28.1
10.4
25
89%
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
8-10
1-2
80%
45%
3-4
75%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.9
20.2
13.8
8
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 36.1
18.8
2.7
2
13%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
1-3
0-0
33%
43%
0-4
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 35.7
18.8
10.2
6
47%
5
1
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-1
0%
3-6
1-2
50%
55%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.8
16.1
8.4
2
33%
7
2
0
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.3
14.9
13.0
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 19.4
3.5
2.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.