Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, April 19, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Celtics | 44% | 100 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Nets | 65% | 101 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Pistons | 74% | 97 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 18% | 91 | 80 |
 | 8 | Heat | 82% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Raptors | 48% | 99 | 127 |
 | 29 | Bucks | 52% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Knicks | 40% | 96 | 91 |
 | 24 | Bulls | 60% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 24% | 98 | 96 | |
 | 1 | Mavericks | 76% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, April 18, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 33% | 96 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 31 | Magic | 40% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 65% | 97 | 102 |
| 36 | Hornets | 35% | 92 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nuggets | 27% | 104 | 114 |
| 2 | Suns | 73% | 111 | 128 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Lakers | 26% | 101 | 99 |
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Sunday, April 17, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 23% | 95 | 104 |
| 20 | Wizards | 77% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 33% | 93 | 80 |
| 5 | Heat | 67% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 32% | 90 | 87 |
| 10 | Pistons | 68% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SuperSonics | 36% | 97 | 109 | |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 64% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 65% | 106 | 114 |
| 26 | Lakers | 35% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 53% | 104 | 103 |
| 27 | Raptors | 47% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 38% | 93 | 83 |
| 12 | Nets | 62% | 97 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hawks | 23% | 95 | 139 |
| 23 | Knicks | 77% | 104 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Jazz | 37% | 93 | 82 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 97 | 100 |
Saturday, April 16, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 51% | 99 | 100 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 49% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 58% | 96 | 114 |
| 34 | Hawks | 42% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 30% | 93 | 87 |
| 6 | Rockets | 70% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Magic | 34% | 98 | 103 |
| 27 | Bucks | 66% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 30% | 89 | 75 |
| 5 | Spurs | 70% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 21% | 106 | 98 |
| 2 | Suns | 79% | 116 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hornets | 23% | 87 | 89 | |
| 23 | Clippers | 77% | 97 | 94 |
Friday, April 15, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 55% | 98 | 101 | |
| 28 | Raptors | 45% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 36% | 98 | 111 |
| 21 | Wizards | 64% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 47% | 101 | 99 |
| 17 | Celtics | 53% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 23% | 90 | 73 |
| 9 | Pistons | 77% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 30% | 93 | 90 |
| 11 | Pacers | 70% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Magic | 36% | 94 | 77 |
| 27 | Bulls | 64% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 44% | 96 | 102 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 56% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 63% | 98 | 100 |
| 33 | Jazz | 37% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 17% | 97 | 91 |
| 2 | Suns | 83% | 109 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 53% | 106 | 115 |
| 23 | Lakers | 47% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 95 | 88 |
| 16 | Warriors | 77% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hornets | 18% | 91 | 72 | |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 82% | 103 | 97 | |
Thursday, April 14, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 51% | 98 | 119 |
| 21 | 76ers | 49% | 97 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 35% | 97 | 95 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 65% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 66% | 101 | 102 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 96 | 90 |
Wednesday, April 13, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 43% | 97 | 82 |
| 22 | Wizards | 57% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hawks | 36% | 95 | 84 |
| 31 | Bobcats | 64% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 17% | 89 | 94 |
| 4 | Pistons | 83% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 36% | 90 | 86 | |
| 10 | Pacers | 64% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 46% | 101 | 111 |
| 27 | Bucks | 54% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 36% | 98 | 100 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 64% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 38% | 90 | 92 |
| 7 | Rockets | 62% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hornets | 11% | 88 | 102 | |
| 9 | Nuggets | 89% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 62% | 104 | 95 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 38% | 100 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 74% | 96 | 91 |
| 33 | Jazz | 26% | 88 | 93 |
Tuesday, April 12, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 43% | 99 | 105 |
| 20 | 76ers | 57% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 32% | 98 | 105 |
| 23 | Knicks | 68% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 86 | 89 |
| 11 | Spurs | 81% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hornets | 11% | 95 | 85 | |
| 2 | Suns | 89% | 110 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Jazz | 29% | 91 | 85 |
| 25 | Clippers | 71% | 98 | 94 |
Monday, April 11, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 51% | 99 | 94 |
| 27 | Raptors | 49% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 38% | 99 | 112 |
| 25 | Wizards | 62% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 53% | 99 | 114 |
| 30 | Magic | 47% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bobcats | 42% | 96 | 110 |
| 34 | Hawks | 58% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 57% | 92 | 85 |
| 26 | Bulls | 43% | 89 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 28% | 94 | 89 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 72% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 29% | 98 | 106 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 71% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 97 | 90 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 41% | 94 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 69% | 112 | 108 | |
| 23 | Lakers | 31% | 105 | 97 |
Sunday, April 10, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 46% | 93 | 80 |
| 8 | Heat | 54% | 94 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 29% | 93 | 113 |
| 11 | Pacers | 71% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 30% | 103 | 105 |
| 15 | Kings | 70% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 94 | 90 |
| 36 | Hornets | 49% | 93 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bobcats | 16% | 88 | 95 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 84% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 44% | 95 | 136 |
| 13 | Warriors | 56% | 97 | 134 |
Saturday, April 9, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 40% | 96 | 86 |
| 16 | Nets | 60% | 99 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 48% | 100 | 112 |
| 26 | Wizards | 52% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 69% | 100 | 98 |
| 34 | Hawks | 31% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 35% | 95 | 81 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 65% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Raptors | 36% | 94 | 97 |
| 25 | Bulls | 64% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Jazz | 10% | 91 | 81 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 90% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 30% | 96 | 105 | |
| 7 | Nuggets | 70% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 35% | 101 | 98 |
| 2 | Suns | 65% | 106 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Spurs | 55% | 92 | 125 |
| 23 | Clippers | 45% | 90 | 124 |
Friday, April 8, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 27% | 97 | 101 |
| 25 | Raptors | 73% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 37% | 95 | 98 |
| 19 | 76ers | 63% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 69% | 97 | 114 |
| 29 | Magic | 31% | 91 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 46% | 96 | 102 |
| 23 | Knicks | 54% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 28% | 93 | 83 |
| 9 | Pacers | 72% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 41% | 94 | 81 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 59% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Jazz | 42% | 93 | 98 |
| 33 | Hornets | 58% | 95 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Bobcats | 35% | 96 | 75 |
| 27 | Bucks | 65% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 44% | 96 | 107 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 56% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 60% | 103 | 119 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 53% | 108 | 119 | |
| 13 | Warriors | 47% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 29% | 97 | 117 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 71% | 104 | 94 | |
Thursday, April 7, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 35% | 94 | 98 |
| 19 | Nets | 65% | 99 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 29% | 93 | 68 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 71% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 63% | 99 | 114 |
| 27 | Lakers | 37% | 95 | 100 |
Wednesday, April 6, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 34% | 100 | 97 |
| 16 | Celtics | 66% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 51% | 99 | 104 |
| 23 | Raptors | 49% | 98 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Bobcats | 21% | 92 | 103 |
| 18 | 76ers | 79% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 44% | 96 | 102 |
| 29 | Magic | 56% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 31% | 91 | 77 |
| 11 | Pacers | 69% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 19% | 90 | 93 |
| 4 | Pistons | 81% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 63% | 97 | 94 |
| 32 | Hornets | 37% | 93 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 18% | 86 | 82 |
| 6 | Spurs | 82% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Jazz | 17% | 90 | 86 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 83% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 57% | 99 | 104 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 97 | 102 |