Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Spurs	64%	98	96	100.0	96	91.2
	13	Kings	36%	93	93	100.0	93	98.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	36.3	22	61%	19	4	1	4	4	5	3	16	4-4	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	34.5	10	63%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	32.4	23	61%	2	2	1	0	4	3	0	2	5-7	71%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	30.9	12	46%	0	4	3	1	4	1	0	0	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 29	15.6	10	56%	4	0	0	0	0	5	2	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%

Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	24.4	6	75%	5	0	0	0	2	6	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	22.8	8	50%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	16.5	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.6	4	67%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	7.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	3.3	1	50%	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alex Scales #25 · G · 6'4" 195 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	54%	43	15	8	5	18	0	9	34	26-30	87%	32-65	49%	2-9	22%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	36.3	22	61%	19	4	1	4	4	5	3	16	4-4	100%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	34.5	10	63%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	32.4	23	61%	2	2	1	0	4	3	0	2	5-7	71%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	30.9	12	46%	0	4	3	1	4	1	0	0	4-5	80%	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 29	15.6	10	56%	4	0	0	0	0	5	2	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%

Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	24.4	6	75%	5	0	0	0	2	6	1	4	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	22.8	8	50%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	16.5	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.6	4	67%	0	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	7.8	0	0%	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	3.3	1	50%	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alex Scales #25 · G · 6'4" 195 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	54%	43	15	8	5	18	0	9	34	26-30	87%	32-65	49%	2-9	22%

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13 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bonzi Wells G · 6'5" 210 · 29	45.2	18	43%	14	3	5	1	3	3	6	8	2-5	40%	8-19	42%	0-0	-
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	35.7	33	61%	3	2	1	1	3	4	1	2	9-9	100%	9-18	50%	2-5	40%
Francisco Garcia F · 6'7" 215 · 24	35.6	12	60%	4	1	1	0	2	3	1	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	33.8	2	25%	5	6	1	0	4	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	29.0	11	46%	5	1	1	0	2	3	1	4	4-5	80%	2-9	22%	1-1	100%

Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28	25.2	9	50%	6	0	2	1	1	3	3	3	7-7	100%	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	15.5	2	25%	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	8.2	4	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	7.9	2	33%	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	3.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jamal Sampson F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Peja Stojakovic #16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	47%	40	15	12	3	17	0	14	26	24-28	86%	30-75	40%	3-9	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.08 53.9%

SAC

0.95 47.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

15

25

60%

SAC

17

34

50%

Midrange

SAS

17

40

43%

SAC

13

41

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

2

3.0

9

22%

33%

SAC

3

4.5

9

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

26

30

87%

SAC

24

28

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	23	61%	11.5 / 19
T. Duncan	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Ginobili	12	46%	6.0 / 13
B. Bowen	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Nesterovic	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Finley	8	50%	4.0 / 8
N. Mohammed	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Van Exel	4	67%	2.0 / 3
R. Horry	1	50%	0.5 / 1
F. Oberto	0	-	0.0 / 1
B. Barry	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bibby	33	61%	16.5 / 27
B. Wells	18	43%	9.0 / 21
F. Garcia	12	60%	6.0 / 10
S. Abdur-Rahim	11	46%	5.5 / 12
K. Thomas	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Williamson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Miller	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Hart	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Skinner	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. Martin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 107.1 14 106.2	SAS 100.0 SAC 100.0
Pace	23 88.8 9 92.4	SAS 91.2 SAC 98.2 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.9 22 15.3	SAS 15.8 SAC 14.7 −1.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.3% 12 49.2%	SAS 47.3% +6.2% SAC 41.1%
TO %	14 14.8% 17 15.0%	SAS 17.1% SAC 15.0% −2.1%
ORB %	20 26.0% 26 25.4%	SAS 25.7% SAC 29.2% +3.5%
FTrt	27 29.8 16 33.4	SAS 40.5 +7.2 SAC 33.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.4% 6 61.8%	SAS 44.1% SAC 45.5% +1.4%
STL %	21 7.4% 13 8.0%	SAS 8.3% SAC 12.9% +4.6%
BLK %	9 8.4% 28 5.5%	SAS 6.7% +2.1% SAC 4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.1% 8 52.9%	SAS 53.9% +6.5% SAC 47.4%
Rim FG%	3 61.7% 4 60.4%	SAS 60.0% +10.0% SAC 50.0%
Mid FG%	21 39.0% 14 40.0%	SAS 42.5% +10.8% SAC 31.7%
3P %	2 38.5% 16 35.1%	SAS 22.2% SAC 33.3% +11.1%
FT %	28 70.2% 5 78.4%	SAS 86.7% +1.0% SAC 85.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.7% 26 32.1%	SAS 33.8% SAC 40.5% +6.7%
Mid Att. %	9 41.8% 21 46.3%	SAS 54.1% SAC 48.8% −5.2%
3P Att. %	15 21.5% 14 21.7%	SAS 12.2% +1.4% SAC 10.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	SAC
Possessions	96	93
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	96	93
Rebounds	43	40
Assists	15	15
Steals	8	12
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	26 (3)
Field Goals	34-74	33-84
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	17-34
Midrange FG	17-40	13-41
2-Point FG	32-65	30-75
3-Point FG	2-9	3-9
Free Throws	26-30	24-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg